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James Davis

Sleepers - Daily Fantasy Football Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, DraftDay and Draftster for Week 7

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A peek ahead at week 7

Looking for the week 7 picks? Follow the link! I go position by position and give you whom I believe to be the best plays, dollar for dollar, for Week 7's games. This article is going to be a little bit different. Instead, I'm going to focus on particular lineup formation strategies that might help you get some separation from the field and get those value plays and sleepers that will let you spend money elsewhere while cashing in for cheap.



Weekly disclaimer:
The whole concept of a sleeper in one week fantasy football games needs to be adjusted. First of all, there's no real such thing as a "sleeper," in that you're not really going to sleep on a guy until he wakes up. What you're looking at with cheap plays are guys who are priced very reasonably who could go off if all things break right. Sniffing out the best cheap plays with upside is really the only way to have a chance in hell at taking down some of these utterly massive NFL tournaments. You'll pay up for the big names, and then hope your bargain plays pay off. That's where we come in - here are some sleepers that we love for Week 6.

I'm not one for false modesty, so let me spell it out for you: our week 6 sleepers article was money in the bank. The only real misses were Andrew Hawkins and Andre Williams, and frankly, I'm not going to beat myself up over those calls. For this week, a lot of our favorite guys from last week haven't graduated to appropriate pricing - Andre Holmes in particular. We'll give you some new guys and rehash the case for some old sleepers that haven't, well, woken up just yet.

The post-hype sleeper RBs
Andre Williams - FD 6300 DK 4400 DD 8900 DFSTR 6200
Bishop Sankey - FD 5500 DK 3900 DD 8300 DFSTR 3300
Both guys were huge plays across the various sites last week, and both completely disappointed. They both actually have worse match-ups this week, and posted nearly identically mundane stat lines last week. So what on earth am I doing promoting them at the top of this article? Well, both are still incredibly affordable given the amount of touches they get on non-terrible offenses. The Titans draw the Washington Redskins this week, who have given up some huge games this season. The Giants draw the Cowboys, who are in the bottom half of the league in rushing yards allowed as well. Now, there's a chance the Giants get boat-raced again, and that the Titans continue their descent into obscurity - but for these discount prices you can definitely afford to take a shot on guys who are very clearly the lead back on their teams. If I had to pick, I'd give you Williams, only because his team has shown a lot of red zone confidence in him this year.

The arrived, but ignored
Jordan Reed - FD 5400 DK 5000 DD 8750 DFSTR 3000
Reed headlined our week 7 picks article, so I won't rehash a lot of it here - but you're getting a physical freak who will absolutely be priced in the Greg Olsen/Martellus Bennett tier if he stays healthy for a few weeks, and you've got a shot to get the big name TE upside as well with his red zone presence and Washington's lack of other effective RZ targets. Niles Paul did fantastically as a poor man's Jordan Reed. Buy now while the getting is good.

Ronnie Hillman - FD 6300 DK 4800 DD 8950 DFSTR 4100
I don't get the indifference to Hillman's performance last week. Are we witnessing the return of Terrell Davis? Probably not, but the pricing is downright offensive for a guy who just garnered 26 touches in the league's best (or 2nd best) offense. If he continues to get 75%+ of the work out of the backfield, his price is going to climb by 30-40% in the next few weeks. I'm all in while the getting is good, and while you could ask for a better match-up than the 49ers, his price builds in so much safety that you just can't ignore him.

Lamar Miller - FD 7200 DK 5300 DD 11400 DFSTR 6000
It's weird to call a dude a sleeper who has been doing it for weeks, but the DraftKings price on Miller is just ridiculous considering Moreno's renewed injury.

Jerick McKinnon - FD 5900 DK 4700 DD 8900 DFSTR 3200
This is going to be more of a boom or bust play. It depends who you believe - the stat line last week, where McKinnon out-touched Asiata 17-3, or the coaches, who claim that they want to bring Asiata back into the mix? Industry consensus seems to be that McKinnon will be the guy at some point, but his rawness will get in the way of him taking on 100% of the work load this early. Still, though - if the Vikes keep him in the 14-17 touch per game neighborhood, the big play/touchdown potential makes him a reasonable gamble in GPPs.

Cecil Shorts - FD 6400 DK 5400 DD 9050 DFSTR 3000
Allen Robinson - FD 5600 DK 4600 DD 8500 DFSTR 4500
Finally healthy, Shorts drew an incredible 16 targets in the Jags' last game against Tennessee, getting the nod over projects Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns. It's clear that, when healthy, he'll be Blake Bortles' main target. In a year that has seen Joe Haden go from "shut down CB" to "just a guy," Shorts makes for a very attractive play this week against the Browns. Robinson's price continues to flat line even as he continues to haul in receptions on a healthy dose of targets. Now, he's not looking much like a big play guy, but he has been the most targeted wideout in the red zone this year, so there is some upside there. And if you're thinking, "Well, the Jags suck - they won't get in the red zone!" Fair enough. But we're looking for sleepers, yes? If Haden does wake up, Robinson's match-up against the lost Justin Gilbert is a beaut.

Alfred Morris - FD 7200 DK 4700 DD 9750 DFSTR 4500
Strictly a DraftKings play, to me, but during our week 7 podcast Doug talked me into the case for Alfred Morris. Here's the thing - Morris is the Redskins' most used player in the red zone (15 carries), and in games where they were competitive, he actually got a ton of opportunity. I don't think he's exactly a dynamic talent, but he doesn't need to be to pay off on a sub $5,000 salary. The Redskins may be bad, but the Titans aren't exactly Superbowl material either. Wouldn't shock me at all to see him put up a more than respectable game.

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Opportunity Knocks
Andre Roberts - FD 5000 DK 4100 DD 5800 DFSTR 3300
Deeeeeeep sleeper territory here, especially with Jordan Reed back, but you might be interested to know that Andre Roberts has had 9 targets each of the last 2 weeks, and leads the Redskins in red zone targets this year. Now, that's only 5 targets, and that pace will probably slow down with Reed back, but there's obviously a comfort level here between Cousins and Roberts, and I nominate Roberts for the "guy no one has ever heard of that had 2 touchdowns in a game" potential for week 7.

I'm not with you yet
Scott Chandler - FD 5300 DK 4000 DD 5900
Robert Woods - FD 6400 DK 4300 DD 7850 DFSTR 3200
Two big issues here. For Woods, it's the price. You can just get better for the same price. For Chandler, it's opportunity. People are making a big fuss about "break out games" from both of them against the Jets, but that was a special situation where a true shut down corner effectively eliminated Sammy Watkins (3 targets) from the game. Not that these guys won't develop into something interesting, but I'll be investing my sleeper shares elsewhere.

Storm Johnson - FD 5400 DK 3400 DD 4000 DFSTR 3000
Oh man. The Jags have about the least inspiring run offense in the entire league, and Storm Johnson didn't do much to change my mind about that last week. Sure, he snuck in the end zone, but it's starting to look a lot more like the Jags are reverse-match-up proof when it comes to their running backs. I kind of think you could stick Adrian Peterson on this team and he'd average 2.4 yards per carry. It's a bad team, bad scheme, bad situation. Now, could he actually score some points this week? Sure. But give me Sankey on similar pricing, considering the Titans have actually shown SOME ability to run the ball effectively this year. Sankey's also the "man" in Tennessee, where Johnson got just more than half of the RB carries for the Jags last week. It's a stay away for me, but you might be bolder than I am!

Give a follow on Twitter @dailyfantasysr and @dougnorrie.

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Thanks, and good luck!


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