Daily Fantasy MLB Baseball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/11/16

 

Here we are with another split-slate day of baseball. We have some aces on the mound as well as some gas cans which should make it a very fun day. Make sure to comment down below if you have any questions or comments! Let's get to it.

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PITCHER

David Price FD 10500 DK 12200
Opponent - BAL (Gallardo) Park - @BOS
FD - 46.52 DK - 26.62

David price will be facing off with the Baltimore Orioles at home in a game with a 8 1/2 over/under. The Red Sox are favored at -190 which shows me Vegas expects the Sox to win this game pretty easily. The Orioles have a ton of strikeout hitters in the lineup with Chris Davis, Mark Trumbo and Jonanthan Schoop. Price should be able to take advantage of the Orioles weaknesses and get an easy win with Yovani Gallardo on the other side. Price exhibited a .275 wOBA last season and has pitched better over the course of his career. Price is a great cash game and tournament play in the early slate.

Andrew Cashner FD 6900 DK 8700
Opponent - PHI (Nola) Park - @PHI
FD - 30.29 DK - 15.95

You will see the opposing pitcher of the Phillies in this article all year long. The Phillies lineup is absolutely putrid and has so many spots to take advantage of. Andrew Cashner has struggled over the past season but is looking to put it all together this year. he has upped his fastball velocity and has his secondary pitches are moving better than ever. This game is sitting at an 8 over/under with the Padres -120. I expect Cashner to get off to a fast start and strikeout a ton of batters. I prefer Cashner in tournaments as he has a very low floor and high ceiling. Cashner isn't a strong consideration on DratKings on these prices.

Max Scherzer FD 11600 DK 13100
Opponent - ATL (Norris) Park - @WSH
FD - 48.15 DK - 27.47

Scherzer will be facing off with the Braves for the second time in 2 starts. On opening day, Scherzer went 7 innings with 7 strikeouts and 2 ER. I am expecting a better game here as he will have a longer leash and just saw the same lineup a week ago. These Braves are a very intimidating lineup as Freddie Freeman is the only real HR threat. Scherzer sported a terrific .253 wOBA last season and his peripherals have shown no sign of decline. You can feel safe when rostering Scherzer that you will get 110 pitches and 8 strikeouts out of him. This game has a 7 over/under and the Nationals are -253. This puts the braves expected run total at a putrid 2.6.

CATCHER

Francisco Cervelli FD 2600 DK 3400
Opponent - DET (Verlander) Park - @DET
FD - 2.01 DK - 1.62

Francisco Cervelli emerged last year as a quality hitter. Cervelli had a 113 wRC+ against righties last year and showed his power upside. Verlander's ERA improved last season, but his peripherals were the same - his 4.15 xFIP was nearly the exact same as the 4.19 figure he posted the year before. This is an average ballpark for hitters so it does not move the needle too much for me. Cervelli is a solid option in both cash games and tournaments.

Victor Martinez FD 2800 DK 4200
Opponent - PIT (Niese) Park - @DET
FD - 9.8 DK - 7.83

Victor Martinez is in a terrific spot here against Jon Niese. Niese struggles against hitters from the right side of the plate and Martinez is great against pitchers from the left side. Niese sported a .330 wOBA to righties and you can only expect that to get worse due to age. Martinez will be in a few great RBI opportunities with players like Miguel Cabrera and J.D. Martinez hitting around him. I prefer Martinez in cash games as he has a high floor and average ceiling.

Consider: Travis D'Arnaud

 

FIRST BASE

Miguel Cabrera FD 4400 DK 5000
Opponent - PIT (Niese) Park - @DET
FD - 12.15 DK - 9.56

Miguel Cabrera has started off the year strong and will likely keep it going throughout the entire season. As Mentioned above, Jon Niese struggles against righties with a .330 wOBA to them. You will see a trend in this article and that trend is the Detroit Tigers right handed bats. Miggy is the top hitter in the lineup and will likely be the top performer. Miggy had a 180 wRC+ against lefties which is elite level. Cabrera is my top first base option in both cash games and tournaments.

Brandon Moss FD 2800 DK 3400
Opponent - MIL (Jungmann) Park - @STL
FD - 10.51 DK - 8.23

Brandon Moss was in the picks article yesterday and delivered with a bomb. Here he is once again and will now be facing off against another average righty in Taylor Jungmann. Moss is a pure power hitter and that bodes extremely well against a pitcher like Jungmann. Jungmann gave up a .317 wOBA to lefties last year and struggled against good low ball hitters. I expect Moss to hit cleanup once again and will have some great RBI opportunities.

Consider: John Jaso, who's a great play on DraftKings in particular.

