fbpx

Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

03/02/2016
Ben Shushan

Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/2/16

There’s a full slate tonight, and according to our friends offshore, there’s not too much blowout risk (even the Lakers are single-digit dogs on the road!). The games do range from track meet to snail’s pace, but the latter can still provide viable DFS options, if caution is applied. I don’t find the first national broadcast terribly compelling (will the Spurs win by 7 or 17?), but I’m looking forward to staying up a little later for OKC vs. the Clips. Should be fun. Let’s take a look for some compelling matchups.

If you want to grab a free trial of the winning projections that inform each and every one of these picks, check out our NBA Optimal Lineups, Projections, Player Cards and Google Chrome extension that auto-populates your lineups into FanDuel. While the seasons overlap, you'll get access to our tools for the NBA and NHL (and MLB when the time comes)! Get started for free by clicking the button below.

First time with NBA? Be sure to read our free NBA Ebook on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.

A quick heads up - we post an updates article every day in the early afternoon, EST, to catch everyone up on how things are changing as a result of whatever news has come through. We also have great talks in the comments of that article. Hope to see you there!

We've also launched a Stats and Research Page, which includes a lot of the individual statistics that we use to make our projections. It's free! Enjoy,

POINT GUARD

Russell Westbrook - FD 11000 DK 11200
Opponent - LAC
FD Proj. Pts - 52.76 DK Proj. Pts - 54.57

Russ is not the highest point-per-dollar (PP$) play tonight, but as of this writing (depends on if The Brow plays – more on that later) he’s up there, and easily the best elite option. Regardless, y’all know I have a man-crush on Westbrook, and when the DFSR system says I can play him, I’m a happy camper. He has been playing so poorly, he recently bottomed out at 50.75 on DK on a consistent $11k+ price. Tonight’s statistical love is explained in simplest terms by the 221.0 O/U. This means the floor is high. There’s also virtually no blowout risk, and with both teams playing at a good Pace, the upside is still there (not too common with $10k+ options). As I said, I’m looking forward to the game, and, like many of us, will have the added pleasure of a vested interest (even if just for a night).

Emmanuel Mudiay - FD 5200 DK 5300
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 28.15 DK Proj. Pts - 29.39

If Russ is the best elite option, Mudiay is the best PP$ on both FanDuel and DraftKings, and it’s truly not even close. We’re looking at a 4x floor and a projected average of 5.5x. That’s value folks. My grandmother used to say everything good in life is either illegal, immoral, or fattening. Here’s the exception… a single word of caution: Lakers. Even with a single-digit spread, I see LAL and run screaming for a hedge position. I’ll still be playing him, cash and tourney. I advise you do the same.

Shelvin Mack - FD 3600 DK 4600
Opponent - TOR
FD Proj. Pts - 18.01 DK Proj. Pts - 19.24

If you want to punt at PG, Mack’s a great option on FD, where his price remains suppressed. He disappointed a couple of games ago (I know – I had him and he was the difference between cashing and not), but has been pretty consistent since being traded during the ASB. I’m fine running him out there (on FD) this time, even against the Raptors tough backcourt. At $3700, the likelihood that he doesn’t generate acceptable value is quite low. Note that this is a prime example of exploiting price opportunities between host sites. At $4700 on DK, I won’t touch him.

Lots of games, too many options, gotta’ mention Ricky Rubio. The system likes him almost as much as Mudiay, but I had to cover Russ and Mack because of their respective Stud/Dud status.

 

SHOOTING GUARD

Will Barton - FD 6000 DK 6000
Opponent - LAL
FD Proj. Pts - 30.84 DK Proj. Pts - 32.12

Even off the bench, run is run. Barton is the best PP$ option at his position on DK and almost so on FD.  There’s nothing fancy here – minutes >> opportunity >> fantasy points. Oh, and there’s the fact that he’s playing against the Lakers (actually above-average DvP on SGs, but still). When they’re running out JaKarr Sampson just to keep you on the bench and lead the 2nd squad, that’s pretty much all you need to know (notwithstanding what that says about the coaching). Yeah, Galo’s down, and that hurts, but JaKarr Sampson? Really??

