Daily Fantasy Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftStreet 3/17/14

Monday. Yup. I don't have anything else for you. Except of course some super solid NBA plays that'll get your week started perfectly.

Be sure to sign up for a free 3-day trial to access the NBA system and spreadsheets that help produce our picks. And give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr. Let's get to the picks.

 

Point Guards

George Hill - FanDuel $5,100 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $11,185
Will be tough to get away from Hill tonight, especially on FanDuel as  point guards are pretty thin and he has by far the best matchup of the group. Hill doesn't need to do a ton to pay off on FD. On DK and DS the decision isn't as solid but he's still a top play.

Shaun Livingston - FanDuel $4,300 DraftKings $4,000 DraftStreet $9,350
As long as he's good for thirty or so minutes a game, Livingston makes a great play on DraftKings and FanDuel. Price has climbed a bit on DraftStreet, but coming in under 10K is still fine for what he's producing. He does a little of everything and has really found a niche in the Nets' offense as a secondary ballhandler.

Chris Paul - FanDuel $9,400 DraftStreet $18,842
Priced a bit high on DraftKings but here Paul is in play against Denver. I think I'll be looking to spend the money at center and a few other places today, but Paul is still capable of more than paying these prices against a Denver team that allows about 5% more assists to opposing point guards.

Patrick Beverley - DraftStreet $7,831
Super low price on DraftStreet and he is capable of putting up some big games. To some degree, I think this is a great double up price, especially if Lin's minutes are headed the wrong direction.

D.J. Augustin - DraftKings $4,800
Really low price, very nice upside.

 

Shooting Guards

Jimmy Butler - FanDuel $6,600 DraftKings $6,000 DraftStreet $11,850
He was a global killer on Friday night, crushing the hopes and dreams of many, many teams. Actually, he was such a huge percentage start on FanDuel Friday that his performance didn't complete sink folks in cash games. But though it was pointed out to me on Twitter that in fact his minutes have been dropping for a few games, he is still getting volume enough to pay these prices. It was a bad game for sure, but I'll be right back on the horse tonight.

Lance Stephenson - FanDuel $7,200 DraftKings $6,300 DraftStreet $13,032
System actually doesn't love him considering the opponent but I'm having a hard time getting away from him completely. I read somewhere, which I thought was a great point on Stephenson, that he's the safest Pacer in blowouts because of his minutes rotation. He tend to play through the third and into the fourth, meaning he runs with the second unit when the starters have seen their last minutes. This is an interesting consideration and one that makes him a bit safer in a game that could be a blowout. Though Indiana hasn't looked great lately.

James Harden - FanDuel $9,400 DraftStreet $18,429
Only in play on these two sites tonight but for sure in play against a Utah team that allows 7% more scoring to opposing shooting guards. I like Harden especially in GPPs tonight.

 

Small Forwards

Once again small forward is stinky.

Paul George - FanDuel $8,500 DraftKings $8,900 DraftStreet $17,017
George projects for the best value tonight but you've got the blowout to worry about. This position is so shitty tonight that I'm tempted to just play it and pray because the drop off in expected value is precipitous after PG. According to our system, he could play about 75% of his usual minutes and still be a favorite as best value SF. This is of course on FD where the positional restrictions are tight. There's more flexibility elsewhere.

Wilson Chandler - FanDuel $5,600 DraftKings $5,600 DraftStreet $9,723
Not loving this play, but small forward is very weak tonight. He can disappear in a game (offensively, not physically, you can always see those tattoos) but also can dial it up for huge lines. The Clips probably aren't the matchup in which he'll go off, but like I said, you have to choose someone here tonight.

Paul Pierce - FanDuel $5,500
Two Nets in the same article (and I just barely left out D-Will). But it makes sense. You want to target slow teams against quick ones, when the slow dudes will just see more volume by association. Pierce needs to take about 12 shots a game to start hitting value/ upside and this is the game he'll be able to see the uptick.

Shawn Marion - DraftStreet $7,758
Went off last night and this price could look very silly later on.

P.J. Tucker - DraftKings $4,700 and DeMarre Carroll - DraftKings $4,800
Are two guys who are always underpriced on this site and just always seem to pay it off. I see them as interchangeable. Or take both and save for a stud.

 

Power Forwards

Kris Humphries - FanDuel $5,000 DraftKings $4,800 DraftStreet $10,951
Tried very hard to match Anthony Davis last night. That's hyperbole to some degree, but relative to price Humphries was every bit as good as The Brow. He went 16/12/3 and if you paired them together you are probably working with a much bigger bankroll now. Any concern about his minutes is diminishing and he is probably the best PF value on the board today.

Blake Griffin - FanDuel $9,800 DraftKings $9,800 DraftStreet $19,113
Denver sucks ass* against power forwards, allowing 14% more scoring than league average. This is the perfect situation for Blake with an up and down game that should be in the open court quite a bit. If Denver can hang Blake has tremendous upside. His price is over 10K on DraftKings which is pushing it.
*industry jargon

Derrick Favors - FanDuel $6,200 DraftKings $6,800 DraftStreet $12,452
Favors is good again. So you have that going for you. I shied away yesterday because of the opponent and he went ahead and put up a 28/10 line against the Spurs. Tonight he'll face Houston in a game which I expect the Jazz to go big with Kanter, meaning Terrence Jones will cover Favors. The Rockets allow 7% more scoring and 11% more rebounding to opposing power forwards. Favors is in a great spot.

David West - FanDuel $6,800 DraftKings $6,800 DraftStreet $13,333
System should love him a lot more than it does considering the opponent but that seems to be the story of the night with the Pacers.

Kenneth Faried - FanDuel $7,200 DraftKings $7,400 DraftStreet $13,971
On the war path. One of my favorite players to watch. He always looks so small on the court banging with the big guys and yet when he gets it going he looks like he can't be stopped. I like him for many of the same reasons I like Griffin tonight.

Josh McRoberts - DraftKings $4,500
Nearing punt prices for a guy who plays thirty minutes and chips in everywhere in the stat sheet.

 

Centers

Short list tonight. I'll be rolling Jefferson almost everywhere.

Al Jefferson - FanDuel $9,700 DraftKings $9,100 DraftStreet $18,981
While Noah makes for an intriguing play every night, Jefferson is where I'll be spending for tonight's lineups. The Hawks, while getting a bit better, are mostly just dreadful against opposing centers. I love Jefferson's upside and his price remains just a tad low for what he can do here tonight.

DeAndre Jordan - DraftKings $7,100
Would consider going away from Al Jeff here only because of super low price.

Roy Hibbert - FanDuel $5,000 DraftStreet $10,577
If it wasn't Philly I wouldn't even mention him and even then it was close.

Andrew Bynum - FanDuel $5,000 DraftKings $4,000 DraftStreet $9,070
Ah, fuck it.