Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/11/17
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Picking on Jered Weaver in Coors Field is about a chalky as it gets, but what are you going to do, fade it? Good luck with that. Sure, if he's able to keep the Rockies in check, you'll be sitting pretty because it'll probably sink a good chunk of the field. And it's baseball, so sure, it could happen. But we're playing probabilities here, and there's a much (much, much) better chance that Weaver's 84 mph fastball is gonna get turned around more than a few times tonight. Over the last two years, Weaver has amassed a 5.38 xFIP with 1.6 HR/9, and that was pitching with the Angels, with his home games in one of baseball's best pitcher's parks. Meanwhile, the Rockies' exploits are home are well-documented. Last season, they put up a .375 wOBA and .213 ISO in Coors Field. To put that in context, their 1-8 hitters last year at home were basically J.D. Martinez. So, yeah, every Colorado bat is in play here. Carlos Gonzalez is our preferred building block, especially on FanDuel, but you're probably going to want some level exposure to virtually everybody in the lineup.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Rogers Centre always makes a nice pivot and/or combo stack with Coors, even when Wily Peralta isn't on the mound. As we write about often, Peralta is a below-average guy in pretty much every regard, putting up a 4.41 xFIP with less than 6 Ks/9 over the last two seasons. His home runs allowed are less-than-astronomical, but he still gives up more than his share (1.3 per 9), especially for a guy with a 50% groundball rate. That all adds up to a soft matchup for a potent lineup that should be able to take advantage in a park that ranks among baseball's best for offense. Also, the pricing on FanDuel is just out of whack on Blue Jays hitters. Assuming they roll out their typical lineup, we like everybody in the 1-6 spots tonight.
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SAN DIEGO PADRES
Is it cheating to double up on Coors? For the purposes of this column, maybe. For the purposes of trying to win some GPPs, definitely not. The prices on the Padres bats are up a bit compared to last night in this matchup with rookie Antonio Senzatela, but you won't have a problem fitting them in, and with the third-highest projected total on the slate, it might not be a bad idea to grab a few. Senzatela put up solid numbers in the minor leagues, but he never missed a lot of bats, and he skipped Triple-A, so he never experienced the Pacific Coast League, which is kind of a Coors Field training ground. Wil Myers is the obvious starting place for any Padres stack, and we think you build off of him in any direction.
Note: If you're playing all-day slate, feel free to load up on Indians against James Shields.
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