Victor Oladipo - FD 7000 DK 7300
Opponent - CHI
FD Proj. Pts - 34.62 DK Proj. Pts - 36.05

With Evan Fournier at best questionable, Victor is in line for some high usage. He’s not particularly cheap, but even when his usual running mate is out there, ‘Dipo’s been seriously delivering since the ASB. His  outliers  are over 4x. The game should be close and played at an average Pace, so the minutes feel extremely safe, regardless of Fournier’s status. Chicago defends the 2 very well, but this guy is the hybrid’s hybrid, and the Bulls can’t stop SFs or PGs. I like this play a great deal, especially in cash games. Take the chalk and look for savings elsewhere.

Zach LaVine - FD 5200 DK 5500
Opponent - WAS
FD Proj. Pts - 25.54 DK Proj. Pts - 26.72

The Zach Attack is back. If 5x works for you, then this is your guy. He’s been incredibly consistent of late, whether coming off the bench or not, because he usually plays starters’ minutes. The Wiz play fast and are in the bottom 3rd of the league DvP-wise against the SG position. He contributes in enough categories to be a safe play (nearly a 6x despite a brick mason’s 3/13 effort from the field last time out), and I always like taking a home ‘dog (even if it is a team sport). The price point is nice too (he hardly moved during the month of February on DK, where salary is usually hypersensitive).

On a night with a ton of options and limited opportunities for write-ups, simply by virtue of the size of the slate, I feel compelled to mention The Beard tonight on DK, where the DFSR system loves him.

 

SMALL FORWARD

Matt Barnes - FD 5200 DK 5800
Opponent - SAC
FD Proj. Pts - 27.08 DK Proj. Pts - 29.42

Another night, another Matt Barnes recommendation. The Post-Lee/Post-Green Grizz are relying on him for minutes, and even without top-end run he still projects as easily the best SF on a PP$ basis on FD. He’s also getting love on DK, there’s just not the clear separation from the pack that there is on FD. I suspect the DFSR system likes the Kings’ light-speed Pace. His output has ranged a bit, from 3x to nearly 9x, so he’s volatile. This makes him a particularly good Tourney play.

Paul George - FD 8700 DK 8600
Opponent - MIL
FD Proj. Pts - 41.57 DK Proj. Pts - 44.28

The best PP$ on DK you ask? That’d be P.G., though he’s still a very strong sub-elite value on FD. He has a decent floor plus a lot of upside. The Bucks are bottom-3rd defending SFs. We think George’s minutes are very safe, and his Usage Rate has remained stable all year. From a cash game perspective, he represents another sub-$10k play, and a good place to park some dollars if your lineup allows. If the DFSR projections are right (and we think they are), there’s quite a bit of upside here too, making this not just a cash play but also a tourney option.

Robert Covington - FD 4900 DK 5500
Opponent - CHA
FD Proj. Pts - 23.4 DK Proj. Pts - 25.9

Covington is a nice play if you’re looking for someone below average cost (particularly on FD, where he’s only $4900). He’s projected for roughly the same PPG value despite a higher salary on DK, because of the differences in scoring systems. . The upside is there, but not so much the floor. Just look at his recent game logs and you’ll see why (a 2x followed by a near-8x). Being a 76er by definition brings some risk to the table just in terms of the occasional minutes buzz. Add in the fact that the Hornets are a little above-average in DvP, and this is not your safe pick, and I recommend him for tourney play only

Need to note that on DraftKings K.D. represents a fine option to spend any salary you may have accrued elsewhere. He’s rewarded there for the 3 and is slightly less expensive, making a substantial difference in PP$. There are better places to spend excess cash on FD. Exactly the same goes for Kawhi.

POWER FORWARD

Markieff Morris - FD 5400 DK 5500
Opponent - MIN
FD Proj. Pts - 32.21 DK Proj. Pts - 33.32

The newest member of the Wiz’s starting lineup is THE play of the day on both FD and DK. Again, it’s not even close. He’s _projected_ for a 6x. The T’Wolves terrible DvP on PFs surely has something to do with that, as does the 220 O/U. With a hard 4x floor and legitimate 7x upside, the bottom line is that the Other-Now-Exiled-Morris-Twin (I doubt he’s complaining going from the Suns to the Wiz) needs to be in your lineup. Cash or tourney.

