Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 5/23/17
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With Kershaw and Lance McCullers on the slate, we think there's a pretty good chance Lester gets overlooked tonight and with the wind blowing in at Wrigley, he's in a pretty good spot. The Giants have been the worst offense in baseball this season, and they're not much better against LHP, ranking 25th in wRC+ and 27th in both wOBA (.287) and ISO (.113). In their defense, they don't strike out a ton, but with a 20% K rate, it's not like they're making elite contact, either. Lester hasn't been exactly dominant, but his peripherals (3.57 xFIP) are in line with what we saw last year. The Ks are actually up slightly, and the ground balls are up a lot, so if he can get the walks under control, he's got more than enough to shut down the San Fran offense. One caveat here: There's rain in the forecast starting a little after first pitch, but forecasts can fluctuate a lot over the course of the day, so you'll need to keep a close on the weather in this one.
We said it yesterday when we recommended JC Ramirez in this space, but there's equal amounts of upside and risk when you take a pitcher against the Rays this year. No team in baseball strikes out more (26% vs. RHP), but they're also fourth in the league in wRC+ and ISO (.194). The park should help Shoemaker limit the damage tonight -- and he could use a little help, because HRs have been an issue this season. But he's also pretty respectable when it comes to missing bats (8.94 Ks/9), and the prices only heighten our interest -- they're affordable, but not low enough to make him chalky, which is great, because if he runs up a nice total tonight, it'd be nice if we didn't have to share him with 35 percent of the field.
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