Daily Fantasy MLB Hitter Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 9/25/17
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All the usual Coors Fields caveats apply here. Variance is through the roof, so are the prices, and both sides are totally viable. We're siding with the Rockies (and Vegas), thanks in no small part to the regression we're expecting out of Marlins starter Odrisamer Despaigne. He's done a solid job of limiting long balls in just under 300 big league IP, but it's hard to see that continuing based on the batted ball profile he's yielding this season (just 38% ground balls, 5% HR:FB). Look no further than that for an explanation of that 6.26 xFIP he's rocking right now. Meanwhile, y'all know the drill when it comes to the Rockies at home. They've got a .355 team wOBA and .188 ISO in Coors vs. RHP this season. Blackmon and Arenado are the most obvious building blocks, and after that you can take your shots where ever you choose -- we'd lean toward lefties, though, because Despaigne has been pretty tough vs. R this season.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS
This is looking like a brutal matchup for Padres starter Travis Wood. He's getting shelled by righties this season (.390 wOBA, .219 ISO), and the Dodgers have guys throughout the lineup who can pound southpaws. Aside from the usual stalwarts, guys like Kike Hernandez (.387/.319) and Austin Barnes (.370/.250) always deserve attention when a lefty is on the mound. Making matters worse for Wood, he's hasn't been all that great vs. L either (.354 wOBA), and Corey Seager and Cody Bellinger have no problems in the LvL matchup, both posting wOBA over .380 in the split. Of the expected starters, there's literally nobody on the home team we wouldn't consider using.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS
We'll never frown on the idea of taking a couple of shots at James Shields, and the addition of Justin Upton to the Angels lineup has made that a much more palatable option in this matchup. You'll still have to figure out what to do at 1B, because Zombie Albert Pujols is entrenched in the middle of the order despite posting the eighth-worst wOBA in baseball this season among qualified hitters. So, that's a bummer. He's still managed 23 HRs on the year, though, so if you're ever gonna roll the dice on him, maybe now's the time to grit your teeth and do it. Can't necessarily recommend that course of action, but US Cellular is a HR-friendly venue, and Shields is giving up 2.13 HRs/9 this season, which is a career high. And while HR rates tend to fluctuate for pitchers, this is part of a clear trend for Shields, whose rate has been climbing steadily since 2014. Lefties are doing the most damage against him (.395 wOBA, .291 ISO), which puts Kole Calhoun and Luis Valbuena in play, while Trout and Upton remain the clear must-start guys if you're stacking Angels.
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