Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/2/15

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Point Guards

Stephen Curry - FD 9900 DK 9300 DFSTR 9000
In what could very quickly become a blowout, I'm still in favor of playing Curry on this slate as I think there are other places to adequately save in your lineups. He brings a great deal of upside here considering the Suns' pace and how they've allowed worse than league average production to opposing point guards this season. Game could get ugly for sure, but Curry is worth it here.

Goran Dragic - FD 6400 DK 6700 DFSTR 6300
The minutes are there and he is handing out just enough assists. It's the rebounds that have come down from playing in Miami. Those couple of rebounds and some missing steals have dropped his production. This could be just the difference in systems from Phoenix to Miami. In fact, I'm early certain that's the case. But I think he's a value on this slate simply because he is playing tons of minutes and coming rather affordable. It's D-Wade's team for sure, but you can play Dragic here.

Consider Rajon Rondo as he might be turning a corner with this team (but probably not)

 

Shooting Guards

Dwyane Wade - FD 7500 DK 7300 DFSTR 7200
There was a point last game against the Spurs when he leapt for a rebound and it looked like he had his old hops again. Of course, this was about the only good thing came from Wade's game against the Spurs, but we look for the little things around here. Really though, what I'm looking at is how much his price has come down in some spots and really loving getting him at $7,500 on FanDuel. Sure, the Lebron vs. Wade thing is the narrative. To me, that's just fun. What I'm really seeing is how our system thinks he's one of the top points per dollar players on the whole slate.

Klay Thompson - FD 7200 DK 7300 DFSTR 6800
Klay isn't too far behind Wade on this slate and I'd probably advocate playing them together on two SG sites. Klay has the blowout to contend with, in that he might get buzzed off with minutes. He and Curry are in that camp together. But on a short slate like this, I think you can worry less about game flow and just get in the best points per dollar players. Klay is in that category.

Consider Monta Ellis but I think I am avoiding Harden and Bledsoe

Small Forwards

P.J. Tucker - FD 5200 DK 5300 DFSTR 4300
His minutes dropped some last game mostly because the Suns were getting smoked from Jump Street. Look for those minutes to (hopefully) be back tonight. You'll notice a lot of the plays today are coming from this game. That's not an accident. It has a high over under and should be played at a super fast pace. The problem, as I said before is whether it gets ugly. Tucker won't completely hit the ceiling for you, but I do see him at safer considering his price.

Luol Deng - FD 5400 DK 5600 DFSTR 5300
I really, really want him to be able to play tonight. Would love to have his low salary and potentially high minutes in what could be a closer game. Deng plays minutes in the mid 30's when he's out there and that would be all I'd need. That and the okay that he is in the starting lineup. Check this closer to gametime.

Consider James Ennis if Deng is sitting and very strongly consider Draymond Green if he's playing.

 

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Power Forwards

Marcus Morris - FD 5800 DK 5800 DFSTR 4100
Markieff Morris - FD 7000 DK 6100 DFSTR 6100
The Morris twins both make solid plays on a bleak PF set. The game, as mentioned above, should be fast paced and high scoring. That should translate to increased opportunities for both guys. Brandon Knight is doubtful so Marcus should see his minutes bump back into the low to mid-thirties. If that’s the case then Marcus makes for a strong cash game play. You could even make the case to play them together, but you may be limiting your upside too much. The Morris twins are viable GPP options as well.

Dirk Nowitzki - FD 5900 DK 5900 DFSTR 6500
Dirk hasn’t been lighting the world on fire very often this year, but that has kept the price in check as Dirk comes in just under 6k on Fanduel. Much of his subpar stat lines are due to the Mavs trying to keep him fresh for a playoff run. The matchup with the Rockets should offer enough juice for Dirk to hit value at this depressed number. Even with Terrence Jones back the Rockets don’t have anyone that can effectively matchup with Dirk’s offense. This is a good spot to buy cheap.

 

Center

Brandan Wright - FD 4600 DK 4100 DFSTR
Basically a no brainer here. Len is out for a week or so with busted nose. One man’s nose is another man’s gain. Wright absolutely crushed this price filling in for Len a few weeks back. Nothing has changed. The Suns don’t really have another Center option beyond Wright so he should see all the run he can handle. The matchup with Bogut isn’t great, but the value still remains high.

Andrew Bogut - FD 5100 DK 4700 DFSTR 5100
If you want to zig instead of zag Bogut is the guy to do it with. Again, price and opportunity are the keys here. Bogut can sprinkle in the huge game every now and again, but he typically hovers around the 4-5x his price. I prefer Wright, but Bogut’s not a bad second option.
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