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Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

03/26/2016
Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Basketball Injury News and Updates for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/26/16

Welcome to the daily updates and injury news article. We'll try and update it right up to line-up locks with as much information as comes across our desks. Let's get to it!

Last night's picks can be found here, so you can wrap your mind around what you need to be looking at before lineups lock tonight.

By the way - we keep our projection system updated with all of the changes as they occur throughout the day right up until lineup lock. Every day. If you want access to that system so you can cut out a lot of the research element, click the button below!

What We Know

Wow, there's a ton to get to today. So much for a sleepy little Saturday in NBA DFS.

Tim DuncanTony ParkerLamarcus AldridgeKawhi LeonardSpurs resting everyone
This news is great to have early. San Antonio has chose to rest basically their entire starting lineup for this game. It's means that the Spurs will have something in the way of ten active players on their roster tonight: Patty Mills, Andre Miller, Boris Diaw, Kevin Martin, Kyle Anderson, Danny Green, David West, Boban Marjanovic, Matt Bonner and Jonathon Simmons. Projecting minutes for these guys is difficult though I think you'll see very heavy run for Mills, Anderson, Diaw, Green and West at the minimum. It creates a situation where I think you can basically stack 3-4 min-priced Spurs and then just shoot raw points with the big salary guys on the slate. This is a crazy situation for sure. It could mean the Spurs get rolled by the Thunder, though I'm not worried about the blowout risk for minutes on the San Antonio side. It's a little dicier for OKC but I'm still fine playing Westbrook and Durant simply because you can.

Update: Boban and Diaw starting. I think they are both must plays.

Matthew DellavedovaMatthew DellavedovaKyrie Irving is out
He'll rest tonight (along with the rest of the NBA) and Matthew Dellavedova will get the start. The biggest beneficiary of this move is Lebron who sees about a 15% usage bump when Kyrie is off the court. The rest of the team has negligible upticks though I'd consider Love for some extra shots as well. Lebron enters must territory with this news and I suspect he's a near 100% start in cash games tonight because of all the savings you're getting.

 

What We're Waiting to Know

Jrue HolidayWill Jrue Holiday play?
He was a near last minute scratch the other night against the Pacers and the Pelicans played ridiculously short handed. Their injury issues this year have been just about as bad of luck as one team can get. They've basically lost their entire starting lineup plus some over the course of the year. With Holiday out last game you saw a ton of minutes go Tim Frazier, Alonzo Gee and Toney Douglas' way (though the latter not as many as I expected). Holiday is interesting tonight if he's back in the lineup simply because he's a place to spend up some with all of the low end value coming from the Spurs.

Jon LeuerJon LeuerWill Tyson Chandler play?
Jon Leuer burned many a DFS-er last night by getting into foul trouble early and playing only 16 minutes against the Kings. But I have a short memory when it comes to things like this. I think if Chandler were to sit again we'd see Leuer in the starting lineup and in line for big minutes again against the Celtics. Like I said in the picks last night, he represents a good opportunity because many folks will avoid him based on getting buzzed last night.

Update: Chandler is out and Leuer is doubtful. This could mean major minutes for Len and Teletovic

Mario HezonjaMario HezonjaWill Victor Oladipo play?
He sat out last night and that led to bigger minutes for Evan Fournier and Mario Hezonja. Both are in play again tonight if Dipo sits and I think Hezonja is a guy I could get behind at his prices even with a middling performance last night.

Update: Oladipo is out.
 

The "Every Lineup" Guys

Russell WestbrookRussell Westbrook - FD 10600 DK 10200
Opponent - SAS
FD Proj. Pts - 54.18 DK Proj. Pts - 55.88
Kevin DurantKevin Durant - FD 10400 DK 9800
Opponent - SAS
FD Proj. Pts - 48.13 DK Proj. Pts - 50.55
LeBron JamesLeBron James - FD 9900 DK 9400
Opponent - NYK
FD Proj. Pts - 46.27 DK Proj. Pts - 48.12
It's rare that you'll see a situation like this, but you can easily fit all three of the highest floor guys going into this slate and honestly can probably even grab a middle tier guy along with them. It's rare to have so many punts with high minutes expectations going on one slate, but the Spurs gonna Spur and that's what we have. Figuring out the low cost guys will be the real trick, but getting all three of these big boys into cash lineups is basically the way to go. And yes, that even factors in some blowout risk on the part of the Thunder guys.

