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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

03/15/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftStreet 3/15/14

It's Saturday in the NBA. You've mostly got evening games to worry about, but there's a random noon start between the Knicks and Bucks if you feel like getting a sweat on early.

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Point Guards

Mike Conley - FanDuel $6,600 DraftKings $7,000 DraftStreet $13,018
Conley will be a heavy start tonight for good reason. He gets to play the Sixers in a game that should have him seeing a ton of looks. Conley is actually fairly steady and I'm not completely concerned with this game getting totally out of hand.

Shaun Livingston - FanDuel $4,300 DraftKings $3,900 DraftStreet $9,486
Been just crushing lately with his minutes in the thirties fairly consistently. He just needs to play big minutes to pay off these prices, especially on FanDuel and DraftKings where he is a major bargain.

Ty Lawson - FanDuel $8,900 DraftKings $8,700 DraftStreet $17,612
Lawson has cooled down a bit since coming back from injury scorching hot. But he's still an elite point guard on a thin night for the position. He's not at the top of my list, but he's on the radar against the Wizards who are slightly worse than league average against the position.

Jeff Teague - FanDuel $6,900 DraftKings $6,700 DraftStreet $12,953
Definitely my fourth option but I can see sneaking him in to a GPP as a low percentage start.

 

Shooting Guards

Jimmy Butler - FanDuel $6,600 DraftKings $6,400 DraftStreet $12,914
Butler is the only shooting guard I'll be targeting across a number of sites tomorrow. There are other site-specific plays out there, but Butler ranks as the top SG option no matter the format. Most of this is because he never sits on the bench. Close games? He's in. Blowouts? He plays. As if that wasn't enough, the Kings allow 13% more scoring to shooting guards.

Kyle Korver - FanDuel $5,000
Very nice price on this dreamboat. He's good looking right? Denver is just little worse than league average against shooting guards and this pick is all about Korver's price. He makes it easier to get more expensive plays in your lineup and has upside at this salary.

Lance Stephenson - DraftKings $6,200
Remains criminally low on this site.

Bradley Beal - DraftStreet $10,720
Word is he sprained his ankle last night. That has me a little concerned. He is a great price here tonight. If he can't go, think about Martell Webster.

 

Small Forwards

Wilson Chandler - FanDuel $5,900 DraftKings $6,000 DraftStreet $11,608
He needs to be taking a lot of shots to really hit value. He didn't see those last night, but that's somewhat to be expected against Miami. Tonight against Atlanta, I'm less worried about it. Atlanta ain't good against opposing small forwards, losing ground in every areas of the stat sheet. I am loving Chandler across the board tonight.

DeMarre Carroll - FanDuel $5,800 DraftKings $4,600 DraftStreet $10,211
On the other side of the ball, Demarre should see plenty of opportunity against a speedy Denver squad who push the action. Carroll's price is almost a must start on DraftKings and in play everywhere else. Denver is especially susceptible to steals, blocks and assists from opposing small forwards.

Khris Middleton - FanDuel $5,300 DraftKings $5,200
You can consider him in the early contests if he's in the starting lineup. The Knicks are a bad defensive team giving Middleton a chance at success.

Mike Dunleavy - DraftKings $4,400 DraftStreet $9,029
Got back to playing big minutes last game and if he can see thirty minutes of run he would have no issue paying off these prices, especially on DraftKings.

Paul George - FanDuel $8,400
The only site I'd consider him I think, but he could pay off here against a Detroit team that gets a little bit of slaughtered against opposing small forwards.

 

Power Forwards

Zach Randolph - FanDuel $6,900 DraftKings $7,100 DraftStreet $14,477
Z-Bo gets midrange prices against the Sixers and will be a huge percentage start in the industry. Part of this is that the minutes rotations for many of the Grizzlies mean that a bunch of guys split time, making them super risky (or they play minutes but suck, like Tayshaun Prince). But Randolph is locked in and should own the glass along with chipping in more than his fair share of points. Kind of need to have him in your lineups.

Carmelo Anthony - FanDuel $10,300 DraftKings $10,400 DraftStreet $19,785
I'll have him in my early slate games and not for the reason many people put guys in their early slate lineups (because they are playing early). Melo has a solid matchup against the shitty Bucks. Though Amar'e and Chandler are both back tonight, I still think Melo is in play. He's not as enticing as when those other bigs were out of the lineup, but strong nonetheless.

Paul Millsap - FanDuel $8,200 DraftKings $7,900 DraftStreet $15,305
I feel like Millsap is the king of getting you excited with a big first quarter only to just disappear later in the game. That is probably DFS bias on my part. I think there is a belief that Millsap has some upside at these prices, but I don't see it. He's fairly safe, in that his floor is high, but so much needs to go right for him to win you a GPP. I like the matchup against Denver, and if any time he were going to go off, this would be the place. But buyer beware.

Ersan Ilyasova - FanDuel $5,900 DraftKings $5,100 DraftStreet $12,265
Two Bucks in one article has me breaking out in mild hives. But Ersan's been quality when he sees the minutes.

Amar'e Stoudemire - FanDuel $5,300 DraftKings $4,200
He's back today and these are still solid prices for the guy, especially on DraftKings where he makes an exceptional play.

Trevor Booker - FanDuel $3,700 DraftKings $3,100 DraftStreet $7,051
Very much still in the punt conversation. He played close to thirty minutes last night.

 

Centers

Decisions are rather easy here today.

Marc Gasol - FanDuel $7,300 DraftKings $7,500 DraftStreet $14,889
Gasol gets the Sixers who will have trouble controlling him on the inside, plus have trouble getting around him on the offensive end. Marc is a top play everywhere because he's just so solid and Philly is just so, so bad.

Tyson Chandler - FanDuel $7,000 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $14,492
Not bad prices everywhere, but the DraftKings price is stupid low. DK has some wild prices today that you need to capitalize on, especially if playing the early games with Chandler and Stat.

Pero Antic - FanDuel $4,200 DraftKings $3,800 DraftStreet $7,458
Here's where I'll be looking to save some money if need be. Denver is terrible down low, and though Antic isn't a traditional center, he should see more scoring and rebounding opportunities if he's in the starting lineup. I especially like this play on DraftStreet.

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