Anthony Davis - FD 10200 DK 10100
Opponent - HOU
FD Proj. Pts - 52.97 DK Proj. Pts - 53.79

Ryan Anderson - FD 5800 DK 6100
Opponent - HOU
FD Proj. Pts - 24.56 DK Proj. Pts - 27.25

This is all about The Glass Brow. If he plays, he’s the elite ($10k+) option. He has a a 4x floor and infinite upside. If he gets a hangnail or some such, Ryan Anderson (whose numbers above reflect the AD-plays scenario) likely turns into a must-play (if the last game didn’t convince you, I’m certainly not going to). Houston plays extremely fast. They also have a great deal of trouble defending PFs and a nightly hodge-podge for a rotation that’s only gotten worse with Montiejunas back in the fold. Small ball? J-Smooth? Harden dominating the Ball? Good luck figuring that out (actually, that last one’s a pretty solid bet). Just play the Pels starting PF and move along.

Jared Sullinger - FD 6100 DK 6000
Opponent - POR
FD Proj. Pts - 29.88 DK Proj. Pts - 31.51

Another player at an intermediate price point, Sullinger’s not too sexy (I kind of think of Fletch when I look at him jump) but represents good/great value, depending on position and host site. The Blazers are decent against the 4 but terrible against the 5, where he plays most of his minutes. He’s shown a fairly hard 5x floor for a while now and spiked as high as 10k in February. While I don’t see that, a 6x or even 7x is not out of the realm of possibility (see two games ago). That’s supported by a likely high Pace (he is a Celtic) and O/U around 220. Solid PF option on FD. Note that on DK he’s (correctly) listed as a Center and is a viable alternative to the top plays in terms of value.

Again, we can’t write up everybody, but Z-Bo is a nice option on FD, and Darrell Arthur is one of the punt plays of the night everywhere.

 

CENTER

Dwight Howard - FD 8100 DK 7600
Opponent - NOP
FD Proj. Pts - 39.23 DK Proj. Pts - 39.92

On FD, Dwight is the Center value of the night. On DK, he’s even better (note the price difference – odd to see him lower on DK than FD), though he has some competition in terms of pure value. He’s not an overwhelming option compared to some at other positions. He also won’t completely bust your budget, and has a nice combo of high floor/high ceiling. He has also been playing really, really well lately and as of right this second there are no concerns about his health. The Pels don’t have a true 5 they can keep on the floor very long, as reflected by their bottom-five DvP. He’s a good play on both sites, for slightly different reasons.

DeAndre Jordan - FD 7900 DK 7600
Opponent - OKC
FD Proj. Pts - 37.22 DK Proj. Pts - 37.96

DeAndre represents a nice, safe play on both FD and DK. He has a slightly higher floor than Howard, but also a lower ceiling. If you like having a stake in Lob City, this is where you buy, even though OKC has an outstanding DvP against Centers. He simply can’t be stopped on the glass, even with the best Mustachios in the business contesting things hotly (Davis always gives the effort). Jordan’s a viable alternative to spend some cash at the position if you just can’t get behind Dwight. Don’t forget Sullinger above as an alternative as well.

On DK you also have to give strong consideration to Andre Drummond (straight-up value play) and Mason Plumlee (very close to a punt play there with his sub-$5k salary) They’re just average alternatives on FD. KAT also deserves mention on DK if you don’t mind a little volatility (read: tourney consideration).

So yeah, basketball season! And we've got some goodies you can take with you. At the end of the post, we have our NBA eBook that you really ought to check out before setting even a single daily fantasy NBA lineup. It's free, below.

GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM!

GET OUR FREE EBOOK ON DAILY FANTASY NBA!

And Daily Fantasy NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings every day!

image sources

62 Visitor Comments

  1. Guys love the advice lately, but you are giving way too much respect to Oladipo and Shelvin Mack. You recommended Oladipo yesterday and he absolutely sucked. Shelvin Mack is too risky even as a value pick. He needs to be 86’d. Robert Covington is a risk as well, but he’s more of a safe bet than Shelvin Mack.