Punt Plays Galore:

This early I'm not exactly sure how the punt plays will work out. As of this writing guys like Patty Mills, Danny Green, Boris Diaw, Kyle Anderson, Kevin Martin, David West, Alexis Ajinca and Mario Hezonja all project out crazy points/ $ wise. That's an insane list this early in the day. We'll see how things shake out, but getting these guys correct will be the key to the slate.

Good luck out there today! If you want access to all of our numbers, get started with a free trial below of our lineup optimizer, on us!

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80 Visitor Comments

  1. Tonight figures to be a real crap shoot. Betting majority of folks will have those 3 big guns and from there who can guess the right bench guts to pop.

    For those worried russ and kd get pulled super early, what do you think of thomas and giannis tonight at those same spots?

  2. Rotoworld is making it look like Avery Bradley is still in Boston as of this writing. If he sits, would you rather play the cheap spurs or one/both of Evan Turner and Marcus Smart? If they only have 3 or 4 guards on the roster that would make them mostly blowout proof in an easy matchup, no?

  3. I’m taking diaw. ..at least he’s actually a decent player

  4. With The Spurs Being Only 10 Deep Tonight How Do You Think The Minutes Will Shape Out For Marjanovic Tonight

    • I want to think they’ll be there but nothing about that guy is safe. If I knew he’d play 20 minutes I’d call him a must start.

  5. Steven, you come across as an idiot. Do you have nothing better to do than to spread false information on a DFS site? Check your facts before spewing at the mouth. Patty Mills is Probable. And if that was a question, use punctuation!

    • Bro, earlier fanduel had him out. Watch your fuckin mouth talking to me like that. If you need to vent talk to fanduel who had him out earlier prick. That a statement.

  6. Who would you pair with Westbrook on FB, Mills or Della?

  7. Dear Doug, what do you think of this lineup,
    Patty mills
    D Rose
    Wes
    J swish
    Lebron
    Durant
    Diaw
    Ajinca

  8. Westbrook/Durant/Giannis best big 3 to use for GPP?

  9. Hard to pick between Diaw and West….Suggestions?

  10. If Avery Bradley Sits Out Due To illness would you think that Smart Becomes a Great Punt At That Point If He Starts In His Place

    • here is Danny Green projection He will play 35 ,oms and STILL NOT HIT VALUE!! LOL Seriously he is a horrible horrible basketball player…

  11. Hey Doug…

    Danny Green is playing today…. he’s not in the projections….

    the only spurs normal starter who is in the rotation! lol

    • This was updated a couple of hours ago. Are you seeing him in the system? Might need a refresh on the page.

  12. your prices on some of the players are wrong on the Optimizer

    • Who specifically? The Brooklyn guys I noticed were pulling wrong. But we pull all prices right off FD. Let me know specific dudes if possible.

  13. Hey Guys, not like you are busy today! Lol but it would be cool if the injury/update was updated at a few set times each day. If I knew it was going to be updated at say noon, 2 and 5 I’d spend a lot less time on my phone or actually work! Just a thought. The system is ultra user friendly now and always up to date. Worth every bit of the monthly service fee. With that, what’s the perfect line up for tonight?! Happy Sat ballin’ everyone. ?

    • Hey Cory, thanks for reading. It’s hard to make this a set time kind of thing simply because injury news is so dynamic. The projections themselves are updated at the very, very minimum every hour during the day and about every couple of minutes or so the last 90 minutes leading into lineup lock for the main slate.

  14. Oh, side note. If you are going to criticize or point out an error wouldn’t it show more tact to email DFSR directly? They respond immediately. Or would you like your boss to tell you your wrong in front of all your peers? Common sense.

  15. Man – everyones super grumpy today! LOL! Shape up, it’s SATURDAY!!!!

    MUAHAHAHAHA

  16. Yep…let’s cheer up. I have officially moved on from the Knight sitting. Threatened to leave FanDuel and just can’t do it… New day…let’s make some $$

    • Hilarious! And agreed it’s always best to move on from those things. It happens. Sucks but not a specific player kind of thing. More an NBA thing.

