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    MMA Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    04/08/2016
    Shaun Ihasz

    Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC Fight Night 86 – 4/10/16

    DFSR is proud to bring you Shaun Ihasz. He'll be providing MMA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings. Give him a follow on Twitter @ShaunEyeHas

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for UFC Fight Night 86? Shaun is selling lineups for only $5 for DraftKings Cash Games & Tournaments. Just click the button below, this is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

     

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    What a crazy past three weeks since the last time we had a UFC card! MMA is finally legal in New York and I can't wait to be at the first card in Madison Square Garden! Sadly, DFS is no longer legal in New York so I'm a little stuck. Until then, we can keep giving you all of the info you need to succeed wherever you are, especially when it comes to cards like UFC Fight Night 86.  An overseas card in Croatia with a lot of fighters making their UFC debut puts the average fan at a big disadvantage for Daily Fantasy. But let's get beyond the average and find some winners to start this stretch of three straight weeks of fantasy MMA.

     

    Vegas Favorite ($10,500+)

    Bojan Velickovic ($10,500)

    Vegas Line: -170
    Career Record: 13-3
    UFC Record: 0-0
    Record In Last 5: 4-1
    Finishes: 3 KO / 8 Subs / 6 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: None
    Last Time Out: W, 3rd Round Sub - Benjamin Smith

    Who? Remember, it's a card in Croatia. Aside from the main event and co-main event, there are tons of guys that even avid MMA fans will be watching for the first time. "Serbian Steel" definitely falls in that list as a UFC newcomer but the submission specialist has eight wins by tap out and is riding a four fight winning streak following a guillotine choke of Benjamin Smith. He also has a favorable matchup against another UFC newbie in Alessio Di Chirico who, despite being undefeated, has faced a bunch of no names that he doesn't put away in the first round.

     

    Mid-Tier Target ($9,500-10,400)

    Francis Ngannou ($9,800)

    Vegas Line: +115 (This line has jumped all over the place this week)
    Career Record: 6-1
    UFC Record: 1-0
    Record In Last 5: 5-0
    Finishes: 3 KO / 3 Subs / 3 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: None
    Last Time Out: W, 2nd Round KO - Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira

    Bring on the Heavyweights! Ngannou is 6-1 and has racked up all of his victories via stoppage, including last time out in his UFC debut. Ngannou represents huge value at $9,800 because he could very well land you bonus points for an early victory. Ngannou gets into the cage against Curtis Blaydes, who my spreadsheet just destroys for taking this fight on short notice to make his UFC debut. After not fighting for 10 months, Blaydes gets into the Octagon just two months following his last bout. It's OK though, I don't think Ngannou will let him stay in there for long.

     

    Upset Alert (Under $9,500)

    Derrick Lewis ($9,100)

    Vegas Line: -140
    Career Record: 14-4, 1 No Contest
    UFC Record: 5-2
    Record In Last 5: 3-0
    Finishes: 13 KO / 1 Sub / 5 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: 2 KO
    Last Time Out: W, 1st Round KO - Damian Grabowski

    The "Black Beast" is Back! I admittedly love to watch this guy fight and he paid huge dividends two months ago. Lewis is a short notice replacement against the aging Gabriel Gonzaga. I don't see that being too much of an issue as Lewis' last fight lasted only two minutes. 14 pro wins with 14 finishes and judging by the money line, Lewis is now the favorite, the betting public agrees that DraftKings got this salary wrong. Take advantage of Lewis and use him to roster some of the big time favorites if you want, but I'd play him just because I expect him to tear through Gonzaga.

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the UFC Fight Night 86? Shaun is selling lineups only $5. He covers DraftKings Cash Games & Tournaments. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

    image sources

    • UFC_74_Respect_Bout: By Lee Brimelow (cropped from DSC_0029) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

    4 Visitor Comments

    1. Hoping to get some talk going here this week, weigh-ins are done and I’ve never seen so many guys on one card who have to cut weight to make the 265 lbs Heavyweight limit, should be fun!

    2. There are going to be some titanic knock outs today.
      Early start today. Fights start in about 40 minutes. Whoa….

    3. Yea the time change is rough, but better than having the fighters compete at 10am local time like on the Australia PPVs.

    4. Pretty good showing, can’t wait for next week!

      Velickovic: Win by Decision
      Ngannou: Win by 2nd Rd TKO
      Lewis: Win by 1st Rd KO (Destruction is more accurate)

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