    What I’ve learned in the past few weeks is to not stack up lineups with more than 1 high priced superstar. What works lately are high value picks well rounded spot 1 to 9. Stacking lineups with a bunch of high priced players is a recipe for disaster if just 1 of those stars has an off game.

    Tonight, players should stack up their lineups with high value picks and this looks like yet another night where you’ll have to score at least 300 points to cash out…just saying…

    • I see what you’re saying, Corey, but to win a tournament, you have to have EVERYTHING go your way no matter how you build a lineup. (At least I imagine so, not that I’ve done it.) And that could be a balanced lineup, or it could be Russ and CP3 going crazy against each other tonight (as one example). The best way to mitigate your own risk is by playing multiple types of lineups. There’s value in both types–a balanced lineup where each player has the potential for 40+, or one where some guys can reasonably get 60+ and others 25-30+ as punts.

      I agree on Dipo tonight though. Last night’s stinker is keeping me away from him, rational or not.

    • Corey. Tend to agree here on Oladipo. Sometimes in an effort to get out picks we are forced to make assumptions while a current game is playing out. Oladipo had his minutes lopped off though a big part of that was foul trouble early. I did bump Dipo’s minutes down some this morning because I’m worried about the Skiles effect on his run.

      I disagree on Mack though. He’s the definition of a value play considering his price. He’s a min guy who needs only about 25 minutes to hit expected value. I have no issues playing him if he’s still a starter.

    • You are So right but sometimes the high value players don’t pan out OLADIPO hurt me he’s someone I don’t play mack at all Covington he’s a so so player

  2. Just made a lineup based in these predictions. Looks pretty solid but every night it’s a crap shoot.

    Do you guys think Ryan Anderson is back to old form or his ability to rack up the points just based on matchup?

    • His ability to rack up points at these salaries is directly tied to whether Davis plays or not. Davis out = Anderson must play.

  3. I played recommendations from yesterday with guys that should have scored me at least 375. But the players still have to preform. This is like the lotto but with a bit of stradegy in hopes your guys will play like they should. This site had given some real good plcks and some that just didn’t come through. Good luck guys.

    • Shawn thanks for the nice words. Last night I played three different 50/50 lineups on FD and cashed all three (one even had Teague) and the optimal lineup on DK (with adjustment made for Curry news) which cashed everything.

      We are working with weighted means which implies lineups more geared to cash games.

  4. My first lineup has Russ, CP3, and PG…and I am very comfortable with the players around them.

  5. Dipo’s price has finally caught up to his production…he needs a dream matchup for me to play him again. To his credit though Orlandos players were pulled early bc they were just destroying. Speaking of, Dipo has a good matchup tonight but Mccollum has a higher usage rate and has more uside so id rather roll with him for $100 more on FD

    • Good info on CJ, but the Boston D is really good and his variance is enough to scare me. Frankly staying away from both guys and going cheaper (>$6200) for the majority of my SG picks tonight, although I will take a couple of fliers on the Beard.

    • Thanks for reading. If I knew Oladipo and McCollum were both going to play 36 minutes I’d take DIpo just about every time I think. The defensive stats really swing the tide for Dipo though his floor is lower because of the minutes issues.

    • Tonight is a good night to not spend up on SG…except for Harden, he should meet value. I still think theres better guys that high of a price and that have a better line for their team though…. for $6300 on FD for SG you must be talkin bout Ellis….guy has been on a tear!! I still like Barton more bc Paul George is probably going to be the star tonight for IND.

  6. Takin this one to da bank! Thanks for all the help guys. Cashed in nicely last night bc of your Korver recommendation 🙂
    PG Isaiah Thomas BOS $7,800
    PG Emmanuel Mudiay DEN $5,200
    SG Will Barton DEN $6,000
    SG JJ Redick LAC $4,900
    SF Jeff Green LAC $5,300
    SF Kevin Durant OKC $10,600
    PF Aaron Gordon ORL $6,500
    PF Markieff Morris WAS $5,400
    C Nikola Vucevic ORL $8,100

  7. is anyone else not seeing Markieff in the lineup tool?

