Daily Fantasy NBA Basketball Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 3/18/17
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George Hill FD - $6000 DK - $5900
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 31.26 DK - 33.26
When we're kicking off point guard with George Hill, the kind of tells you where things are headed doesn't it? Westy is playing early, and all of the big names are going head to head on the main slate. So here we are. George Hill isn't the splashiest name, but really, you could do worse. Hill is 4 games back from a toe injury now, and we at least know for sure that he's feeling fine enough that the minutes are there. After an 18 minute return versus the Thunder, he roared back with 37 minutes against the Clippers coming 2 boards shy of a double double with 19 points. He's struggled a little since then going for 31 minutes against both the Pistons and the Cavs, Cleveland holding him to a mere 9 points and 2 rebounds and assists. Tonight the Jazz head to Chi town and the good news is not only are the Bulls bad against opposing PGs, now that they've lost Wade they have to rely on the likes of Rajon Rondo and MCW in the back court. Hill should have a nice bounce back game here and makes for a cheap cash game play.
Rajon Rondo FD - $5800 DK - $5800
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 31.6 DK - 33.74
Speaking of Rondo, just as all the big names are going against each other, so are the mid tier point guards. Rondo will face off with George Hill and even though its not the best of match ups, we're still getting Rajon at an excellent price given his new role in the Bulls back court. In his first two starts this week he paid nearly 7X each game. Last night however he came up somewhat short, finishing with 10 assists, but only 6 points and 4 rebounds for roughly 4X against a tough Wizards defense. Utah presents a similar match up to the Wiz coming in as the 6th toughest defense on opposing point guards. I told you PG wasn't pretty. Locking in Rondo isn't without it's risk, but if he can find some semblance of balance tonight between what he did against Boston and Charlotte, and what he did last night, then that's all we really need.
Patty Mills FD - $4500 DK - $5500
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 28.06 DK - 30.61
Tony Parker is currently a GTD and for all of our sanity, I hope they decide to give him one more day to rest his back, because if he doesn't go Patty Mills shoots to the top of the pack for point guards. In 4 games that Parker has been out so far, Mills has averaged about 30 minutes of court time and aside from that first game where he managed only 5 points a block and a steal against the Thunder, he has been filling out the stat sheet nicely eclipsing value in his last three. Memphis is a league average match up, and Mills could present us with tons of value. If Parker suits up, this selection is null and void, but should he sit another then Mills is your guy!
Patrick Beverley FD - $5300 DK - $5600
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 27.61 DK - 29.61
Patrick Beverly comes in as another mid tier play with a nice match up. Houston heads in to Denver tonight and the Nuggets are coming in behind only the Nets for fantasy points allowed per game to opposing point guards. Beverly has only hit value in 2 of his last 5 outings, those were also the 2 games that he managed double digits in scoring. Denver is allowing 6% more scoring than league average at the position, as well as 4% more rebounds and 9% more assists, so as long as his shot is falling he should be looking at a double double which at this price point would help him to easily hit value.
James Harden FD - $11800 DK - $12400
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 60.8 DK - 65.56
Saving money at point guard, so lets spend it up at the two guard spot. The bearded one is coming in as the top overall point scorer on the night according to our projection system. Which is to be expected when he is going on a slate with no Westbrook. Anytime Harden takes to the court it's really only a question of just how much is he going to roast the opposing defense? As I write this Harden is just 1 assist shy of his third straight triple double, and there is still a full quarter to go against the Pelicans. He is also only about 7 fantasy points shy of paying value. Tonight sets up similar if not just a tad more favorable to last night, in that Denver plays a slightly faster pace than New Orleans, while also being slightly worse at defending the two. The one draw back for Harden is protecting the rock. He's currently turned it over 5 times against the Pels and has given it up an average of 6 times over his last 4 contests. The beard is an elite play every time out, and would be absolutely lethal if he could just protect the ball better.
