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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

07/27/2014
James Davis

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and StarStreet 7/27/14

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Pitchers

 
Hyun-Jin Ryu - projection system just thinks Ryu will go out and have a solid outing, even if the Giants are better against lefties than righties.

Adam Wainwright - Kyle Hendricks figuring to be overmatched against the Cards.

Collin McHugh - Jacob Turner, who has awful peripherals and a worse ERA. With many people going expensive today (Wainwright will be a huge play), McHugh could make a nice separation play, and against the Marlins, he might actually snag the rare win.

Also considered: Mat Latos, Danny Salazar

Catchers

 
Miguel Montero - FD 2800 DK 3900 DD 8400 SS 5800
Montero has put a hurting on right handed pitching this year to the tune of a .355 wOBA. Robert Hernandez has posted a butt ugly 74 Ks against 51 BBs in 104 IP this year. Philly is a great place to hit. This is a match made in heaven.

Carlos Ruiz - FD 2400 DK 3300 DD 7600 SS 4700
For the second straight game, we're recommending both catchers in the D-backs/Phillies game, and I'm feeling pretty good about it. Chooch is still off of his career best levels, but Vidal Nuno is pretty darn terrible in his own right. Who on Earth will watch this game besides wasted meatheads in Center City? Daily Fantasy Sports junkies, that's who.

Russell Martin - FD 3400 DK 4600 DD 8050 SS 5900
Holy hell are there some awful pitchers going today. Franklin Morales is arguably as bad as Roberto Hernandez, and Coors is an even better place to hit than Philly! How can the Rockies' left hander possible escape this game without giving up a heap of runs in a small amount of innings?

Also considered: Wilin Rosario, Brian McCann

First Basemen

 
Mark Reynolds - FD 2600 DK 4000 DD 7500 SS 5000
Our projection system has been all over Reynolds recently, and with 3 home runs in 3 games, it's finally been paying dividends. Reynolds is actually something of a platoon neutral player, which is extremely rare for a slugger like him, and should fare well against the young DeGrom.

Adam LaRoche - FD 2900 DK 4500 DD 8900 SS 6800
LaRoche continues to be one of the more underrated players in all of baseball. He's in the .800s for OPS again, and on pace for a decent pile of homers. Latos has shown great control this year which moves around one of LaRoche's biggest strengths - his patience - but he also doesn't strike anyone out. If Latos stays around the zone, LaRoche could punish one.

Adam Dunn - FD 3100 DK 4000 DD 8750 SS 6300
At this stage in his career, Adam Dunn thrives when facing off against guys who can't take advantage of the holes in his swing. Yohan Pino should be one such pitcher. The young Minnesota right hander can definitely give up runs in piles, and it could be a spot where Dunn can thrive.

Also considered: Adrian Gonzalez, Jon Singleton, Chris Davis

Second Basemen

 
Daniel Murphy - FD 2900 DK 3900 DD 7750 SS 6600
Murphy is a classic safety play - little upside, but a pretty high floor as well. Murphy has posted a wOBA .32 points higher against right handed pitchers over the course of the career, and I won't be dissuaded by his facing Jimmy Nelson.

Ian Kinsler - FD 3900 DK 4500 DD 8750 SS 7600
Days when Detroit plays the Angels are just a pleasure. It can be awfully tough to find authentic upside at second base, but taking Kinsler against a bad lefty like Hector Santiago is exactly that. He hasn't shown it this season, but he's posted a .384 wOBA vs. lefties for his career, and he could totally post a monster game against the Angels.

Ben Zobrist - FD 3300 DK 4000 DD 8950 SS 7100
This is a straight up condemnation of Allen Webster. Zobrist has preferred lefties over the course of his career, but our system likes this professional hitter against the Red Sox righty. In his short major league stint, Webster has shown no hint of being ready for the big leagues, and while he's a promising prospect, he could get legit murdered here.

Also considered: Robinson Cano

Shortstops

 
Jordy Mercer - FD 3000 DK 3700 DD 5950 SS 5500
For risk of saying the same thing twice - Morales is a mess, Colorado is a great place to hit, and Mercer is better against left handers than right handers. Lots of upside here at bargain basement prices for Mercer.

