Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy Basketball Injury News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/16/16
Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!
Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.
By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!
What We Know
Taj Gibson is still a great play with Pau Gasol out
He's the only thing they've got resembling a strong 5 at the moment, and should play big minutes against the Wizards here. The more interesting discussion for me is what happens with Nikola Mirotic. We're tentatively slating him for 29 minutes, but I could see scenarios where he plays both more or less. How's that for helpful? I think he's still a useful play against the Wiz.
JaMychal Green is starting for Zach Randolph again
But we're on back to back awful games from him after his break-out stretch. It's not the worst match-up with the Timberwolves, but it's impossible to call him safe given his uncertain role and erratic play. Still, he makes for a nice big tournament play given the industry malaise surrounding him right now.
Kristaps Porzingis is back, Arron Afflalo will still come off the bench, and Sasha Vujacic will start
Porzingis can only be considered a big tournament play (though he's an intriguing one, to be honest) given what he can do if his minutes break right. Afflalo and Vujacic, meanwhile, are both unplayable in any format on account of them splitting minutes.
Update: Lebron is out. Irving, Love and Shumpert are borderline must plays.
Update: Rajon Rondo out. Collison gets a bump.
What We're Waiting to Know
Will Derrick Rose return?
He's been out for three games, but he went through a full shoot around on Wednesday, and Hoiberg is "optimistic" that he'll be back here. E'Twaun Moore would likely be the odd man out if he does come back, as the wing/guard spots are starting to get crowded not that Dunleavy and Mirotic are both playing as well. Rose is going to play on a minutes' restriction.
Will Lance Stephenson play?
Stephenson looked good during shoot-around for the Grizz on Wednesday, and his return would certainly steer minutes away from some of the zillion combo guards that Memphis is throwing out right there. The safest bet is to just take minutes assumptions from the Hawks game. It stayed relatively close (at least compared to their 50 pt loss to Houston) and was probably a fair indicator of what we'll see here. Still, the situation is a total mess. If Stephenson plays, though, he looks good to me.
Nikola Vucevic's and Elfrid Payton's status.
Payton missed Tuesday's game, and Brandon Jennings put up a huge night in a spot start for him. If Payton's out again, it stands to reason that Jennings will have the starting role again, in which case he'd probably be an every lineup guy at minimum prices. Meanwhile, Vucevic's absence opened up the door for Jason Smith to pour in 42 fantasy points in 28 minutes on Tuesday, leaving him in big tournament consideration. Smith's performance has been up and down, but he now has some monster games since Vuc went down.
Will Norris Cole come back tonight?
Cole's return would crush the value of Toney Douglas, who has turned in some huge (and some bad) performances as a starter in the New Orleans back court. I don't think Cole will be playable immediately just because his price is based on high 30s minutes, but I'd wait for confirmation on his absence before playing Douglas.
Will Bradley Beal play?
He claimed to have not experienced any soreness after he returned against the Pistons on Monday, but he did miss practice on Tuesday. I'd be cautious even considering him until I get confirmation that he's playing, and frankly, I'm not sure he's worth his prices either way.
The "Every Lineup" Guys
These are players that show up in each of the top 10 lineups as produced by our lineup optimizer. This doesn't necessarily mean that they're "safe," it just means that their projected weighted-mean point total is a solid building block for a great lineup foundation today.
Victor Oladipo - FD 7000 DK 7400
Opponent - CHA
FD Proj. Pts - 34.79 DK Proj. Pts - 36.41
Brandon Jennings - FD 3500 DK 3700
Opponent - CHA
FD Proj. Pts - 23.09 DK Proj. Pts - 24.97
This assumes Payton's absence, but it looks totally sensible to me. We gave you Oladipo as an every lineup guy yesterday, and he put up 42 fantasy points against the Nuggets. Jennings almost paid 10x points per dollar on these prices. All systems go for both unless Payton unexpectedly returns.
Ricky Rubio - FD 6900 DK 6600
Opponent - MEM
FD Proj. Pts - 35.1 DK Proj. Pts - 36.13
Another returner to the "every lineup" circle, Rubio is on back to back games with 46 or more fantasy points, and his salary hasn't moved. This game he'll be up against... Briante Weber? Rubio's seeing the floor as well as anyone in the league right now, and he's still 10% below where his price will land if this continues. Love him in any format.
Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial of our lineup optimizer!
- Ricky Rubio: (AP Photo/Jim Mone)