featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Chris Durell

Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 16 - 12/24/17

Welcome back fantasy football fans. I don't blame you if you took the week off as the main slate falls on Christmas Eve where you will likely want to be spending time with your family playing Scrabble, Monopoly, or other popular board games but if you are like me you will have at least Redzone playing on your phone(don't tell my mom). There are also two games on Christmas Day this week so if you plan on eating a ton of Turkey and chilling on the couch, I would advise you to get in some Sunday-Monday slate action.

There are some very intriguing matchups and a lot on the line this week so let's first take a look at some of the injuries that could affect our lineup construction.

  • Antonio Brown - Out with a calf injury and may not play until the playoffs.
  • Leonard Fournette - Practiced in full this week and is slated to return to the Jaguars backfield after dealing with a quad injury.
  • DeAndre Hopkins - Was limited in Thursday's practice with the same toe injury but there is not much concern that he will miss the game as he played through it last week and came through once again.
  • Ezekiel Elliott - Will make his return from suspension this week and get a nice matchup vs. a banged up Seahawks defense.
  • Julio Jones - Was limited in Thursday's practice with an ankle and thumb injury after the expectation was he would be out of practice all week. This is a good sign in a huge division game vs. the Saints.
  • Devante Adams - Has been ruled out as he is dealing with a concussion. This opens up extra targets for Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb but they face a tough matchup vs. the Vikings.
  • Isaiah Crowell - Limited on Thursday dealing with a shoulder injury but the expectation is that he will play this week. He could see limited snaps opening some added touches for Duke Johnson.
  • Travis Kelce - Didn't practice on Wednesday with an illness but is expected to play and the questionable tag could help with his ownership.
  • Tevin Coleman - Has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.
  • Joe Mixon - Practiced in full on Wednesday and Thursday and should return if he doesn't experience any setbacks before Sunday.
  • Devin Funchess - Dealing with a shoulder injury and has yet to practice this week but has told the media he is "good to go". Play with caution as he was a non-factor last week with the same injury.
  • Samaje Perine - Left Thursday's practice after suffering a groin injury and coach Gruden said he is unsure of his status for Sunday. If he is out or limited, we could see 40+ pass attempts from Kirk Cousins as the Redskins are very limited in their running back depth.
  • Rex Burkhead - Out with a knee sprain and this should open up Dion Lewis to get the bulk of the action in the backfield this week. We could also see more of James White in the passing game.
  • Marqise Lee - Will likely be out a couple weeks which will open up targets for Dede Westbrook and Keelan Cole.
  • DeSean Jackson - Suffered an ankle injury in the Monday Night football game and was absent from practice all week. He is doubtful to play this week so we could see a big game from Mike Evans and added targets for Chris Godwin.
  • Amari Cooper - Reports are out there that he should return this week but pay attention to the final injury report on Friday afternoon.

If you are looking for a more in-depth look at this week's games, be sure to check out the DFSR Game by Game Podcast where Doug and James go over all the relevant plays for cash games and tournaments.

Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our MLB Optimizer, and our new Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.

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Kansas City Chiefs

Quarterback - Alex Smith
Primary Target - Travis Kelce
Secondary Target - Kareem Hunt

I had originally pegged Cam Newton and the Panthers in this spot but with Devin Funchess highly questionable and Cam's ability to just take over games with his legs, I decided to look for a lower owned option to kick things off this week. Using FanShareSports analytical tools, I pegged Alex Smith as a low owned quarterback as he has just seven tags as of Friday morning. In comparison, Cam Newton has 18 tags, Philip Rivers and Blake Bortles have 17 tags, and 19 total quarterbacks have more tags than Smith. He has only topped 20 fantasy points once in the last four weeks but it was a monster game with 40.6 DK/37.6 FD points against the Jets. The matchup isn't quite as good this week vs. the Dolphins but what I like about pairing him with Travis Kelce is the fact the Dolphins have been near elite vs. wideouts which has funneled a ton of fantasy points to tight ends as they rank 28th overall vs. the position. Last week they gave up seven catches for 101 yards to the Bills Nick O'Leary and Charles Clay, didn't face Gronk in Week 14 but in Week 12 gave up five catches for 82  yards and two touchdowns. Kelce is dealing with an illness this week but is fully expected to be in the lineup on Sunday and the missed practices could help with his ownership should he remain out of practice on Friday. My second choice is running back Kareem Hunt and I fully believe all three players can have big games. With the Dolphins ability to shut down wideouts, I can see Hunt once again getting 5+ targets this week on top of his 15+ carries. He has rushed for 100 or more yards in back to back games and was also very productive through the air last week catching seven of his nine targets for an additional 51 yards and a touchdown. Hunt has also seen a big price increase and with him being in the same tier as Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, and Alvin Kamara, I feel he makes a terrific ownership pivot. There is enough value this where you can easily stack all three in hopes of another huge upside day as the Chiefs look to lock up the division on their home field.


Jacksonville Jaguars

Quarterback - Blake Bortles
Primary Target - Dede Westbrook
Secondary Target - Keelan Cole

If you told me at the start of the season that I would be writing up Blake Bortles in Week 16, I would have told you to check me into the psych ward. Needless to say, I am safely at my computer desk writing up Bortles who has been easily one of the top fantasy quarterbacks over the past month. You heard that right, over the past four weeks he has the sixth-most passing yards(1,063) and touchdowns(7) and has added an additional 87 yards rushing with two more touchdowns. He has thrown for 300 yards twice, exceeded 20 fantasy points three times, and owns the second-best average fantasy points with 24.4 per game. Whoa! He now sits with a season-high price on both sites but is still firmly in play as he would only need 19.5 DK/22.8 FD points to hit 3x value, a target he has hit in three of the past four weeks. Leonard Fournette is primed to return from a quad injury this week which could take away a few pass attempts in the grand scheme of things but it didn't hurt his value in weeks 12 and 13 so I am not too concerned at all. He also gets a plus matchup, despite the low Vegas Total, facing a 49ers team that ranks 31st in DVOA vs. the pass and 28th in DraftKings points allowed to quarterbacks. He will be without Marqise Lee once again but the third and fourth receivers on the depth chart have been balling out lately. Dede Westbrook is coming off a quiet week with just two targets but had caught 17 of his 27 targets in in weeks 12-14 for 200 yards and a touchdown. Undrafted free agent, Keelan Cole, is coming off his biggest game of the year catching seven of his nine targets for 186 yards and a touchdown and has now scored in three straight games. Both have seen a big price increase this week but are firmly in play vs. the 49ers who rank 24th in DraftKings points per game allowed to wideouts. Now it's time to sit back and cross your fingers Bortles doesn't turn back into a pumpkin at midnight before gameday.

Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NFL optimizer for FanDuel and DraftKings, our MLB Optimizer, and our new Player Lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.

First time with NFL? Be sure to read our free MLB and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy and more. We've got you completely covered.

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