Will Barton FD - $6600 DK - $6900
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 31.79 DK - 34.14
On the other side of the Houston/Denver game we find Will Barton. Danilo Gallinari and Wilson Chandler are already ruled out again tonight. Thursday night against the Clippers with those two out, Barton dropped 35 points while snagging 5 rebounds, dishing out three assists and a steal. Barton tends to be a streaky player, he started out the month with 5 straight single digit scoring performances, but if Thursdays performance is an indicator of what we can expect to see from him while Gallo and Chandler are out, then we have to consider him tonight. These are two of the fastest teams in the Association and among the sixth most generous teams at the position defensively. You really don't have to look any further than this game when considering your shooting guard plays for the evening.
Jeremy Lamb FD - $5200 DK - $5900
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 29.24 DK - 30.92
But you say you want options. The two guys above just aren't enough to satisfy your lineup construction needs. Then I present to you Jeremy Lamb. Nicolas Batum has not been ruled out but if he does miss another game, Lamb becomes an elite play. However if Batum does give it a go tonight, that doesn't necessarily disqualify Lamb either. Lamb has been seeing extended run even coming off the bench scoring double digit points in three of his last 4 games. Washington can be tough on opposing shooting guards, so if Batum is cleared to play, I might just take a flyer on Lamb in a large gpp and hope he keeps his hot streak going, if Batum misses a third game though, I will have exposure to Lamb everywhere.
Strongly consider Victor Oladipo against the Kings in the early slate.
LeBron James FD - $11100 DK - $11000
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 51.54 DK - 54.79
Kevin Love returned to action on Thursday night, only for Kyrie Irving and Iman Shumpert to leave the Cavs game against the Jazz early with injuries. Irving traveled with the team to L.A. but his status is still uncertain. So even with the return of Love, LeBron James may continue to see increased usage for the Cavs as they continue to fend off the Celtics for that number one spot in the east. Since the break, James has been playing out of his mind, 5 triple doubles and 4 double doubles in 10 games played. The Clippers are the 8th worse team in the league when it comes to defending the three, allowing 2% more scoring, 4% more rebounds, 5% more assists, and 7% more steals to the position. I don't have an early line on this game, but if you think the Clippers can keep it competitive, and I for one do, then you have to consider James. The system like James Harden both for raw points and ppd, but if you need that little bit of salary relief then fitting James in instead shouldn't hurt you any in cash contests.
Joe Johnson FD - $3900 DK - $4000
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 21.49 DK - 22.95
Joe Ingles FD - $4100 DK - $4400
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 22.54 DK - 24.35
Its the Joe and Joe show in Utah. When Rodney Hood is out, Joe Ingles steps in and performs nicely. With Hood out against Cleveland on Thursday, Ingles put up a 12/4/4 line for his third straight 5X performance. Joe Johnson meanwhile, has been reaping the benefits of Derrick Favors extended absence. Outside of a game against the Thunder last Saturday where he only saw 19 minutes, he has averaged 29 minutes in the other four games he has started with Favors out, scoring at least 12 points in each of those games. Favors has already been ruled out tonight, so expect Johnson see his sixth straight start. Hood's status however is still up in the air, if he misses another, Ingles is a great value, if Hood plays, I would limit Ingles to large tournaments.
Trevor Ariza FD - $5200 DK - $5300
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 25.19 DK - 26.93
In case you haven't caught on yet, this is a game we are going to target heavily from both sides. Houston plays the 4th fastest pace in the league while Denver is 8th fastest. Early showings from Vegas has this one at a ridiculous 238 total and a mere 3 point spread. Defensively, the two teams rank anywhere from average to flat out bad when you go position by position. The Nuggets, are an average defense against the three. Ariza, after having a abysmal February, seems to be finding his old self in the early part of March. He struggled last night in the Rockets loss to the Pelicans, scoring in single digits for the first time in 6 games, in the previous 5 games, he not only scored a minimum of 11 and upwards of 20 points, he paid value in all 5 of those as well. Once again, these are two fast paced teams with weaker defenses in one of the highest projected scoring games of the season. Ariza should have no trouble making his shots in this one and is a solid play in all formats.
