Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 2/22/16
I'm writing this post while my wife drives us a couple of states down the East Coast. Saying I had to "work" was a nice way to pass the couple of hours and gave us both what we wanted. I got to deep dive some NBA while she listened to an assortment of alternative rock from the late 90's. Win win. Let's get to it.
If you want to grab a free trial of the winning projections that inform each and every one of these picks, check out our lineup builder and Google Chrome extension that auto-populates your lineups into FanDuel. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL (and MLB when the time comes)! Get started for free by clicking the button below.
First time with NBA? Be sure to read our free NBA Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.
A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there!
Goran Dragic - FD 6200 DK 6200
Opponent - IND
FD Proj. Pts - 28.42 DK Proj. Pts - 29.84
Like Deng below, Dragic is only really a consideration for me if D. Wade sits again. We've seen what happens to the Heat with Bosh and Wade off of the court. They've crushed both games thanks in large part to what Goran's done on the court when he's the primary usage guy. He's getting up about 70% more shots than his season average which is nuts. And one of those games only had him playing 20 minutes because of the blowout. His price has climbed for sure which can give you a little pause, but if he's the man in Miami then it isn't close to his true value.
Reggie Jackson - FD 6500 DK 6600
Opponent - CLE
FD Proj. Pts - 32.64 DK Proj. Pts - 33.87
There isn't an early line on this game, I assume, because of Kyrie Irving's status. There's some chance Cleveland could just blitz the Pistons, but if they hang then you can play Jackson at these prices. We had him as a top play against the Pelicans yesterday and he delivered with a 34/4/4 line that more than paid the day. Cleveland is a good defensive team but has been about average against opposing point guards this season. Jackson's prices are depressed somewhat because of a couple poor games and a last second DNP right before the All-Star Break. I think you are buying low on his skillset in this one.
Stephen Curry - FD 10600 DK 10700
Opponent - ATL
FD Proj. Pts - 47.56 DK Proj. Pts - 51.42
I just wouldn't be doing my job if we got out of this picks writeup without a Steph mention. It's funny, he isn't a guy we highlight a ton for a bunch of different reasons. He rarely projects as high as some of the other guys in his price tier (Russell, Lebron, etc) but this slate is weird and he's playing in the biggest total game. His points/$ projection doesn't blow me away, but there also isn't a ton of ways to get a lot of money in big and good on this slate. There are lower/ mid tier guys you can get away with now to save and that says nothing of a punt play or two showing up closer to game time. What I'm saying is that you may end up playing Steph just because of circumstance, all other considerations aside.
Strongly consider Chris Paul if you think there's any chance Phoenix can hang.
Jamal Crawford - FD 5300 DK 5600
Opponent - PHX
FD Proj. Pts - 27.75 DK Proj. Pts - 30.42
While Austin Rivers is out (great news for the Clippers, bad for Austin) Jamal has taken over much of running the second unit. And from a fantasy perspective he's been tremendous. He's putting up around 18 shots per game over his last five and averaging around a 22/4/3 in that time. Sure the price has climbed, but not in line with his new-ish found opportunity. Sure, the Clips could boat race the Suns in this one which is the only think scaring me off some of these Clips plays. Otherwise, Crawford makes a nice play at shooting guard where I think some of the bigger names are a bit overpriced.
Kyle Korver - FD 4200 DK 4400
Opponent - GSW
FD Proj. Pts - 20.25 DK Proj. Pts - 23.17
Vegas doesn't have this game getting totally out of hand with the Warriors only seven point favorites in a game with a projected total at 224. That's by far the highest on the slate and Korver's been playing significant minutes in the lower to mid-30's. It's mostly the opportunity at this price I'm interested in especially if the Hawks are forced to get into a shoot out with the Warriors (which I very much expect). He could see double digit shot attempts at least. Klay is a bad matchup for any shooting guard, but I think Korver is a fine place to get some exposure to this game on the cheap.
If D Wade sits again you can for sure take a stab at Gerald Green, inconsistency and all
Luol Deng - FD 5700 DK 5800
Opponent - IND
FD Proj. Pts - 25.68 DK Proj. Pts - 26.98
Deng is a much more attractive play if Dwyane Wade were to sit again. Right now the latter is a game time decision (where Wade seems to have spent most of the last couple of seasons). In the last two games without Wade out Deng's put up superstar numbers against the Wiz and Hawks. He's averaged a 29/11 in that time and been just amazing at these prices. Indiana is a real bad matchup for small forwards, really one of the worst in the league. That's the only thing even hurting Deng's value a little. But if Wade were to sit again then I'd see Deng as pretty much a must start in cash games from an opportunity and chalk perspective.
