Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and DraftPot - 11/12/15

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Brandon Knight - FD 6700 DK 7000
Opponent - LAC FD Proj. Pts - 31.04 DK Proj. Pts - 32.91
This is a short slate and the decisions will get real close in a copy of key areas. But on FD, one of the point guard slots at least is easy. Knight is a clear value play at that price. It's a little closer on DraftKings where the difference in price between him and some of the other PGs is more of a decision. But as you'll see in some of the write ups belows, there are three guys dominating all of the shots for Phoenix this season and I think you'll be able to run all three. Knight is second on the team in field goal attempts per game and is second on the team in assists. He has a tough matchup for sure, but this is a great buy in the mid tier which you typically need on a short slate.

Stephen Curry - FD 10700 DK 10600
Opponent - MIN FD Proj. Pts - 43.78 DK Proj. Pts - 47.69
Here's your obligatory Steph pick. From a point of honesty, our system likes CP3 a bit more for the price, but I'm a little concerned he just isn't right with injury issues. His last two games he's looked rough and a bit off. Our system will having trouble sussing something like that out, but recognize he is the top pts/$ PG on the board. That being said, Steph feels safer even at a higher price tag. He's of course, the best. The Warriors could crush Minny in this one, but Steph's rotations usually keep him playing at least until the end of the third. That might be all the time he needs.


Eric Bledsoe - FD 8300 DK 8000
Opponent - LAC FD Proj. Pts - 37.73 DK Proj. Pts - 39.07
Bledsoe is clearly the Suns' go-to guy this season and he is getting up a ton of shots. Last season, in a crowded backcourt, Bledsoe was averaging about 13 shots per game in 34 minutes. This season? About 17 shots in the same amount of run. That kind of usage bump is nutso and it's paying dividends. He's averaging a 22/6/3 in the early going and I don't think the price is all the way there if he's going to keep up this kind of production. Though it's early in the season, the Clippers have let up a lot of production to the opposing two guard. That makes sense in that they don't have a lot in the way of defenders at the two.

Klay Thompson - FD 6800 DK 6700
Opponent - MIN FD Proj. Pts - 30.85 DK Proj. Pts - 34.23
It's a short slate so you are going to need to worry less about any kind of blow out factor. This is a tough slate to begin with, but I think you can play Klay. Thompson though has had some things working against him this season. First off, he's shooting about ten percent less shots per minutes than he was last season. And he's playing less minutes because the Warriors are blowing the doors off people. Klay's rotations mean that in blowouts he usually sees even less minutes than the other starters. But against Minny tonight, you can just play the best players at the position.


Justise Winslow - FD 3700 DK 4000
Opponent - UTA FD Proj. Pts - 20.23 DK Proj. Pts - 21.38
If you are looking to save some sheckles tonight, Winslow strikes me as a high floor player considering his price. Since Gerald Green left the team under mirky circumstances, Winslow's rocked minutes into the thirties. That kind of run is fantastic for basically a punt play. Now he needs all of those minutes to really hit value. He's averaging a 9/5/2 in the four game stretch with a block or a steal thrown in everyone once in a while. Those numbers aren't world-beating, but they are solid for cash games considering this slate and you will want to get some bigger money guys in there.

Nemanja Bjelica - FD 4600 DK 4700
Opponent - GSW FD Proj. Pts - 24.95 DK Proj. Pts - 25.78
Small forward is a great place to go cheap on this slate, especially considering some of the options. Bjelica is coming off the bench for the T-Wolves, but his rotations are getting him into big minutes as he's playing both down stretch in games and when it might get out of hand. And he's been a per-minute beast. Dude's averaging 13/8/4 in his last three games which more than gets it done. I'm typically hesitant to recommend guys coming off the bench, but this is an exception. He's just been that productive and Minny appears committed to giving him the minutes.

Consider Harrison Barnes who's getting up a lot more shots this season.


Markieff Morris - FD 5800 DK 5900
Opponent - LAC FD Proj. Pts - 30.77 DK Proj. Pts - 31.82
James and I go back and forth on Markieff. On the one hand, he's been just chucking up a million shots this season as he leads the team in shots per minutes by a large margin. Have ball will chuck is Markieff's theme. The problem though is the said minutes. He's only averaging 27/ game on the season because he gets himself into either A: foul trouble, B: the coach's dog house or C: both. It makes him risky, but it also keeps the price low. I'm playing him everywhere tonight. There is simply too much upside at a thin position.

Blake Griffin - FD 10200 DK 9400
Opponent - PHX FD Proj. Pts - 43.07 DK Proj. Pts - 43.7
He's second on the list for a couple of reasons. Let me start by saying that you will probably end up having to play him because when you look down that list of power forwards it gets pretty gross, pretty quick. I suppose there's a case for Draymond, but paying up for Griffin in this spot sure feels a heck of a lot safer. Blake's been a beast this season averaging 29/10/4 in a steady-eddie role for the Clips. Again, you won't be able to start all of the big money guys on this slate, but considering the state of PF and that this projects as high scoring and close to boot.



Tyson Chandler - FD 5700 DK 5400
Opponent - LAC FD Proj. Pts - 27.63 DK Proj. Pts - 28.2
There are a lot of problems at center tonight. With Bogut back both he and Ezeli are rendered useless in fantasy. That leaves us with only a few decent options. Chandler is on the cheaper end, though he doesn't feature a ton in the offense which means a lot needs to go right for him to pay off. Now, with his salaries, this game just probably needs to stay close throughout and he'll get there. Last time the Suns played the Clips Chandler had his best game of the season with a 14/17 line. I think for cash games this is the way to go.

Consider Karl-Anthony Towns as an upside play, though he could easily get very few minutes in a blowout.

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1 Visitor Comment

  1. Towns would probably play a good amount in a blowout, as is the T-wolves philosophy with young players (LaVine too for this)

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