featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Casey Carruthers

Daily Fantasy College Football Quick Picks and Betting Spotlight for DraftKings - Week 4 Friday Night

We'll have a Saturday main slate write up coming soon, but figured we'd get you started with some quick picks and a Friday night bet to start your weekend right.

Getting started with DFS college football? We'll have you covered all season long. You can also sign up to access our NFL and MLB projections and lineup optimizers for NFL and MLB. Your subscription will also include access to premium content, our members only chatroom, and more!

Quick Picks

McKenzie MiltonMcKenzie Milton -UCF
DK 10500
Opponent Florida Atlantic

Milton comes in as the most expensive quarterback and also my top cash play. Short slates present unique challenges and advantages when constructing your lineups and with Milton we have a guy with simply too much opportunity to fade in cash games. Milton opened the season by shredding UConn to the tune of 346 yards and five touchdowns. He was uncharacteristically bad against South Carolina State, throwing for less than 250 yards and one touchdown to three interceptions. Last week's game against North Carolina was canceled so Milton and the offense have had two weeks to prepare for FAU. The game has the highest total on the board at 75 (editor's note: up to 77) and UCF has the highest implied total at 44.5 points. The game script is in his favor and Milton is the centerpiece of the offense with considerably more talent at his disposal compared to the Owls defense. After two blowout wins for the Knights we haven’t seen a full game of production out of Milton. If FAU can score a little and hang around, Milton may break the slate!

James WilliamsJames Williams -Washington State
DK 6300
Opponent USC
Love J-Will!! Williams is my top overall play for both cash and GPP formats across the entire slate. The short answer; receptions. The long answer is a bit more involved, but it still centers around the sick reception potential he has compared to the others at his position. Since the arrival of Mike Leach, the Cougars have been known for their Air-Raid offense with very little focus on the running back position. Leach also realizes Williams is his most talented skill position player and getting him the ball will improve his team's chances of success. Through three games J-Will has 18 receptions, which is the 2nd most on the team behind only Davontavean Martin (receiver) with 24, but his six touchdowns are tops on the team. Washington State enters the game as 4 point underdogs with a total sitting at 53. Typically running backs on the road as underdogs are guys I like to avoid, but Williams is not your typical back and his production is not derived from typical means. His floor is insanely high and plenty of upside to help you take down a GPP.

Jovon DuranteJovon Durante -Florida Atlantic
DK 7000
Opponent UCF

Volume and game script, Durante has both going for him. Through three games Durante has 23 receptions which is almost double the next closest guy (Wright) with 12. He was relatively quiet week one against #5 Oklahoma, but in the last two weeks against lesser competition Durante went off for 19/246/2. Central Florida is much better than Air Force and Bethune Cookman, but defensively they're not at the same level as the Sooners. FAU starts redshirt freshman quarterback Chris Robison who is getting more comfortable with the offense as the season progresses and it's clear he's chosen Durante as his favorite target. As 14 point dogs and a total of 75 the game script favors Durante seeing heavy volume, which should translate to a pretty decent floor. I'm not convinced that FAU can keep up with the Knights' offense (more on that later), but I am convinced they chuck the ball a ton in an attempt to try. To summarize, FAU is going to be playing catch up, Jovon is their best receiver, and he's Robison's favorite target.

Game Betting Spotlight

McKenzie MiltonCentral Florida
-13.5 Under 77
Opponent Florida Atlantic

Vegas is always the smartest guy in the room, but that’s not to say there isn’t a winning side. FAU is simply overmatched in this one and here's why: McKenzie Milton is the best player on the field playing the most difficult and most important position which is a huge advantage for UCF. FAU is allowing almost 40 points per game and hasn’t held a team to less than 27 all season. UCF is averaging 47 points game through two games. FAU has one of the better running backs in the country with Devin Singletary, but it's hard to stick to your running game if you're down 21 points. UCF has allowed a total of 17 points through its first two games. FAU will certainly be the best offense they have faced, but they won't be able to keep up forcing them to become one dimensional. Chris Robison is making just his 4th start of his college career, on the road under the lights on national television. I think the stage is too big in the early going and UCF jumps out early. FAU will have a better 2nd half, but too little too late.

image sources

Post a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *





Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!