Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

04/11/2015
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Draftster 4/11/15

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Point Guards

Langston Galloway - FD 6100 DK 5500 DFSTR
Shane Larkin - FD 4800 DK 4500 DFSTR Both of these guys are seeing tons of run and with the season drawing to an end consistent minutes are a real premium. The Knicks are terrible, remarkably terrible to be honest, but they keep trotting these guys out there for 34+ minutes a night. Orlando won’t scare you defensively and if you’re telling me I can get a guy who’s basically locked in for 35 minutes, yeah, I’ll do that. Larkin offers more upside on a Pts/$ basis, but Galloway is the lead in the Knick backcourt.

Goran Dragic - FD 6400 DK 6800 DFSTR
If it weren’t for the foul taste leftover from the Dragon’s last outing I would have put him atop the list, but I’m a vengeful person. Dragic has had some poor games along the way as well as some fantastic outings and I think this matchup lends itself to a strong performance by the crafty PG. Toronto will be on the second half of their B2B and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Lowery sit after his first game back last night. Either way I like Dragic to a little bit of everything and if his shot is falling should easily hit value in this one.

Elfrid Payton - FD 8000 DK 7500 DFSTR
As of this writing Payton looks like he may finish with a mere 6pts on the night. That won’t deter me here as he will also finish the game with a 6/8/4/1line in the other categories. Considering Payton has only surpassed 14pts once in his last six games, but hasn’t finished with less than 35 fantasy points in any of those contests. Oh, and he gets all the run he can handle with high 30’s every night. Depending how the money works out I could see myself bump Payton up a bit in the pecking order.

Beno Udrih - FD 3500 DK 3000 DFSTR 3000
If Conley is out strongly consider Udrih. The matchup is pretty awful, but min price for a starting PG should never be ignored.

 

Shooting Guards

Victor Oladipo - FD 8000 DK 7200 DFSTR
Dipo comes in as the top SG play on the night, but not necessarily from a Pts/$ standpoint. The position, as a whole, is thin and what you have in Dipo are consistent minutes and a guy not reliant on scoring. Not to mention the Knicks are kind of bad. The Magic aren’t great in their own right so I don’t expect a full on blitzkrieg, which should keep Dipo on the court for his normal allotment of minutes. You’re going to get a little bit of everything from Dipo and if his shot is falling he will be one of the better plays overall on the night.

Dwyane Wade - FD 6800 DK 7200 DFSTR 8700
Wade has been showing his mileage lately and much to my chagrin for continually running him out there. Well, I guess I’m a glutton for punishment because I’m feeling the Wadester again tonight. His price has dropped, for obvious reasons, but that merely creates an opportunity to buy low on a guy that was 8k not too long ago. The Heat have been plagued by injuries this year, but that has allowed for core guys like Wade to dominate the rock when their healthy. Wade is sort of healthy. Assuming he starts and there isn’t any concern about his age, I mean knee, his price is too juicy to pass on considering what he can do if he gets his 30 or so minutes.

Courtney Lee - FD 3600 DK 3200 DFSTR 3700
If you want to create some separation from the crowd and squeeze a cheap guy in at SG Lee is your guy. If Conley sits I like Lee that much more. He likely won’t win you a big tourney, but at this price it’s hard to imagine he sinks your ship.
*Jimmy Butler – the Sixers get steamrolled by everyone and especially at SG. Butler missed last game, but if all systems are go he warrants strong consideration.
MISSIONBELT

Small Forwards

Tobias Harris - FD 6500 DK 6600 DFSTR
One of the easiest decisions of the night is Tobias Harris. His first few games back from injury were quite underwhelming, but it appears Harris has found his groove again minus the Chi game, which we won’t ever talk about again, ever. Harris finished last night’s game with 27 fantasy points (Fanduel), which has pretty much been his floor. SF isn’t exactly teaming with value so I’m more than okay settling on a 4x floor knowing Tobias has 7x upside.

Luol Deng - FD 5700 DK 5500 DFSTR 5200
It never feels good picking this guy, but he sure does have a great smile. Actually, Deng has been relatively safe of late. Since the Heat have dealt with a rash of injuries, Deng included, he has represented strong value when healthy. Deng’s healthy, which is more than many of the other Heat players can say. He won’t break the bank and he offers string value in the lower mid-tier price range.

Jeff Green - FD 5400 DK 5300 DFSTR 4700
I’ll be running the Harris/Deng combo quite a bit, but if you’re looking to get out of here a little cheaper Green is where you want to be, especially if Conley is out again. Green can be dependent on scoring, but I’m willing to roll the dice considering his desire to also shoot. The Clippers play sound defense, but if there is a hole it’s at SF where they are below league average against SF’s.

 

Power Forwards

Pau Gasol - FD 8800 DK 8300 DFSTR 8400
Taj Gibson - FD 5000 DK 4900 DFSTR 4900
Nerlens Noel has already been ruled out, which takes away one of the Sixers best defenders, not that it would have made much of a difference. So by now you know about the Sixers and you know about the Pau and Taj. I personally won’t be spending up for Gasol, but there’s no denying what he can do. I’m just too concerned he won’t see enough run to warrant the tag. Taj on the other hand should see plenty of run relative to his price. And considering he missed a fair amount of time he hasn’t taken the wear and tear of a full season. You can make a case to play both guys together, but as I said earlier, im not spending up here.

**At this point you need to wait and see who is starting for the Sixers, Knicks, and Raptors. I am 100% going cheap at PF tonight and all of the following can be considered depending on their game status
Tyler Hansbrough
Jerami Grant/Thomas Robinson/Furkan Aldemir
Whoever the Knicks start

 

Center

Center gets weird and in a hurry tonight. That’s why I’m willing to spend on Vuce and grab value elsewhere. He certainly won’t be the best Pts/$ center on the night, but the Knicks don’t offer any form of defense for what Vice can bring to the table. As long as the game stays close, which I imagine it will, Vuce should see his full run and dominate inside as he usually does. The Knicks didn’t have anyone to defense Vuce prior to their entire team getting hurt and bringing in the Replacements.

Hassan Whiteside - FD 7700 DK 7000 DFSTR 6100
He’s not quite the beast he was when he first burst on the scene, but as long as he stays out of foul trouble or re-injure his hand he stands to outplay Vuce on a Pts/$ standpoint. The only other legit big man the Heat have right now is Chris Birdman Anderson and he’s too old to play more than 10 minutes. The battle inside against, also foul prone, Valanciunas will largely depend on who stays out of foul trouble. Whiteside is longer and more athletic than Jonas, which should prove to be the difference between the two as Whiteside cruises to value. And of course his upside is still silly.

Cheaper guys to consider: Andrew Bogut, Joakim Noah, Justin Hamilton
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1 Visitor Comment

  1. So your suggesting 4 Magic players?

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