  17. Sunny and 75! Yes, new day. I appreciate these forums and all the good info I get from you guys daily. Let’s kill it tonight!

  18. Here’s to hoping OKC doesn’t blow out Spurs

  19. I threatened to leave FanDuel for NBA and did last night. By no means a big player $50-$75 a night but it’s still money I don’t like tossing out the window when a guy like Knight sits. One thing for a guy like Leuer to get in foul trouble and another for a guy to be fine all day till 10 minutes before tip. Still don’t love the DraftKings interface but love the ability to swap players.

    Big news for me tonight is Holliday. Would be a nice way to get points at a discount. Right now feel sort of forced to take the top guys and be okay with 4x-4.5x per dollar because you have to get points. Even if you balance your playing catchup if guys like Durant, LeBron and Westbrook have “off” nights and put up 40-45fp.

  20. Doug will you be updating the “every line up” punt plays? Narrowing it down would be superb!

    Thanks,
    JC

  21. Thomas totally agree. I’m not a fan of DraftKing’s interface at all. The only thing holding FanDuel back is not allowing to swap guys. But that has not forced me to change yet as after a full night’s sleep it really doesn’t happen all that often. Last night was just a stinger because I had him in all but one lineup and was killing it with just about every other pick. Got most of my money back but could have cashed in a whole lot more. Oh well…would love to hear how DraftKings does for you as the door for me is not completely closed yet.

    • Will keep you posted on the DraftKings experience. For me it just came down to a way to offset the guys on FanDuel who run 100 lineups. Like last night. Even if there was a hint at Knight sitting guys who play GPP like me with one lineup have to fade Knight. The big dogs just run Knight in lineups and a few other PGs as well. You sort of level the field on DraftKings because you can gamble on Knight if you have a backup plan. Knight sits and you pivot to Rondo.

      Again that;s for me and GPP. If I played cash games would just stay on FanDuel because it;s an easy user experience. Whole idea of cash games is removing risk so I wouldn’t even take west coast guys to begin with. Different animal in gpp.

    • Be sure to email them like I did I let them know how you feel. I haven’t played since

  22. What happened to Knight last night, it cost me lots if money?

  23. westbrook, jackson, powell, booker, james, hayward, diaw, leuer, drummond. Any thoughts? Good luck tonight.

  24. Am I a weak player for only betting around $8 a night on a few plays? I have built my $ up from $40 to $140.

  25. Who do you like most out of Leuer and David West?

  26. Doug

    You guys are great – keep up the great work and come on April 4

  27. Need to know holiday news before early lock at 5 CT

  28. Leuer doubtful – who do you guys think the replacement power play is here if ruled out?

  29. Gasol is playing does this hurt d rose and butler

  30. Fan duel just said I didn’t enter a contest so I did it again now I’m in there 4 times it was a 25 entry anyone ever seen this ?

  31. NBA DFS on Fan Deul would just enrage me.

  32. Now I’m in none of the contest and my money is missing wtf

  33. Trying to take leuer out of my lineup and wont save the switch. Anyone else having problems?

  34. FANDUEL is having issues, make your changes early if you can. My apps on iPhone and IPad were not making changes and I just get a strange message on the website. For my early lineup, I made some swaps and it showed up as the old LU, then it showed the new LU and now it shows the old LU. I can’t swap Leuer out of any of them lmao,

  35. Fanduel doesn’t let me edit my lineups, I’m in miami is anybody having this problem too.

  36. Fanduel is completely screwed up right now. My contests go from showing entries to saying no entries. I have several screenshots if they don’t straighten out I’m emailing for my money back. I like how the part of the app to track your progress and entries messes up but the pat that takes your money functions perfectly fine. Nicholas, if you don’t cash on those four entries you should email them, tell them you only wanted to enter once and you want the other three refunded. If you cash then it’s all good lol.

