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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

07/07/2014
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/7/14

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Total Bases

Mike Trout
Ever heard of him? He's the best player in baseball and you could make the case to play him every single day in this spot even against some of the ace pitchers. J.A. Happ isn't one of those guys of course. Happ isn't horrible per se, but the xFIP is in the 4's and Trout only rocks a 1.068 OPS against lefty pitching this season. Just your typical Mike Trout season going on as he throttles baseballs. Will be a popular play and for good reason.

David Ortiz
This is a matchup thing for Papi who has struggled a little bit this season (relative to his own career numbers). But Scott Carroll is a guy created to break hitters out of slumps. Guy doesn't strike anyone out, issues a few walks and is just generally bad at pitching on the major league level. Papi is better against righties though he's struggled this season thanks to a lower Babip which may come from the defensive shifts against him. But it's hard to shift on balls heading over the fence and that is in play today with his matchup.

 

Hits

Jacoby Ellsbury
Justin Masterson is other-worldly bad against lefties, allowing a wOBA close to .400 against them. There are a few Yankees to make a case for today but Ellsbury (and to some extent Gardner) seem like favorites (as much as that is possible) to grab some hits today. If it weren't for how dominant he is against righties Masterson wouldn't even be in the majors. But the lefties give him issues and the speed on Ellsbury makes him a solid play today.

Brock Holt
Hitting leadoff against Scott Carroll is a great place to start when you're looking to snag some hits. Holt's speed comes into play as well though I'd like to see his contact rate be a little higher. He strikes out at an 18% rate, but that doesn't come into play against Carroll who strikes out around four batters per nine. The volume hitting leadoff is the thing for Holt here.

 

Strikeouts

Stephen Strasburg
Not a fantastic matchup for Stras today which why I don't like him in a salary cap format as much. But here you probably need to play him strictly in terms of raw K's simply because he's by far the best guy going in that respect. The Orioles only K 19% of the time against righties but Stras strikes out about 10.5 batters per nine which is about as high as you'll see from a starter. He needs to be somewhere in your top three. I'm not saying he's a favorite to reach nine, but he should get close.

Mike Minor
The Mets aren't terrible against lefties, but man they strike out a lot. Like a ton. Like 24% of the time a ton. Minor has been running real bad this early season and I think this is a great spot to turn it around. There is some risk here of course as the Mets aren't a bottom feeding team but Minor is striking out a batter an inning and the xFIP is in the mid three's. Think he will be off some radars and is in a great spot to reach at least the six K benchmark.

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