    • Just posted this at the same time as you

  8. Hey guy, Markieff Morris is not listed anywhere within the optimizer..

      • If bryant plays i think russell is a no go…kobe is trying to end his carreer with as many shots as he can take every game so that leaves everyone else DOA when he plays. As far as Boogie, staying away bc of memphis pace of play……sloooooooowwwwwww…fantasy point killer!!! Im spending up elsewhere

    • If you cant see him pencil him in bc they projected him very very high…crazy high line and the defense is among the worst against PF. PLUS….hes new to the team so hes going balls to the wall to impress and earn his paycheck. hes locked in for me in every single lineup…im feeling a 40 FP night from him 🙂

  9. Two plays I have questions about. 1. Russel v mudiay. Deangelo has been hot and is basically the same price as mudiay. He’s also a much better shooter imo. Two boogie. That Memphis front court is strung together with a few scrubs and z-bo. Get z-bo in foul trouble and he’s just scoring when he feels like it.

    • Holiday is a great play no matter if he does or not. Actually i might switch thomas out for him now that you brought that up…its very very close for me…they are nearly identical..thomas usage is a smidge higher but their opponents pace is slower…their line is very high though..yet holiday usage is just a little lower but their opponents pace is higher…their line is just a little lower but still great….decisions decisions

      • Why no love for Barnes? Hes highly rated for a reason…everything should line up for him to do work tonight and put up a 30 to 35 fp night…crazy high line, their opponent play at a ridiculously fast pace and also his opponents are terrible at defending SF pos and hes priced just right to snug big time ballers into your lineup. Sign me up!

        • Lavine is a good play but WAS is decent at defending that pos. Barton threw up a dud last game so not that many will play him today…and hes playing the Lakers…hence why Im all over him…everyone knows Lavine is playing well…but im thinking he will meet value and not skyrocket through his price point like others at his same value can…since deng is out i think the team is going to rely heavily on towns, and once they shut him down they will fall apart and rely heavily on Lavine. But since they are above average at defending SG i think he will struggle

          • Vlad I think you’re right about shabazz…hes almost a must play if hes starting…since deng is out hes going to get run….AND heres the best part…this is a position that WAS cant defend well at all to go along with a great line..Also his usage will get a big bump…going to have to LOCK him in if hes starting.

            Portis? mmmm i dunno…even though hes getting all the run his opp are average at defending PF. pos. Plus i think Gasol is the man of the night for CHI..his usage rate goes up to 24 to almost 28 with gibson off the floor and opp is terrible at defending C….not to mention Rose will probably play.. his usage goes from 26 to 31!!!!! Those two guys are the team…portis might get extra rebounds from the shots rose will be hurling out there..thats the only way i see him doing well IMO

        • Yikes, was wrong wrong wrong about Lavine…he will do well tonight..they are terrible at defending SG pos but i think wiggins will be the beneficiary tonight…
          usage without deng
          wiggins 26 up to 27
          lavine 24 down to 22

          Lavine still will meet value and a great play

    • Kobe is back tonight – this could kill D’Angelo’s value.

  10. If Brow sits doesn’t it make Holiday a must start too?
    We also know about Gallo and faried sitting I could use Jokic with Howard. We also know taj is injured so Portis will have all the run
    Honestly I don’t trust Barnes we know that dieng is missing the game I love Muhammad as he’s likely starting. I would take Lavine over Barton in any matchup. What do you guys think?
    Last night cashed very well in the multipliers it came down to Draymonds last rebound as millsap and klay did very well in the fourth

  11. Just wanted to say I appreciate what you guys do. You are always where my research starts every day. Nothing you could do about Dipo yesterday, Skiles burned everyone. Why that guy keeps getting head coaching jobs baffles me.

    • crowder and sullinger are only ones worth rostering…thomas has a good rating and johnsons minutes arent there to do anything with his price…very limited upside as well. Instead of Johnson take a look at darrell arthur…hes 300$ less and should get 22-25 min with a usage rate of almost 17, hes going against the LAKERS too!! They suck and defending the pos and the line is hella good…sign me up

      usage rates
      sullinger 21
      crowder 20

  12. Anyone stacking the Celtics medium priced played (sullinger, Bradley,Johnson)? They have an o/u projected at 111 with a spread of -4.5.

