Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks for ScoreStreak 7/19/14

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Total Bases

Paul Goldschmidt
Goldie has destroyed lefties this season and if we are looking for total bases this is a place to go. Travis Wood has an xFIP in the high 4's and is just generally a bad pitcher. The only thing that scares me off Goldschmidt even a little is that Wood can get K's while also walking a bunch of batters. This just slightly lowers his total bases expectation. Otherwise he is all systems go. His OPS is over 1K and he just feasts off of southpaws.

There are a ton of good options for total bases today, making some of the choices near the top end awfully tough. Bautista though is in a solid spot against Colby Lewis, who I'll be picking on a ton today across the industry. Lewis has been unlucky this season, but he's also pretty bad, sporting a mid 4's xFIP. Joey Bats is a stud with an OPS in the .900's who walks more than he strikes out.


Jose Reyes
Speaking of picking on Colby Lewis, I have Reyes down as our top hits guy for because he generates a lot of contact at the top of the order. He keeps his walks and his strikeouts low which means his chances at a multi-hit game is about as good as you'll see on the slate today considering the pitcher on the mound. The ballpark helps as well and this is who I will have across the slate.

Andrew McCutchen
Speaking of dudes who absolutely crush lefties, McCutchen is one of the true masters of the form. He has a wRC+ of 183 on the season against lefties with an OPS of 1.013 in that stretch. Brett Anderson is a great matchup and the only thing tempering me on McCutch is the ballpark and even that isn't enough to move the needle too much. Honestly, I could but him in the total bases category as well.


Gio Gonzalez
I think if you feel like going for 9 K's Gio is a fine place to start. It's a tough number to hit, but the Brewers are bad against lefties ranking 20th in the league in team wOBA against lefties while also striking out 22% of the time. Gio's biggest issue is that he struggles to go late in games because of the walks. This is the problem with having him in the highest slots even though he K's more than a batter an inning. But the opponent K's a ton and he should be in your top three for sure.

Felix Hernandez
Man what a season he's having. Just lights out. The xFIP is in the low 2's and he just flat out refuses to walk batters, choosing instead to embarrass them with the strikeout. His 6:1 K:BB is one of the best in baseball and even with the Angels being decent against righties I just think you need to have King Felix in the top three today.

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