Giannis Antetokounmpo - FD 7500 DK 7100
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 33.66 DK Proj. Pts - 34.85
Just when I get comfortable with Alphabet's minutes Jason Kidd finds a way to go ahead and ruin my night. But it's hard to argue with what Giannis has been up to lately and it makes sense why he's seen such consistent minutes in the mid-to-high 30's. He fouled out right at the end of the fourth quarter against the Hawks the other night, losing two OTs (much to his owners' chagrin) but it at least gives us an idea about the minutes. Over his last four he's averaged about 36 fantasy points and tonight gets a Laker team getting blitzed by just about everyone, small forwards included.
Harrison Barnes - FD 4500 DK 5000
Opponent - ATL
FD Proj. Pts - 21.48 DK Proj. Pts - 22.98
Andre Iguodala - FD 4100 DK 4400
Opponent - ATL
FD Proj. Pts - 19.03 DK Proj. Pts - 20.16
I have both of these guys on here because our system is a fan of both at their prices in this matchup against the Hawks. It's a little tough to stomach, but I understand the points/$ value on them if both are playing around thirty minutes. This is going to be a high-scoring game with a ton of shot volume. They kind of fit into the Korver mold for me as ways to get some cheap exposure to the projected total.
Strongly consider Lebron James of course if you find enough saving elsewhere. He looks even better were Kyrie to sit again.
Jabari Parker - FD 5500 DK 5900
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 28.22 DK Proj. Pts - 29.23
We were a little too bear-ish on his minutes leading into last game which ended up looking pretty bad. Now of course, no one would have penciled him in for 51 minutes, but he played more than forty again in regulation and was a stud. Parker ended up with a 28/13/2 line though admittedly he did play 25% more game than usual. That being said, if Jason Kidd keeps his run even somewhat close to his recent output then he's a must play against the Lakers on this slate. There will be a few very chalky plays and Parker is one of them.
After Jabari there's a big of a value logjam at power forward. I'm going to quickly run through some of the considerations with a positive and negative about each.
Julius Randle - FD 6300 DK 6100
Opponent - MIL
FD Proj. Pts - 31.28 DK Proj. Pts - 31.97
The good: Milwaukee's been an abject disaster against power forwards this season, allowing around 8% more scoring and 4% more rebounding than league average to the position.
The bad: Byron Scott cannot be trusted when it comes to giving players consistent minutes or even keeping his starters from a game-to-game basis.
Kevin Love - FD 7200 DK 7300
Opponent - DET
FD Proj. Pts - 35.38 DK Proj. Pts - 37.9
The good: If Kyrie were to sit again I'd like Love for an uptick in usage. Even with Uncle Drew on the court, Love's seen a different role now that Blatt is gone.
The bad: The production hasn't been all that consistent thanks to some blowouts, a little injury and some crunch time playing time issues.
Jared Sullinger - FD 6000 DK 5700
Opponent - MIN
FD Proj. Pts - 29.38 DK Proj. Pts - 30.93
Kristaps Porzingis - FD 6500 DK 7000
Opponent - TOR
FD Proj. Pts - 31.6 DK Proj. Pts - 32.64
The good: Both have as high a ceilings as anyone in their respective price tiers.
The bad: The coaches don't play them enough consistent minutes to be anywhere close to safe.
Al Horford - FD 7200 DK 6500
Opponent - GSW
FD Proj. Pts - 35.94 DK Proj. Pts - 36.57
Oof, Horford again. If you read us over baseball season then you'll understand why I'm beginning to think Horford is creeping toward the Jhonny Peralta territory. A guy our system loves that doesn't always feel right. Big Al was bailed out some last game because of the double overtime game giving him a bunch of extra minutes. But know this: Golden State has allowed production to opposing centers this season and could be without Andrew Bogut again. GSW allows about 4% more scoring and rebounding to the position and like I've already said, this one will be high-scoring. If it turns into a blowout Horford could buzz you. But I actually don't mind playing him at these prices.
Karl-Anthony Towns - FD 9000 DK 8500
Opponent - BOS
FD Proj. Pts - 42.19 DK Proj. Pts - 42.93
Things are pretty close in our system between Andre Drummond and KAT with a slight points/$ edge going Dre's way but the raw points in Towns' favor. I'm tempted to roll Towns for a few extra bucks because the matchup is better on paper and it just feels a little safer. Sam Mitchell is running Towns out there for major minutes and the rookie big man's been able to put up some monsters in the short term. Boston is just a tick below average against centers this season and this game has the second highest total on the day after Warriors-Hawks.
Strongly consider the aforementioned Andre Drummond especially in tournaments.
So yeah, basketball season! And we've got some goodies you can take with you. At the end of the post, we have our NBA eBook that you really ought to check out before setting even a single daily fantasy NBA lineup. It's free, below.
GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM!
GET OUR FREE EBOOK ON DAILY FANTASY NBA!
- Stephen Curry: (AP Photo/Ben Margot)