  13. I took someone’s advise to play DK instead of FD last night and advise all the intermediate and beginners to do the same . I started with the same lineup in both 25 deposit in DK and 60 of my bank on FD well my bank on DK is now 80 and FD is 60 less then I started. Thanks to the ability to make last minute changes !!!! And thank you to the guy you suggested this yesterday

    • I mentioned I switch from fanduel to draftkings because of the late scratches. I like to have the ability to switch them if need be. I don’t know if it was me or not, but I also like the fact that draftkings seems to get easier and easier the more I play. I guess you could say I’m understanding it better.

      They do have a beginner’s mode as well

      • MARKIEF for sure!!!! Hes poised to have a big game…similar in price too with way more upside…thats only if the brow is playing. if hes out then playing anderson alll day!!

  14. Howard is cheaper than gasol and more upside if Davis doesn’t play. Not sure if I’ll even take Howard. Jokic will be the underdog with only like 5% ownership which I love to gamble on. So who would you take at pf other than Anderson?

  15. ON another note,
    Oladipo is an extremely good contrarian pick. He was garbage last night. Just saying.
    Also, for some weird reason my other source of info has Ricky Rubio very, very high for some strange reason. Honestly, I can’t see it because he’s got to defend a speed demon in John Wall.

    with that said, I’m drawn between playing Rubio or John Wall tonight.

    Paul George is also a good pick however, he does not play anything like his price and he seems to be showing signs of fatigue as his shot has been real, real flat. I’m more apt to go with K.D. over P.G.

  16. Corey:

    I think I mentioned Rubio in passing. We only do a certain number of picks every night and sometimes we have to make a call. We actually discuss it (even though it’s technically a free resource – we take it seriously),

    Hate to bang the drum, but… Are you a subscriber? You can see what the DFSR system thinks of Rubio in s specific,quantified way with a base subscription, or have an even better experience with the premium subscription and see how the specific projections for all players fit together, much more quickly – and Optimally!

  17. I do like Barnes in most cases, but not here. In his 2 games against what should be a vulnerable Sacramento D, he shot a shocking 1 for 16 from the floor, and had 5 fouls in both games.

    • Gordon is a good play…but his usage rate worries me which limits his upside as of right now…currently with brow playing hes sitting at a 17… with him out you might as well stack Holiday,gordon,anderson bc they will be used a ton and make for awesome plays

  18. I think you guys are forgetting some key must plays.
    Are we all forgetting about what Eric Gorden has done on his first night back, at 5100 on draft kings he seems like a superman of a play. And don’t forget about Trevor Ariza, at 6,100 playing 40 minutes a game. Crushing the stat box.
    And has anyone noticed kawhi Leonard is only 7,700 and has been getting ng 40+ points for the last seven gained. Closer to 45+ points. Just a few things to think about that I haven’t heard you guys talking about. These three guys seem fantastic to me, with there matchups being almost as good as it gets as well. What do you guys think?

    • Hey Rushmore – on a huge night, we just can’t list every single guy. That’s what the lineup tools are for. I like your list!

  19. Two must plays for me as it is now not considering all the injuries are Eric Borden and markief Morris.
    With kawhi and Ariza in a close second.
    We all know there are is me great guys to get like Howard and Current, or Westbrook. Guys with high floors and good matchups, but if nyhour looking to get a lot of bang for the buck, I think its the way to go.
    Of course when the injury report comes in we might have to add a few must plays in.

    • Here Ben great value plays at or around 5k today. with good usage rates, minutes, line and matchup.

      mudiay, barnes, lavine, cole, reddick, beverly, Gary harris, markieff, portis, muhhamed, stevenson, aurthur, smith, jennings, adams.
      I’ll mention Mack only bc his minutes are there but the opp rating sucks and the line is low….but!! his usage rate is 20!

