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    MMA Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    07/08/2016
    Shaun Ihasz

    Daily Fantasy MMA Picks for UFC TUF23 Finale - 7/8/16

    DFSR is proud to bring you Shaun Ihasz. He'll be providing MMA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings. Give him a follow on Twitter @ShaunEyeHas

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for UFC TUF23 Finale? Shaun is selling lineups for only $5 for DraftKings Cash Games & Tournaments. Just click the button below, this is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

    The middle card of International Fight Week gives us plenty to analyze in a short amount of time as DraftKings salaries were just released yesterday. It's hard to gauge the tournament finals because those fighters all have a very small sample size - though Tatiana Suarez would be my favorite of the bunch. Where else should you turn your attention to take advantage of this card? Keep reading and check out more research in the cheat sheet - lets get to it!

    Click here for Picks & Analysis of UFC 200 - #UFC200 (7/8/16)

    ***As we continue to improve our offering at DFSR, the cheat sheet and recaps below have been updated to include the Vegas Finish Prop and strikes landed per minute.

    Note – I’ll be checking the comments section right until lineup lockup, so let’s get the conversation going. I mean, what’s better than talking daily fantasy?


    VEGAS FAVORITE ($10,500+)

    Doo Ho Choi ($10,800)

    Vegas Line: -220
    Finish Prop: -145
    Career Record: 13-1
    UFC Record: 2-0
    Last 5: 5-0
    Strikes Landed Per Minute: 6.14 (18+)
    Finishes: 10 KO / 1 Subs / 7 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: None
    Last Time Out: W, 1st Round KO - Sam Sicilia

    Doo Ho Choi two career UFC fights have only netted him a total of 1:51 of fighting time in the Octagon - registering two brutal first round knockouts. I had to adjust his strikes landed per minute in the cheat sheet to match the highest other fighter on the card because of his crazy UFC performances. Choi is the most likely to win by stoppage on the card with a -145 finish prop and he takes on Thiago Tavares, a guy who's been knocked out in two of his last five fights. I'll have heavy exposure to Choi in both cash and GPP formats - roster away as I'm looking for 100+ points from "The Korean Superboy".

     

    MID-RANGE TARGET ($9,500-$10,400)

    Anthony Smith ($10,400)

    Vegas Line: -145
    Finish Prop: +105
    Career Record: 25-11
    UFC Record: 1-1
    Record In Last 5: 5-0
    Strikes Landed Per Minute: 3.08
    Finishes: 11 KO / 11 Subs / 13 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: 6 KO / 5 Subs
    Last Time Out: W, Unanimout Decision - Leonardo Guimaraes

    Anthony Smith - despite an unimpressive looking 25-11 record -  is a sneaky good play buried in the undercard of this event. Smith is riding an eight-fight winning streak and has a top-five finish prop on the card at +105. Smith has finished 22-of-25 career wins and takes on Cezar Ferreira, a guy who has been stopped in the first round in three of his last five outings. The price tag of $10,400 is a great value for a fighter who is likely to win without the help of the judges. He's another guy I'l have heavy exposure on in both cash and GPP.

     

    UPSET ALERT (UNDER $9,500)

    Fernando Bruno ($9,400)

    Vegas Line: +145
    Finish Prop: +325
    Career Record: 15-3
    UFC Record: 0-1
    Record In Last 5: 4-1
    Strikes Landed Per Minute: 1.35 (1 Tracked Fight)
    Finishes: 8 Subs / 5 First-Round
    Losses by Stoppage: 1 Sub
    Last Time Out: L, 3rd Round Sub (RNC) - Glacio Franca

    This is both an endorsement of Fernando Bruno and a pick against Gray Maynard. Maynard has never been the same since his epic back-to-back wars with Frankie Edgar, dropping four straight fights and five of his last six. It could be a close fight but Bruno has more fantasy upside with considerable more career finishes than Maynard. All of international fight week has been tough for me to find really solid underdogs so Bruno's matchup will make him a big piece in my lineups for Friday night.

    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for UFC TUF23 Finale? Shaun is selling lineups for only $5 for DraftKings Cash Games & Tournaments. Just click the button below, this is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.


    Want to see how these picks and more fit into lineups for the UFC TUF23? Shaun is selling lineups for only $5. He covers DraftKings Cash Games & Tournaments. Fill out the form below or click here to purchase using PayPal. This is a separate service than our traditional monthly membership.

    image sources

    • UFC_74_Respect_Bout: By Lee Brimelow (cropped from DSC_0029) [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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