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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

08/07/2017
Brent Holloway

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers for FanDuel and DraftKings - 8/7/17

Here's where you can find some recommendations for tournament pitchers target for FanDuel and DraftKings. Find our main set of cash game picks here.

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Pitchers

Carlos MartinezCarlos Martinez FD 8900 DK 8200
Opponent - KC (Kennedy) Park - @KC
FD - 33.7 DK - 22.42
There are three pitchers on this bleak, sad, seven-game slate who don't trigger a gag reflex. Scherzer and Arrieta are two (and we talked about them in the cash games article), so that leaves us with CarMart here. And he's fine. Actually, the full season numbers are pretty good (3.64 xFIP, 9.7 Ks/9), but we don't love picking on Kansas City, which has only two regulars with K rate > 19%. That said, it's not an especially powerful lineup and Kauffman Stadium is pretty forgiving. Where Martinez needs to be careful is with all those lefties. Left-handed hitters have fared well against him this season with .361 wOBA and .197 ISO, and the addition of Melky (and the absence of Salvador Perez) has given KC a lefty-centric heart of the order. On many slates, that might be enough to push us off of Martinez, but on this slate, we're beggars, not choosers when it comes to starting pitching.

Trevor WilliamsTrevor Williams FD 7000 DK 6200
Opponent - DET (Zimmermann) Park - @PIT
FD - 23.64 DK - 15.65

I guess. He's a pretty big favorite (-159) and PNC Park is a nice place to pitch. That's obviously good news for Williams, but it could make him really chalky for SP2 purposes on DraftKings, and that erodes the attractiveness somewhat. He doesn't come with much upside (6.48 Ks/9), but he's been pretty tough on righties (.303 wOBA allowed, 7.4 Ks/9), which makes him interesting against a Tigers lineup that looks soft against righties, especially since the departure of J.D. Martinez and Alex Avila. Their projected starters hold a .312 wOBA and .153 ISO vs. RHP this season, and Justin Upton is the only guy with a wOBA over .350 or an ISO over .200. That said, batted ball data still says Miggy and Castellanos have been really unlucky, so regression could still come.  But the Tigers losing the DH spot in NL park, and the dearth of strong arms on the slate means we have to give Williams some consideration on two-pitcher sites.

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