Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

06/12/2018
Chris Durell

Daily Fantasy MLB Pitchers and Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - 6/12/18

We already highlighted Aaron Nola and Mike Foltynewicz in our 6/12/18 picks article. We also highlighted the Boston Red Sox and Cincinnati Reds as a popular game stacks at their respective team price points. Here we will look at some other (possible GPP) considerations.

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Pitchers

Jon GrayJon Gray FD 7500 DK 8000
Opponent - PHI (Aaron Nola) Park - PHI
FD - 31.36 DK - 16.27

I mentioned Aaron Nola in the main article and while I lean that way in cash games, I feel this could be a pitchers duel bringing both pitchers into the conversation for GPP formats. On the surface, it has been a rough start to the season for Gray who sits with a 5.66 ERA but consider that more than half his starts have come at home in Coors and that his xFIP(3.21) and SIERA(3.47) are in the above average range. He also provides a ton of upside with a 10.41 K/9(25.7% K rate) to go along with a 12.8% swinging strike rate. Even more good news as the Phillies strikeout more than any other team in baseball(25.8%) and even more against right-handed pitching(26.9%). All things considered, I feel it is a viable route to get some exposure to Gray in GPP formats with the tremendous upside tonight.

Jaime GarciaJaime Garcia FD 6200 DK 6100
Opponent - TB (Ryne Stanek) Park - TB
FD - 28.73 DK - 14.3

I will warn you once again that today is not the best of days from a pitcher perspective as the top-priced options aren't elite by any means and the value options are nothing to write home about at all. In this case, I will punt with the cheapest of the pitchers that I can bare put in my lineup with the best matchup. Enter Jaime Garcia who is having a less than stellar start to his first and possibly only season as a Blue Jay as he sits with a 5.57 ERA and not much better 4.75 xFIP. The good news is that while it has been a roller coaster ride, he has had flashes lately holding opponents to one earned run in three of his last five starts. He isn't terrible when it comes to the strikeouts as he sits just under one per inning and now faces a Rays team that sits 8th when looking at K rates(24.1%) vs. left-handed pitching. I won't be allin on Garcia by any means but will have some exposure in GPP formats for sure to help load upon bats in greats situations.

 

Stacks

Cleveland Indians vs. James Shields(CWS)

Greg AllenGreg Allen FD 2900 DK 3300
Opponent - CHW (James Shields) Park - CHW
FD - 7.69 DK - 5.89
Michael BrantleyMichael Brantley FD 4300 DK 4700
Opponent - CHW (James Shields) Park - CHW
FD - 11.41 DK - 8.74
Jose RamirezJose Ramirez FD 5200 DK 5500
Opponent - CHW (James Shields) Park - CHW
FD - 12.82 DK - 9.69
Francisco LindorFrancisco Lindor FD 4900 DK 5000
Opponent - CHW (James Shields) Park - CHW
FD - 12.13 DK - 9.3

The Indians were able to get to Lucas Giolito last night but unfortunately, it was Lonnie Chisenhall at the bottom of the order who did most of the damage. The four hitters I list above only tallied two hits between them but I will be going right back to the well tonight in another tremendous matchup against James Shields. While he was doing great in limiting the home runs prior to the month of June with just four long balls against over his first 11 starts(4.8% HR/FB rate), he wasn't great overall with a 4.54 ERA and 5.15 xFIP while striking out under six per nine. The regression bug finally arrived in June as he has now given up six total home runs in his last two starts looking like the James Shields who love to target against. With the combination of cheaper pitchers and huge upside this Indians offense presents, I will have a ton of exposure in GPP formats tonight and if Greg Allen is back in the leadoff spot I think he makes a nice value play to help tie it all together.

Kansas City Royals vs. Sal Romano(CIN)

Whit MerrifieldWhit Merrifield FD 3200 DK 3900
Opponent - CIN (Sal Romano) Park - CIN
FD - 11.56 DK - 9.05
Mike MoustakasMike Moustakas FD 4000 DK 4300
Opponent - CIN (Sal Romano) Park - CIN
FD - 12.13 DK - 9.21
Jorge SolerJorge Soler FD 3300 DK 4000
Opponent - CIN (Sal Romano) Park - CIN
FD - 10.43 DK - 7.86
Salvador PerezSalvador Perez FD 3100 DK 4000
Opponent - CIN (Sal Romano) Park - CIN
FD - 11.01 DK - 8.44

If we are going to target struggling pitchers, we have to give strong consideration to the Royals tonight despite sitting near the bottom of the league in overall runs and success against right-handed pitchers. Tonight, they face Sal Romano of the Reds who is going through a disastrous stretch of baseball where he has allowed four or more earned runs in five straight starts(10.72 ERA, 4.60 xFIP) and at least one home run in four straight starts with a 42.5% hard contact rate. My stack will start at the top and with Jon Jay out of the picture as he was traded to Arizona, Whit Merrifield has taken over as the leadoff hitter. He has actually been doing well in that role as he has at least one hit in four of the five games he has been there. After that, I will be loading up on a few different combinations depending on the lineup but will have the most exposure to the power bats in Mike Moustakas(13), Salvador Perez(11), and Jorge Soler(9) who lead the team in home runs and RBI. I don't think we need to go overboard with overall exposure to the Royals as I feel they will be slightly under owned due to the leack of pitching allowing us to load up on the elite teams(Red Sox, Astros, Indians).

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