Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings 11/8/14

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Point Guard

Tony Parker - FD 6900 DK 6000
Look, the other night was a disaster for the guy. That's for sure. And it trickled over into my life as I had to fight like hell to keep in cash games with his stinker. I'm willing to drum it up somewhat to a reduced cast around him. That probably doesn't tell the whole story, but Parker simply isn't anything close to that bad. His reduced cost has me thinking we are buying very low all things considered. He is facing a Pelican team that hasn't historically been great against the point guard position. But more than anything this is a price thing. Parker is priced in the middle tier but could easily exceed this.

Donald Sloan - FD 5800 DK 5600
Still a price and opportunity thing. He isn't the best point guard on the slate obviously, but the Pacers really don't have anyone else who can get the ball over midcourt with consistency so he gets a look here. The price is simply too good on Sloan considering the opportunity and you need to live a bit with the bad nights. Because, again, he's not a particularly good point guard. But if he is going to play this many minutes, really what is the case against him?

Consider John Wall and Update: Isaiah Canaan with Patrick Beverley out.

 

Shooting Guard

Courtney Lee - FD 4500 DK 3800
It's just a pricing mistake, plain and simple. Lee isn't a transcendent talent at this point in his career, but all indicators are that he's going to be in this 35-37 minutes per game range. He's basically Kyle Korver with upside, and he's cheaper than him. This price won't be here long, and on a medium-short slate, getting in cheap here is the fast track to safety.

Kyle Korver - FD 4600 DK 4900Kyle Korver - FD 4600 DK 4900
Korver is a guy who our projection system loves day after day. While he's not the most exciting play in the world, he has a very well defined role in the Hawks offense, and when he runs a little hot from 3 he can put a very nice game together on these prices. With Shumpert likely to chase Teague around, Korver should have a favorable matchup with whoever's left.

Kevin Martin - FD 6200 DK 5700
Martin is actually an interesting case study in getting a little over-exuberant about early season returns. Martin shot 54% from 3 in his first two games, and was a huge start in cash games last night as a result. He came back down to earth and didn't provide the upside he could have, but still wound up putting up a pretty safe line. I don't think he will continue to shoot 20 shots a game, but on a squad where a lot of shots have opened up, he could be in line for 16-18. Miami's perimeter defense isn't the same with King James gone. Could be a nice night.

 

Small Forward

I'm not straying too far away from either of these guys tonight as I think there is just too much value in their prices and opportunity.
Chris Copeland - FD 5400 DK 5300
Price simply refuses to adjust on a guy playing more than 35 minutes a night for the Pacers and getting hi shots in the air. He's a PF on DK (where I also think he's a value) and what's really great about his game is that he isn't scoring dependent. Because he can offer a number of ways to contribute I think outside of early foul trouble, it would be really hard for him to not hit value on these numbers. He was a big start last night and that number will surely increase tonight. But his salaries allow you to get guys like Davis in at less-than-ideal prices.

Shawne Williams - FD 4400 DK 3900
Sort of the same story as Copeland, but cheaper. He's a poor man's Chris Copeland which isn't a statement you will hear too often (or ever). Williams has some versatility on a Heat team that has him playing a coupe of different roles. What really bodes well for the guy is how much run he continues to get even with McRoberts back in the fold. As long as he's in the starting lineup and getting these kind of minutes I don't see why you wouldn't play him at a tough position.

 

Power Forward

Anthony Davis - FD 10800 DK 10500
On a night where you can save at a lot of other positions, PF seems like one where you can afford to spend up. Davis draws the Spurs, which make for an interesting matchup this early in the season. They just got absolutely soul crushed by Dwight Howard, and the only difference for this game will be the return of Duncan. It's hard to believe that the crafty veteran will be able to stand in front of this force of nature. While Davis is incredibly expensive, he's paid this price and then some in two games this season, and has the highest upside (by far of any player on the board).

Pau Gasol - FD 8400 DK 7600
Pau has been a beacon of consistency on his new team, and I expect this will continue at least until Noah is at full health. After watching the C's struggle against Roy Hibbert, it's hard to imagine them containing a legitimate offensive 1a. option in Gasol.

Jared Sullinger - FD 6800 DK 6900
On the other side of the match-up is Jared Sullinger. He's put up 30+ FPs on FanDuel in all but one game this season, and has evolved into the Celtics #2 option behind Jeff Green. With Noah still dragging a bit, I think Sullinger will be a pretty solid cash game play.

Consider Boris Diaw

 

Center

Nikola Pekovic - FD 6600 DK 6000
Though it's early, some trends from last season have persisted. And one of those things is how Miami defends the interior. They really struggle with big men and are one of the worst teams in the league against defending opposing centers. Pekovic isn't a big upside guy, but he's coming in the middle tier and should see more than his share of rebounds. Pek is averaging a 14/8 this season, more than enough to get it done if you think he ticks up his production against undersize Miami squad.

Marc Gasol - FD 8200 DK 7800
The Bucks have been getting blitzed by centers for the better part of two years and I don't think anything slows that down in the short term. Kidd, like his predecessor Larry Drew, prefers to keep his rotations "fluid" (read: bad). And though Larry Sanders is a good shot blocker, he leaves a lot to be desired from a one-on-one defender. As of writing this Andre Drummond had an 8/7 at the half. Guys can get it on down low (wink) against the Bucks and I think Marc is in a good spot here. Gasol probably doesn't have huge upside here, but he feels awfully safe.

Omer Asik - FD 5600 DK 6200
Though he's no Dwight, we saw what can happen against the Spurs with Splitter out. Weird to say that, but they don't have a ton of athletic size inside and I think Asik should be in good shape coming very cheap. He's averaging more than eleven rebounds per game and double digit points. That kind of production against a team that can be exploited on the interior means you're getting in money good with a ton of room for upside.