Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 3/9/15

NBA! Post trade deadline. This is hard. But fun! Enjoy.

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Point Guards

Jeff Teague - FD 6800 DK 6600 DFSTR 7000
I know the Hawks take the team approach so it's tough to rely on any one guy when it comes to specific fantasy production. That's fine because all we have to do is wait for the price to drop enough that the team approach doesn't harm us as much anymore. That's the case with Teague now as his stock has dipped over the short term. His assist numbers have dropped a bit off his season average but I'm willing to buy at these prices against a weak Kings squad. Again, more a price play than anything else.

Tyler Johnson - FD 4500 DK 3500 DFSTR 3000
Is he really a 40+ minute per game guy now? I'd find that hard to to believe going forward, but if you project him for a modest 31 minutes at these prices then you have a great value on your hands. If he basically plays the whole game like he did against the Kings then you have a must play. As it stands, he's not going to shoot 67% from the field like he has his last three games. So expect something of a scoring dip. But if gets loads of run then he can survive a scoring drop. He's able to do enough in the rest of the stat line to keep the floor higher. Check Dragic's status before game time.

Chris Paul - FD 10700 DK 10600 DFSTR 8700
This is mostly contingent on Blake still sitting out. Paul's price has stalled a little on the way up but that's fine by us. He's getting a very weak defensive team in the Timberwolves and CP3 should have his way with Rubio.

Consider Mike Conley


Shooting Guards

J.J. Redick - FD 4800 DK 5100 DFSTR
After games of 47 and 44 minutes respectively, Doc Rivers gave Redick somewhat of a day off yesterday against the Warriors and only played the dude 27. Redick still managed to get up 12 shots in that time. With Jamal Crawford and Blake out of the lineup the Clippers are sorely in need of guys who can actually put the ball in the basket. And they are content with Redick putting up as many shots as he can handle while on the court. Look for those looks to be there again tonight.

Klay Thompson - FD 7100 DK 7000 DFSTR 7500
The key here for Klay is that the game stays close. Too often he and Curry fall victim to the minutes getting lopped off because Golden State is boat-racing some squad. But with an uptempo Phoenix team at home, this game could stay in range. And if you give Klay 35 minutes then he is the top shooting guard option on the day in this range. Been a minute since a Klay heat check. This could be the night.

Giannis Antetokounmpo - FD 6100 DK 6600 DFSTR 5700
Dude just plays so many freaking minutes and is so productive when on the court with his scoring and rebounding while also chucking in the blocks and steals. He's fantasy sweetness when he's rolling. Just needs the run from Kidd tonight against the Pelicans who don't have much in the way of matching up on defense.

Our projection system thinks Kyle Korver is coming at a nice price.

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Small Forwards

Danilo Gallinari - FD 5400 DK 6000 DFSTR 3900
We've put Gallo in the picks just about every game since he entered the starting lineup. And he's paid his weigh in all of those games. The bigget thing we were waiting for with the Nuggets' players was some kind of consistency in their minutes. Well Brian Shaw is gone now and the best players are getting the most run. Problem solved. He's averaged a 17/6 with some steals and blocks over the last four games and tonight will square up against a Knicks' team that really can't defend.

The rest of this position is filled with "ifs". These guys include:
Michael Beasley - FD 4200 DK 3700 DFSTR 3000
If Luol Deng were to sit again and the Heat are playing short handed.

Jae Crowder - FD 5100 DK 5200 DFSTR 3500
If Avery Bradley sits again.

If neither of the above guys work out you can consider Matt Barnes and Harrison Barnes who are both playing in what should be fast-paced and high-scoring games. They are coming on the cheap.

Power Forwards

Nikola Mirotic - FD 5500 DK 6200 DFSTR 4200
You don't love the matchup against the Grizzlies. Don't like that at all. And his minutes were down a little yesterday against the Spurs. But all in all, the price is still right on Nikola for a couple of different reasons. One, he's very productive in the minutes he does play thanks to his ability to rebound and get to the foul line. This Mirotic play is as much about the price as anything. Don't love the matchup, but the position is very weak (like always) and you are getting a dude with a decent floor all things considered.

Kenneth Faried - FD 6200 DK 6500 DFSTR
Falls into the same camp as Gallinari though he isn't nearly as consistent on a game-to-game basis. But Faried much be a happy man with Brian Shaw in the wind because Manimal has the reins off and is playing his full run of minutes. He only got up five shots last game against the Rockets, but I think that's an outlier. The Knicks will have trouble keeping up with his quickness down low as they are a super slow team in the post.

Andrea Bargnani - FD 5600 DK 5600 DFSTR 5000
Though I played him in the one dismal game against the Kings, but that seems like an anomaly. He's the *ahem best Knick player right now (which says a lot about their team) and is actually scoring enough to become relevant again. The Nuggets are one of the weakest teams defending in the front court and he should be able to pose some matchup problems around the perimeter.

Consider Ersan Ilyasova as a GPP play. And of course Anthony Davis has been playing so many minutes that his salary isn't totally nuts.


Some ifs here at this positions as well.

Marc Gasol - FD 7700 DK 7400 DFSTR 8400
This will be a grind it out game which I tend to shy away from. But I do like the price on Gasol and Chicago's been just about league average in allowing points and rebounds to opposing centers. Gasol as a play is also very much a price play. He's significantly less than a guy like Jordan while also offering a bit more safety than some other centers on the slate. Probably won't take you to the moon, but I like him as a cash game play.

DeAndre Jordan - FD 9500 DK 8800 DFSTR 7500
Speaking of DeAndre, this could be another rebounding monster for him. Minnesota gets eaten up by opposing centers, allowing 5% more scoring and 3% more rebounding that league average. Jordan is coming off some down-to-Earth games of late, which doesn't have me too far off him. If you are able to save some in the rest of your lineup then he has a very nice floor.

Now for the ifs:

Brandan Wright - FD 4000 DK 3700 DFSTR 3300
Makes a fantastic play if Alex Len sits again. Wright played more than 30 minutes the other night as the team's only center.

Hassan Whiteside - FD 8300 DK 8700 DFSTR 6400
If he is back from injury and you think he presses up to thirty or so minutes then he is in line for another strong night.
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