 

SECOND BASE

Robinson Cano FD 3800 DK 4400
Opponent - TEX (Lewis) Park - @SEA
FD - 12.91 DK - 10.31

Robinson Cano has been on fire to start the season and I expect him to hold up this level of production throughout the entire season. This is an ideal match-up for Cano as he will be facing off with Colby Lewis. Colby lewis is an awful pitcher and is someone we will be targeting all year. Lewis gave up a .324 wOBA and 13 homers to southpaws last year. Cano has a career long 136 wRC+ against righties. As I mentioned, this is just a perfect match-up for Cano and I will have him in all of my cash games and most tournament lineups.

Brian Dozier FD 3000 DK 4200
Opponent - CHW (Quintana) Park - @MIN
FD - 10.05 DK - 7.94

Brian Dozier is a hitter who is above average against both righties and lefties. I like to target Dozier when the rest of the Twins lineup is in a good spot and he will have opportunities to get RBI's and runs. The Twins are in a good spot against a lefty that struggles against righties. Jose Quintana sported a .320 wOBA to righties last season and has shown no sign of improvement. I prefer Dozier in tournaments as he has good home run upside as well as a low floor.

Consider: Daniel Murphy
 

SHORTSTOP

Carlos Correa FD 4800 DK 4900
Opponent - KC (Young) Park - @HOU
FD - 11.8 DK - 9.36

Carlos Correa is another player who has been on fire to start the season and will likely stay hot for about 10 more years. Chris Young is a pitcher who has outperformed his true talent for the past 2 years and should certainly slow down this year. Correa is in a great ballpark in Houston with the short porch in left field. Correa is in a great spot here if you are able to pay up. Chris Young has been average against right handed hitters evidenced by his career .295 wOBA.

Jose Iglesias FD 2300 DK 3300
Opponent - PIT (Niese) Park - @DET
FD - 8.2 DK - 6.72

Here is another Detroit Tigers hitter. You can play all of them and am not going to keep going over why they are great plays. Jon Niese struggles against right handed hitters and the Tigers lineup destroys left handed pitching. This is a recipe for success. Jose Iglesias held a 146 wRC+ to lefties last year.

Consider: Ketel Marte
 

THIRD BASE

Matt Carpenter FD 3400 DK 4300
Opponent - MIL (Jungmann) Park - @STL
FD - 10.92 DK - 8.6

Matt Carpenter is another Cardinals lefty against Taylor Jungmann. As mentioned above, Jungmann has struggled against lefties and Matt Carpenter has destroyed righties for the past 3 years. Matt Carpenter has exhibited a 154 wRC+ against righties in 2015. Jungmann is going to struggle against this lineup and Carpenter will be right in the middle of everything.

Kyle Seager FD 3400 DK 4200
Opponent - TEX (Lewis) Park - @SEA
FD - 13.23 DK - 10.48

Kyle Seager is a player I typically roster a lot and that is due to his great spot in the lineup and his great splits against righties. Seager had a 107 wRC+ against righties last ear but also hit 13 homers against them. Colby Lewis is the type of pitcher I like to target lefties against as he will pt some runners on base and then give up a base clearing homer. I am loving the Mariners stack today as I expect them to obliterate Colby Lewis.

Consider: Anthony Rendon
 

OUTFIELD

J.D. Martinez FD 3300 DK 4500
Opponent - PIT (Niese) Park - @DET
FD - 11.03 DK - 8.73
Justin Upton FD 3400 DK 4400
Opponent - PIT (Niese) Park - @DET
FD - 12.14 DK - 9.54

Not too much to say here. I have said it about 800 times but I will say it again. Jon Niese is horrible against righties and the entire Tigers lineup smashes lefties. Upton and Martinez owned a 134 and 135 wRC+ against left handed pitchers last season. Both of these guys are quality plays in both cash games and tournaments.

Bryce Harper FD 5200 DK 4900
Opponent - ATL (Norris) Park - @WSH
FD - 15.88 DK - 12.39

Bryce Harper is likely going to be my most rostered player this year and I don't see any way around it. He absolutely destroys right handed pitching and has as much upside as anyone in the league. Harper exhibited an amazing 209 wRC+ against right handed pitchers last year, the highest in the majors. Harper is only moving closer to his prime and we can only expect improvement. Bud Norris is as bad as they get and Harper will have no problem getting some healthy swings off against him. Norris sported a .379 wObA to righties last ear, which is absurdly bad.

Miguel Sano FD 3100 DK 4100
Opponent - CHW (Quintana) Park - @MIN
FD - 10.26 DK - 7.99

Sano has yet to hit a homer this year and I expect that to change today. Sano is an elite power hitter and will likely hit over 30 this season. Sano hit lefties to a 145 wRC+ last season and will likely improve on that during his sophomore season. As mentioned earlier, Quintana struggles against righties and has a tendency to give up home runs.

Consider: Colby Rasmus, Josh Reddick, Yoenis Cespedes

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