Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 4/13/17
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We've got a pretty stark case of haves/have-nots when it comes to pitching on both slates today. Madison Bumgarner and Yu Darvish are the clear studs, and Jonathan Gray makes a nice pivot off of MadBum in AT&T Park. After that, we're kinda throwing darts, but from a projected points/$ standpoint, Severino's an interesting play. The park hurts, as fly balls have a habit of leaving the yard in Yankee Stadium, and Severino has been troubled by homers from time to time. But if he can keep the damage to a minimum, there's some upside here. The 23-year-old righty has averaged 8.33 Ks/9 in his first 138 big-league innings, and he's trending up. Tampa Bay should provide a boost in that regard, because so far in 2017, the Rays look very much like the free-swinging bunch they were last year. Since the beginning of 2016, they rank third in MLB in K% vs. RHP (24.4%). That said, the breeze is expected to be blowing out toward right tonight, so the risk is real. But the air should be cool, and the price is right, so if there are some high-priced bats you want to fit in, or if you're seeking an SP2 with upside, Severino's a fine place to turn.
The projections are less enthusiastic about Gsellman, at least partly due to the fact that the Marlins have been a pretty solid group of contact hitters since the beginning of last season. He's also an underdog in this matchup, and that shouldn't be disregarded. But unless you're willing to go back down the Francisco Liriano hole (maybe not a terrible contrarian play in limited exposure) or take a shot on Kevin Gausman in the Rogers Centre, Gsellman might have the best swing-and-miss stuff among the non-studs going today. He struck out 8.46 per 9 in eight appearances last season with a 54% groundball rate and excellent home run suppression. Obviously, the sample size is small, but he backed it up with seven Ks in five innings last time out -- also, by the way, against Miami. The bad news is the Marlins were still able to tag him for six hits and three runs. The bottom line is Gsellman's a very speculative play based on his limited track record, but we're willing to take a shot, hoping the underdog status will keep the ownership low.
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