Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 3/10/15

 

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Point Guards

Tons of value on this slate at point.

Reggie Jackson - FD 6900 DK 7000 DFSTR 5100
If you follow us you know that we love targeting opposing point guards against the Lakers. For the most part, the results are solid in this strategy as the Laker style of play allows the opposing ball handler a great many opportunities to get the ball in transition as well as to the rim. This is basically the perfect scenario for Jackson who is a score-first PG that has no issue getting up a ton of shots. The minutes are a little wacky as SVG can yank them around a bit. But I'm willing to run him out there today without hesitation.

Elfrid Payton - FD 6200 DK 6000 DFSTR 4700
Just plays so many minutes now for the Magic that I almost can't imagine it keeps up. But if done is going to play all but six minutes of an affair (which he's done the last two games) then you have to play him almost no matter the matchup. It's nuts what he's been doing in his time as well in all phases of the game. Scoring, assists and rebounds are all in play for the afro'd dude.

George Hill - FD 6300 DK 6400 DFSTR 5400
The Magic are just brutal on defense. Some of this has to do with injuries and a somewhat fluctuating starting five over the course of the season due to injuries. The rest of it is because they aren't that good. Hill's biggest issue right now isn't in his per minute production, but rather with the minutes in general. He's been cut a bit in the short term. Two of those games were blowouts so I'm willing to chuck most of it up to that. If you think he gets run in the 30's then he is a top play on the night.

Rajon Rondo - FD 5600 DK 6400 DFSTR
Kyle Lowry - FD 7100 DK 6800 DFSTR 7900
These are two guys I'd actually look at in GPPs tonight. They will both be low percentage owned players as they are coming off of rough games. But their respective prices have dropped and aren't very far removed from some stellar performances. I understand the hesitation on both of course and don't consider them safe. Though I think you are getting solid contrarian value here.

 

Shooting Guards

Victor Oladipo - FD 8000 DK 8400 DFSTR 6200
First the good: Oladipo has been a man child with Vucevic out of the lineup, averaging 27/5/8 in the last two games (though he played awesome with Vuce in the lineup the game before as well). Now the bad: his price has climbed, the Pacers are a much better opponent than the Kings and Celtics (last two teams he faced) and Vucevic might be back for this one. I'm still willing to consider Oladipo with the first two negative considerations. But if the big center is back, I give Vic a downgrade.

Rodney Stuckey - FD 5500 DK 5800 DFSTR 4400
A risky option because he can see games where the minutes fall off a cliff. But if he creeps into the very high twenties then you get him in a solid spot because the Magic are a pretty lousy squad. The price makes him fine in cash games I think though there is some risk there. The bigger issue is that shooting guard doesn't have a whole lot of viable options on this slate.

Monta Ellis - FD 6800 DK 6900 DFSTR 6600
More of a GPP play than anything, and shows up here more because of the slate than me actually trusting his production in this game. While I think the Mavs can stick with the Cavs, Ellis is prone to disappearing acts even in the best of circumstances. This isn't necessarily one of those games, but our projection system doesn't mind his per dollar production.

Consider Eric Gordon

 

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Small Forwards

Terrence Ross - FD 4100 DK 4000 DFSTR 3500
A return to the starting lineup has helped Ross finally come out of fantasy obscurity. Shooting 67% from three last game will of course help and is clearly not sustainable, but his performance has me thinking he'll stick in the starting five and he's able to get his looks with that unit. Pretty much has to score to hit value and the matchup against Kawhi and company isn't ideal. But the price is right.

Tobias Harris - FD 6500 DK 6900 DFSTR 5900
Our projection system really likes him tonight, though I will admit that it has been bullish on him a lot lately. Sometimes that's worked out, other times it's been a bit of a trial. This isn't a fantastic matchup against the Pacers, though it is worth mentioning that Indiana has only been league average in keeping small forwards from scoring and below average in rebounding. I am a fan of Harris overall and his price leaves some room for upside if he can get a little hot.

Chandler Parsons - FD 6100 DK 5500 DFSTR 5300
Came back from an extended injury hiatus and got right back into the swing of things in terms of minutes. That's a great sign. He didn't have the best game but I'm not enormously concerned with that. I was mostly looking to see how the Mavs would handle his run. It was there in full and he should play a bunch in this one as well. That's a good situation for a game with a high over under.

Our system thinks Kawhi Leonard is very much in play if he gets full run

 

Power Forwards

Anthony Davis - FD 11200 DK 10700 DFSTR 8100
The gloves are off with Brow as the Pelicans have had no reservations in playing him a ton since returning from injury. They are playing him 40 minutes or above nearly every game. I find this moderately insane, but hey, they want that Ferrari out there running full tilt at all times. More power to them, and to us as he makes a solid value even at these elevated prices because he's on the court for the whole game. He's obviously superhuman so I don't need to go too much into the superlatives. With this much run, the price is fine.

Greg Monroe - FD 8100 DK 8100 DFSTR 7300
I suspect he will be one of the more popular plays on the day considering his recent production and the opponent. I don't need to reiterate how bad the Lakers are on defense and power forward is really no exception. They are allowing 6% more scoring and 3% more rebounding than league average to opposing fours. Monroe can pile on points in a hurry and along with boards. This is a pretty easy way to spend the money on this slate if you fade Davis.

Thaddeus Young - FD 5800 DK 5200 DFSTR 6300
It's tough to trust Lionel Hollins and how he chooses his rotations. But I think it's safe to say we will see Thad in the starting lineup again playing solid minutes. He played a decent game against the Jazz on Sunday and I suspect he gets a similar run against New Orleans (though check to make sure the Nets don't go double big with Plumlee). Thad is a score-first power forward so he needs to get to the rim a lot. And while Brow is the best, opposing PFs can put up numbers against him.

David West - FD 6200 DK 5600 DFSTR 6500
Oh what I wouldn't give for this guy to just play like 32 minutes in this one. That's all he would need to be the top PF option without hesitation. The Magic are just awful at defending the interior and have allowed 5% more scoring than league average to the fours this season. The biggest issue with West is the minutes. He almost never goes over 30 and losing even a minute or two on the back end can kill him. Even so, I love the matchup here.

You obviously have to always consider Anthony Davis

 

Center

Rudy Gobert - FD 7400 DK 7500 DFSTR 5300
His minutes are fully locked in now that Kanter is gone and he's such a solid contributor when he can get on the court. Last game he managed to somewhat salvage a game in which he only got up four shots by pulling down 11 boards and handing out 5 assists. Keeping his floor high like this makes for a great play tonight against a Knick team that lacks overall size, quickness, skill, smarts or really anything a basketball team needs to compete. I really like Gobert on this slate and think you can play him in all formats.

Brook Lopez - FD 6900 DK 6100 DFSTR 6200
Back as the starter and back playing minutes in the mid thirties. Like I said with Thad Young, it can sometimes be tough to trust Hollins but Lopez has had two productive games in a row and the Nets will need some size to match up with the Pelicans. Lopez is a solid offensive center and New Orleans has allowed better than league average production to opposing bigs this season.

Dewayne Dedmon - FD 4200 DK 4300 DFSTR 3000
Only in play if Vucevic sits again, but Dedmon has been playing solid minutes as the starting center and would be in line for similar production tonight if in that role again.

Strongly consider Andre Drummond against the Lakers
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