Draymond Green FD - $8200 DK - $8000
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 40.24 DK - 42.57
The Dubs have to be feeling a little bit better about themselves than they were this time last week. After coach Kerr rested this studs against San Antonio, following a 2-4 stretch, they returned with a win against Philly. Granted, that one was closer than anyone anticipated. Then they made the Magic feel like a bunch of Muggles, defeating them 122-92. When looking at the Warriors from a fantasy perspective, Draymond Green tends to always be at the top of the list. Partly because he comes in at a reasonable salary, that while not blowout proof, certainly provides us a little buffer. He fell just short of value in 25 minutes against Orlando, but not enough to really kill a lineup. In closer games though, the sky is the limit for Drays ceiling. That closer than it should have been game against Philly was good for over 7X ppd. This game tonight has a 217 o/u and an 11 point spread, but call me crazy, I think Milwaukee keeps it closer than that, at least long enough to allow Dray to see his full run of minutes. I'm loving Green in this spot and will have him in all formats.
Nikola Jokic FD - $10700 DK - $10700
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 46.58 DK - 49.13
Well look at that, it's another pick from the Rockets/Nuggets game. Even though the price is bordering on ridiculously high, Nikola Jokic is coming in as a fantastic option tonight in this fast paced high scoring affair. He picked up his 5th triple double in his last 20 games on Thursday against the Clippers. With Gallinari and Chandler sidelined he is taking control of the Denver front court. The Nuggets offense is the second best in the NBA since the All Star break, and Houston is coming in among the league average in defense against opposing fours. I'm not sure that there is a whole lot of upside for Jokic at this price point, but for a cash game play, he is definitely in the conversation.
Juan Hernangomez FD - $4000 DK - $4400
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 23.18 DK - 24.5
At the opposite end of the price spectrum for Denver, we have Juan Hernangomez. Hernangomez got the start for Gallo Thursday night and put up a 9/5/1 line with a steal in 26 minutes, which while it doesn't look like much, it's all that you really need from a 4K player. Also, once again I'll say it, this game is going to be producing ridiculous fantasy output, so when we have a value play like Hern starting we just have to lock him in and watch the ceiling shatter. Juan is a cash game must and is looking at crazy upside in this one. Just play him everywhere.
The system loves Paul Millsap in the early only.
Mason Plumlee FD - $6000 DK - $6000
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 33.47 DK - 34.97
Clint Capela FD - $5400 DK - $5400
Opponent - DEN
Proj Pts FD - 29.25 DK - 30.46
The Denver front court is becoming one of the most formidable in the NBA. Jokic and Miles Plumlee are proving to be a lethal combo. When paired with the Joker Plumlee is averaging 10.3 points, 5 boards and 8 dimes over his last 4 games. He's also paying 6X fantasy points per dollar in 3 of those 4. In his last 2 games he has seen an increase in minutes and managed 2 straight double doubles. If this type of production continues it won't be long before we see the price rise, so get him now while he's coming in at a bargain. Clint Capela on the other hand is only seeing minutes in the mid twenties, but has been making the most of them. He fell short against the Pelicans last night, but prior to that he managed to double double in 4 of his last six outings rewarding those who roster him with 5X to 7.5X performances. There isn't much more I can say about this game that I haven't already covered. Ultimately, regardless of the position, there is an abundance of fantasy value and upside to be found on both ends of the court.
Cody Zeller FD - $5000 DK - $4900
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 26.42 DK - 27.42
Frank the Tank Kaminsky has been back for two games now, in the first he saw 24 minutes compared to 34 for Cody Zeller. Wednesday against Indiana however Zeller only saw 27 minutes to Kaminsky's 31. Of course the Hornets were humiliated by the Pacers in that game, and Kaminsky coming off the bench was the only Hornet to really perform well. As long as the Hornets are going to use a three man rotation at the four and five however, then we are getting Cody Zeller at a bargain for what he brings to the table. Washington is an average match up for opposing big men and if you want separation from the Denver/Houston game or just want to go really cheap at center to fit some of those top tier plays from above then look no further than Cody Zeller.