Jean Segura - FD 2400 DK 3700 DD 7600 SS 4500
Segura is a guy who can post a very solid game in a number of different ways. He's got speed, gap power, and great hitters around him. That's the good. The bad? He's been freaking awful this year. I'm attributing a lot of that to BABIP - he's .42 points off his career numbers, and I think he'll end up somewhere higher in the long term given his speed - and figuring he could be a part of the Brew crew running DeGrom from this game.

Jed Lowrie - FD 2700 DK 4300 DD 8000 SS 5500
Miles Mikolas! Not a name I've ever heard before doing these picks, if we're being honest. But one trip to his Fangraphs page his me knowing all I need to know. Lowrie is definitely having a down year, but in a terrific park against a non-prospect minor leaguer, I'm taking my chances.

Also considered: Derek Jeter, Elvis Andrus, Asdrubal Cabrera

Third Basemen

 
Aramis Ramirez - FD 2800 DK 4400 DD 8350 SS 6400
Ramirez has actually been a reverse platoon guy over the course of his career, preferring to face right handed pitchers instead of southpaws. DeGrom has been fine and everything, but that doesn't scare me in the slightest when it comes to picking A-ram.

David Wright - FD 3200 DK 4400 DD 9050 SS 7200
You'll need to hold your nose if you look at Wright's line against right handed pitching this year, but there's no reason to believe he'll be a complete failure against right handers for the rest of his career. His career line vs. righties (an .840ish OPS) is actually pretty solid, and while Jimmy Nelson has shown good stuff in the minors, I'm not yet buying him as a professional pitcher.

Kyle Seager - FD 3400 DK 4300 DD 9050 SS 7500
Seager is one of the more underrated platoon plays in the league. He's been a beast against right handed pitching this year, posting a .388 wOBA against them, and his home park doesn't seem to bother him much. Miguel Gonzalez is pretty much the definition of a league average pitcher, so this seems to be a great spot to play all of the Ms lefties.

Also considered: Matt Carpenter, Nolan Arenado

Outfielders

Andrew McCutchen - FD 5000 DK 6000 DD 12100 SS 10700
The price is about as high as it gets, but this literally couldn't be a better match up. It's the day's worst pitcher in the game's best park for one of the widest platoon split guys in the majors (McCutchen has a near 1.000 OPS against lefties for his career). Sure, the Pirates have kind of embarrassed themselves in Coors this series... but that can't last forever. Right? Right!?

Carlos Gonzalez - FD 3600 DK 5000 DD 10650 SS 7900
I've got to give the second slot to Cargo for a lot of the same reason McCutchen is number 1. While Volquez doesn't have a horrendous ERA to show for his awful peripherals, but he sucks about as bad as Morales does. And he doesn't even pitch in Coors normally! I'm prepared for anything here, and think it will be a bounce back game for Gonzalez.

Mark Trumbo - FD 3000 DK 4100 DD 7350 SS 5800
Trumbo likes lefties, but it's Robert Hernandez! In Philly!!! Upside through the roof at a very reasonable price point.

Marlon Byrd - FD 3200 DK 4000 DD 8250 SS 7100
20 home runs for Marlon Byrd this year! Sure, he's striking out 29% of the time, but if you are bombing homers in seemingly every other bat, you remain a reasonable play. Our projection system loves Byrd against the young Nuno, and frankly, I do too.

Coco Crisp - FD 3500 DK 4900 DD 9300 SS 7600
Mikolas!! Crisp has turned into a guy who tortures raw pitchers, and raw kind of implies that the pitcher has potential. Mikolas doesn't. Buying huge on Crisp today.

Curtis Granderson - FD 3200 DK 4200 DD 8050 SS 6600
I feel like I've written this ten thousand times, but holy moses are there some awful and/or young pitchers today. The Grandy Man has murdered righties over the course of his career, and our projection system likes his upside against Nelson.

Also considered: Jay Bruce, Matt Kemp, Bryce Harper

Give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie.

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