  37. Staying away from fanduel till they straighten out. Looks like it’s a draftkings night for me.

  38. I’m having issues with FD too. When I click on “Upcoming” the lineup that I no longer want appears. However when I select the “Edit” button my latest lineup appears. I don’t really know which lineup I’m getting.

  39. Indiana and happening to me as well. Have leuer in 3 lineups…changed them and it still shows that no changes were made

  40. Mobile display interface for fanduel seems to be the issue. Didn’t show my changes or added entry on my phone, but logged on via laptop and everything reflects the changes and new entry.

  41. FanDuel messed up right now. My Upcoming entries are not showing.

    I cleared the cache on my Browser and then it seemed to show my entries in Upcoming. Try that.

  42. So I just wasted 200 bucks tonight on fan fuel hate my lineup but couldn’t change it also missing 100 more bucks from entries not showing , I emailed them and they said they are looking into it but that doesn’t help me get the right lineup in

  43. Well if everyone on FanDuel is lucky they just wait and see how their lineup does. If it tanks probably just get a refund. If it hits you keep your mouth shut 🙂

    Best of luck to everyone tonight.

  44. The top optimal lineup tonight was straight garbage no excuses guys but for the last 14 days it’s only put out 2 good lineups

    • Hey Alonzo, thanks for commenting. Even with career worst shooting nights from Rose (in a game that was something like 29 points in the wrong direction from Vegas) and Diaw giving way to West, I’m seeing FD right on the bubble with McCollum and Amir left. Going to be close, but straight garbage seems an overstatement. Thanks again for commenting. (DK is in money right now, but I think it dips out to the wrong side of bubble)

  45. Yea I am,a,new user and I am,disappoint with what I am seeing in the optamizer so far.

  46. Just want to thank everyone who comments on the site. Have helped me with some of my picks but I think I need a break from basketball. Maybe get back into it once the playoffs begin.

    Anyone in here do MLB? Is it easier or harder than NBA?

  47. Because it relies too much on subs for injured players, sadly they are subs for a reason. When a good backup gets a chance to play, then play him, but sadly, if the Spurs backups were any good, Duncan and Parker would be playing supporting roles at their ages… I fell for it too, never again… You can get 2 top of the page guys in your lineup, and a 6,000-8,000 guy but you can’t have any more than 1 sub 4,000 guy on either site in my opinion… And THAT guy has to be a super sub with a high ceiling… He wasn’t there today…

  48. Normaly make my money back, maybe some more, and have some fun. Last few weeks, have had about 2 winning nights, lost my entire bank roll the last 5 nights. Seems like I’m having to filter too much to get a line up that even looks like it could win. I know subs are part of game, seems optimizer stresses value more then players DvP, safety, production and reliability.

  49. Shawn,

    I was in the same exact boat as you. Never made any big money from it but always hoped…lol. The past 2-3 night with all the resting and last minute injuries it’s getting annoying. You think you put in a sub because his opponent is weak at that position and the starter for that team is resting, and the guy ends up having 10 pts.

    Like I said, it was fun, but I think I need a break.

    I’m sure I’ll end up sticking more money into fanduel Monday. LOL

  50. Remember when I told you guys about certain players in certain stadiums. Well this is a fact Rose has never put up over 15pts in Orlando and west has also put up better numbers against OKC also a fact I actually swapped those players out because I knew this I’m just saying the optimal lineup tool needs a lot more work especially when you make quotes that this is a game of skill not luck against legislation that wants to shut down DFS then your optimal tool makes the guy that knows absolutely nothing about sports look like pro’s now this is a fact my mom plays DFS just for fun and over the last 2 weeks she’s put together 10 teams that won money in tournaments she’s 10 out of 14 and she picks guys who’s names she like and thinks are cute LBVS so is DFS really a game of skill or is it gambling and winning is just luck and soon we will see the end of our DFS fun

  51. Maybe you should get your line ups from mom or have the guys factor “cute” into the system. I’ve also been frustrated by the losses the last few days too. But I wasn’t complaining when the optimizer won me 5 digits last week. That well justifies the service. (remember it’s a service and you can stop utilizing it whenever) And yes, it is gambling. There I said it, but I sure as hell want my odds to go up if I’m going to play and I don’t have time to do what these guys do.

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