Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 6 - 10/14/18
Welcome back football fans. Week six brings us three games with totals over 50, four with totals over 48, and a whopping five of 43 or lower. What this could create is some high ownership on the top teams so getting as many combinations as possible of the stacks you choose is very important. To help yourself separate in GPP formats, you can always find one or two low owned pivots and I will cover a few of these in my ownership pivot article on Saturday morning. With that said, let's dive into my top two stacks of the week.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This week I am once again starting with a filter combination in the player Lab of high game totals with a thin spread. On the main slate, this produced two results and four quarterbacks. While I started with a game stack last week in the Steelers/Falcons game, I am going to go in a bit of a different direction this week. Don't get me wrong, I will definitely be game-stacking these extremely high-scoring games but I love the price and PTS/$ on Winston compared to these other quarterbacks helping us get to one or even two elite running backs that saw big price increases.
The Bucs are coming off a bye week which is good news for Winston who will be making his first start of the season after serving a suspension. He did come into the game in week four in relief of Ryan Fitzpatrick and against arguably the best defense in the league in the Chicago Bears, he completed 16 of 20 passes(80%) for 145 yards despite two interceptions. I fully expect the rust to be shaken off and this week he gets a much better matchup against a banged-up Atlanta defense that has seen injuries to key players in Deion Jones at linebacker, Ricardo Allen at corner, and Keanu Neal at safety. Through five games, the Falcons have allowed the 9th most passing yards per game(277.2) and the 3rd most fantasy points per game to the quarterback position.
When multi-entering a contest, I always love to create as many combinations of my top stacks as possible so that when they go off you have a much better shot at hitting the nuts and cashing big. With the Bucs, I will be starting with Winston and Mike Evans. Through four games, Evans is off to one of the best starts of his career from an efficiency standpoint. He has been targeted 39 times(9.8 per game) catching 29 of them for a terrific 74% catch rate after never posting one above 56% in four previous seasons. He has also scored three times and is averaging 106.5 receiving yards per game. After Evans, I will be looking to add a value target and this week it is Cameron Brate($3,700 on DK, $4,500 on FD). James and I discussed the lack of tight end options on the Week 5 Recap Podcast and if you are trying to get exposure to one of two of the high-end running backs, the tight end position is a great spot to find value. Brate has shown good chemistry with Winston in the past having scored 14 touchdowns over the last two seasons and he was second on the team in 2017 to only Mike Evans in redzone targets(14) and was tied with Evans in 2016(19). His overall value will depend on the status of O.J. Howard who is dealing with a sprained MCL and was in a brace at Wednesday's practice. He is questionable for Sunday's game so be sure to stay updated on that status.
I definitely think other stacks(PIT, ATL, LARM) have higher upside but I wanted to go a bit deeper this week and talk about a stack that is not only cheap on both sits helping us get to those elite running backs but should also be much lower owned. Enter the Seattle Seahawks will travel to Wembley Stadium in London, England to take on the Oakland Raiders. Helping with the low projected ownership on Wilson is the fact he has been dealing with a hamstring issue which held him to just 11 rush attempts this season for 42 yards. He has practiced in full this week so his status for the game is not in question. There is a ton of risk here as Seattle ranks 27th in passing yards per game(193.8) but have faced five teams who all rank in the top half of the league in passing yards per game given up with three of them(LARM, DAL, CHI) ranking inside the Top 12. This week is easily their best matchup of the season for the passing game as the Oakland Raiders have given up the 9th most passing yards per game(277.2) and 7th most fantasy points per game to the quarterback position.
The receiver I will be pairing with Wilson the most is Tyler Lockett who is having a terrific season. He has only got 24 targets thus far but has been very productive with them catching 20(71%) for 347 yards and he has scored a touchdown in four of his five games. Doug Baldwin made his return last week after a knee injury held him out of the first four games and he got just one target. Until he shows a little more my exposure to him will be very low. Both have good matchups this week as the Raiders have given up the 6th most fantasy points per game to wideouts.
This stack is much more about separation in GPP formats as well as salary relief to help stack elite running backs(Gurley, MCaffrey, Gordon). There is risk liek I mentioned earlier but there is also upside in this matchup.
- Mike Evans: (AP Photo/TUSP, Jay Biggerstaff)