  20. Ben,
    Calm down dude. I have the $24.95 subscription kid and have had one for the last few months. I am just relaying my experiences. That’s the whole point of making comments…at least I thought it was. I support Doug and this site 100% and I make it a point to tweet out to my followers from time to time about this site.

    But the big thing that I would like to say is that there are some big misses that this site drops the ball on. FOr instance Bogdanovic and Teletovic were ranked high as hell potential wise I think last night, but nothing was written about these dudes. Both of these guys had really good games the other night, yet nothing was written.

    I like the value picks, but there has got to be someone else out there other than David Sloan, Shelvin Mack, Fournier, Oladipo, Mudiay, Covington or Steven Adams. This site recommends these guys every other day and I know there’s other guys out there that have just as much value.

    Just my two cents. Just a little constructive criticism but all in all I love the site and the projections.

    • Hey Corey – these articles are to list the top plays, so we do. When prices are slow to adjust, we wind up listing the same guys frequently. Many of the readers of the articles have never been to the site before, so we don’t want to mislead them by listing sub-optimal plays (even if they are very good plays) just to give a change of pace. We also can’t list every good play because, well, then we’d have nothing to charge money for :p

    • No worries here. Wasn’t being defensive, just trying to answer what I thought was a legit question. And of course we (especially Doug and James) are stoked you’re a subscriber. 🙂

      Only reason I thought you might not be a subscriber is because the numbers (as of time of writing) did in fact love Rubio too, so you’d be able to see that. But we have limited time and space, and decided highlighting an elite option (Russ) and a good punt (Mack) were the best use of space. I also wanted to convey that we do think about this stuff and _care_ (and not just from a pride-of-authorship POV).

      I think James has already summed up the underlying issues.

      Personally, I think it’s great that you’re here, contributing (the retweeting is just sweet), providing input (including constructive criticism), etc. I contribute for these guys because I think they have the best projections around and are developing tools, analysis, and resources to match. But the writeups are based on expected averages, not outcomes (which I can tell you know, just wanted to emphasize for newer players/visitors). If I knew the outcomes (and could avoid the “big misses” you highlighted) I’d… probably still be writing up picks, because I enjoy it. But I’d certainly be financially more secure. 🙂

      Anytime you want to engage in more extensive conversation, you (and anyone else here) are welcome to contact me directly:

      bshushan@earthlink.net

      I love talking about this stuff, but don’t want to cram the board and interrupt the flow.

  21. Deangello tussle is looking mighty tastey as well

  22. Let’s talk about bobby Portia, looks like Gibson isn’t gonna play. What do u think about Portis at 4,800.

  23. James,
    no doubt. I totally agree but with that said maybe you should start limiting how many picks you make at every position you have in your articles because it might tick the paying customers like myself off….

    • DFSR will always try to balance mixing free content with paid content. With the optimizer live in particular, even getting a list of dudes will put people dramatically behind the curve. DFS is too competitive to win without SOME projection system. I’m partial to ours, of course 🙂 But yeah, people just won’t win long term on just picks articles without projections on basically every guy each night.

  24. Dude, he is giving you options. Don’t forget we get a limit to the salary we can spend. The more options the better, as long as they are researched and have good upside. U need different choices to fit your salary together. What if you need a cheep shooting guard, as a mid priced, or and expensive one to finish off your salary. Say he gave you one choice and it was to cheap or expensive to fit correctly in your lineup. Choices are a good thing!!

  25. Tell me what you think of this one guys.

    Deangello Russle 5800
    Will Barton. 6,000
    P.J. Hairston. 3,700
    Markief Morris. 5,500
    Dwight Howard. 7,600
    Montana Ellis. 6,100
    Jeff Green. 5,000
    Kevin Durant. 10,200

    50,000 total
    I’m liken it.

  26. I have 54k to blow. I’m it was afraid Mudiay is going to blow tonight in my UTIL spot. #STUMPED #DK

  27. That last minute Brow lineup really did not put up.

Post a Reply

FREE EBOOK

SECRETS TO CRUSHING DAILY FANTASY FOOTBALL!
DON'T SET ANOTHER LINEUP BEFORE YOU READ THIS BOOK.

DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!