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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

07/22/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/22/14

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Total Bases

Miguel Cabrera
Nothing crazy about this pick at all though I think it is worth noting that I think our system is underrating Chase Anderson just a little. But Miggy gets a bump for basically being Miggy and for getting to slug in such a great park in Chase Field. He's raking righties this season with an OPS in the mid .900's which is down for him but still super solid for any mere mortal. I am going safety today at total bases even with a bunch of Nats playing in Coors. (Who I will still have in some slots.)

Mike Trout
There are a lot of players to like today and I could make cases for a bunch of guys, but I'm going a little safer than usual with Trout today as I want to target his matchup with Miguel Gonzalez. Gonzalez doesn't have elite swing and miss stuff and does generate walks, but this is Trout and our system has so many other guys so closely grouped that distinguishing among them is tough.

 

Hits

Jacoby Ellsbury
Brett Gardner
Nick Martinez is the very definition of "awful". Dude walks more guys than he strikes out which is great place to start when we are sniffing out hits. Both Ellsbury and Gardner hitting at the top of this lineup, along with their speed make great plays here. I will have both in for sure as I think they are such huge favorites considering Martinez's deficiencies. The stadium offers another big boost though I think I'd stick these guys in no matter the stadium. When going after hits we want to face low K pitchers first and foremost along with advantageous sides of the platoon splits. Everything lines up perfectly for the bros in pinstripes today.

 

Strikeouts

Scott Kazmir
This is risky but pitching is kind of a mess today and you are going to really need to find some diamonds in the rough. Kazmir could represent that opportunity but it’s going to be tough. He faces the Astros who rank in the top third of the league in team wOBA against lefties. But they also strike out 22% of the time. I think he has a solid chance to reach the 6-7 mark today. And I’m not betting on anyone getting to nine K’s. It’s that kind of day for sure.

Danny Salazar
You like playing with fire? I know I do. This is a pick you aren’t going to see made a lot today, but I think there’s a case for it. Before his demotion Salazar was running an xFIP well below his ERA and striking out more than 10 batters per nine. His big issue was he couldn’t get anywhere in games. He’d rack up a ton of whiffs and walk the ballpark. Or get tagged. But the Twins K almost 22% of the time against righties and honestly, Salazar could be up to 6 K’s by the third inning. Granted he might not make it through four.

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