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Daily Fantasy Football Top Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings Week 16 - 12/23/18
Week 16 of the NFL season is here which means we only have a few more chances to reach the GPP promise land. This week we have a somewhat smaller main slate with two games on Saturday along with the regular Sunday night and Monday night primetime games. The other notable thing about this slate is that there is only one game with a Vegas Total of 50 or more along with multiple injuries and questionable players that can change our decision making when constructing lineups. Let's take a look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats and if you have any questions, be sure to jump into the DFSR member chatroom.
Let's jump in and take a look at some of the top stacks using the data from our Player Lab.
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There is only one game with a Vegas Total greater than 50 making it a terrific place to start with the stacks article. Of the two quarterbacks in this matchup, I lean Big Ben for a couple reasons and it starts with volume as he leads all quarterbacks in 2018 with a whopping 580 attempts and trails only Patrick Mahomes in yards with 4,462 to go along with 30 touchdown passes(6th most). As you can see above in the stats section of the Player Lab, Big Ben is averaging 319 yards per game to Brees' 262 per game and is projected in the system for almost 10 more pass attempts this week with a positive game script as the Steelers are 6.5 point road dogs. I will be pairing Big Ben with his top receiver Antonio Brown who is somehow only the fourth most expensive wideout on the slate. He draws a tough matchup against Saints improved defense and on an individual level will see a ton of Marshon Lattimore but Brown is a top wideout in the league and with JuJu Smith-Schuster not at 100% will likely see 10-15 targets this week and is more than capable of putting up 100+ and multiple touchdowns in a potential shootout. Also, James Conner has been ruled out meaning the backfield is all Jaylen Samuels once again. He is coming off a monster week where he rushed 19 times for 142 yards. The Saints present a tough matchup when it comes to rushing but do sit in the middle of the league when it comes to receiving yards given up to running backs which is right up Samuels alley as he is an excellent pass catcher.
Los Angeles Rams
I am going a little off the board with my second stack and hoping to get some very low ownership from the Rams passing game. The ownership projection for Goff comes from the fact the Rams are 14 point home favorites which would favor Todd Gurley and the run game and it shows as Goff is currently 13th in tags at the QB position while Woods is currently 11th at the WR position over on FanShareSports. The other reason Goff will be low owned is recency bias as he has been pretty terrible lately completing only 55% of his passes for an average of 242 passing yards over the last three weeks. The good news here is that we know upside he possesses as he has thrown for 300+ yards eight times and three or more touchdowns five times. A huge part of the Cardinals success ranking Top 5 in passing yards per game allowed has been their elite play of cornerback Patrick Peterson. What stands out for Robert Woods this week is that he runs a majority of his routes out of the slot while Peterson strictly covers the outside. Looking at the stats from Football Outsiders, the Cardinals ranks 8th overall against #1 wideouts while ranking outside of the Top 15 against the #2 and #3 wideouts. With the opportunity to access the PTS/$ upside Goff and Woods provide at a discounted price, I will be making multiple Rams stacks this week.