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Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

06/06/2019
Joel Bartilotta

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Friday 6/7/19

We've got a full Friday of MLB action with some aces, some great looking stacks and really everything else in between for FanDuel and DraftKings.

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Pitchers

Gerrit ColeGerrit Cole FD - P 11200 DK - SP 12200
Opponent - BAL (Gabriel Ynoa) Park - HOU
FD - 50.25 DK - 28.49
This is easily the best pitching option on the board and it's going to be tough to fade him. Not only does Cole lead the league in strikeouts, he's actually posting a ridiculous 37 percent K rate. That happens to be one of the best marks in MLB history and his 1.05 WHIP tells us that his 3.95 ERA is due for some positive regression. We're going to bet on that starting here, with the Orioles ranked 24th in runs scored, 25th in OPS and dead-last in xwOBA. All that has made Cole a -355 favorite in this game, which happens to be one of the largest spreads of the season.

Jacob deGromJacob deGrom FD - P 10300 DK - SP 9400
Opponent - COL (Antonio Senzatela) Park - NYM
FD - 46.46 DK - 26.6
deGrom is always in play when pitching at Citi Field, as he's simply one of the best pitcher's in the Majors. Getting to throw in Citi Field only helps, with that pitcher's haven surrendering the fewest runs in the league since the beginning of last season. That's why deGrom has a FIP barely above 2.00 in that span, as his 31 percent K rate in that span makes him arguably the best pitcher in the NL. While the Rockies offense can be tough, they usually struggle on the road. In fact, Colorado ranks 28th in road OPS this season which isn't far off of their 27th-ranked road OPS from last year. That's why we're looking at a total of 7.5, with the Mets projected as a -205 favorite.

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Catcher/First Base

Matt OlsonMatt Olson FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4000
Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEX
FD - 11.86 DK - 8.86
This is the first of many Oakland bats in this article, as Olson is probably the best power bat of the bunch. Since the beginning of 2017, Olson is one of the team leaders with 60 home runs and an ISO approaching .250. He's hit those 60 dingers in just 249 games, which simply states the elite power he possesses. What we really like is that he gets to face a righty, with Olson posting an .873 OPS against right-handers in that span. The icing on the cake is hitting in Globe Life Park, which ranks as the second-best hitting park in the Majors.

Eric ThamesEric Thames FD - 1B 2900 DK - 1B 4500
Opponent - PIT (Rookie Davis) Park - MIL
FD - 11.52 DK - 8.64
Thames is pricey on DraftKings but he's tough to overlook on FanDuel just above $3,000. The simple fact is, this dude just smashes right-handed pitching. Since the beginning of 2017, Thames is posting an .872 OPS against righties and a slugging percentage above .500. That's why he'll bat in the heart of this potent Brewers batting order, with Milwaukee projected for five runs against Rookie Davis. The Pittsburgh righty has traditionally been pitching out of the bullpen and his 7.06 ERA and 1.99 career WHIP make him a guy we want to stack against.

If you're in need of a catcher, Yasmani Grandal (FD $3500 DK $4900) could be a huge piece to a Brewers stack batting from the left side.

Second Base

Kike HernandezKike Hernandez FD - 2B 3000 DK - 2B/OF 4100
Opponent - SF (Drew Pomeranz) Park - SF
FD - 11.85 DK - 8.94
We have the Dodgers projected to face Drew Pomeranz and that puts all of the Los Angeles righties in play. The reason for that is because Pomeranz has been one of the worst starters in the league since last season, with the lefty posting a 6.77 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in that span. That's downright ugly and it's scary to think that he has to face one of the most potent offenses in Majors with those ugly statistics in his back pocket. We always love using Hernandez against southpaws too, with Kike posting a .514 SLG and .886 OPS against lefties so far this season while typically batting in the top-six of the order.

Tony KempTony Kemp FD - 2B 2300 DK - 2B/OF 3700
Opponent - BAL (Gabriel Ynoa) Park - HOU
FD - 9.82 DK - 7.64
With so many injuries in Houston, Kemp has stepped into a huge role for the Astros. His recent form is a really encouraging sign, with Kemp averaging 7.7 DK points per game across his last seven fixtures. That's all you can ask for from someone so cheap and he becomes a nice, cheap part of a Houston stack. Stacking the 'Stros is definitely something we want to do too, with Gabriel Ynoa pitching to a 5.06 ERA and 1.54 WHIP so far this season. Kemps is traditionally better against righties too, posting a .729 OPS against them since 2017 while increasing his likelihood to steal a bag.

Shortstop

Manny MachadoManny Machado FD - SS 3300 DK - 3B/SS 3800
Opponent - WSH (Erick Fedde) Park - SD
FD - 11.43 DK - 8.7
These prices are just ridiculous, as someone with Machado's ability needs to be above $4,000 on both sites. We're talking about a guy who's posted an OPS above .860 in three of his last four years coming into this season. That shows the sort of sky-high potential he possesses and recent results indicate that he's finding his swing. In fact, Machado has a homer, a double, three runs scored and four RBI over his last three games. We love that he gets to face Erick Fedde too, with the Washington righty posting a 5.24 xFIP so far this season.

Marcus SemienMarcus Semien FD - SS 3300 DK - SS 4100
Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEX
FD - 11.81 DK - 9.06
Semien is the second piece to our Oakland stack, as we simply can't avoid the leadoff hitter. While he doesn't get the platoon advantage in his favor, we have Oakland projected for five runs. That makes Semien a huge value in this price range no matter the matchup and we simply can't fade him getting possibly five at-bats in a hitter's haven like Globe Life Park. Semien is finding some rhythm at the plate too, scoring at least 10 DK points in eight of his last 17 games.

Third Base

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 3B 3100 DK - 3B 3900
Opponent - ARI (Merrill Kelly) Park - TOR
FD - 12.49 DK - 9.57
We've been on the Vlad train ever since his call-up and recent results are finally paying us off for our investment. While he did get off to a slow start, Guerrero is posting a .296 average and .968 OPS over his last 20 games. That's the top prospect that we've all been waiting for, with Vlad Jr posting an OPS north of 1.000 in his Triple-A career. Facing Merrill Kelly is something we definitely don't need to worry about either, with the Arizona righty pitching to a 4.41 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.

Travis ShawTravis Shaw FD - 3B 2400 DK - 3B 2700
Opponent - PIT (Rookie Davis) Park - MIL
FD - 9.37 DK - 7.03
Shaw has been downright awful this season but these prices are getting out of control. The fact that he's hovering around the minimum puts him squarely in play because this guy is still one of the best power hitters in the league. Not only does he have at least 30 homers in back-to-back years, Shaw is also posting an ISO well above .200 in that span. Getting to face Rookie Davis is a good way to bust his slump, with Shaw posting an .862 OPS against right-handed pitching since 2017.

Outfield

Chad PinderChad Pinder FD - OF 2300 DK - 2B/OF 3900
Opponent - TEX (Lance Lynn) Park - TEX
FD - 10.25 DK - 7.86
Pinder is the final piece to our Oakland stack and he's probably the most undervalued player on this team. This is a guy who has posted an OPS of .749 or higher in three-straight seasons, hitting 33 homers in just 243 games. That's why the A's have moved him up to their two-hole in the order and that makes him a great piece to an Oakland stack. While Lance Lynn has been solid, no one is immune from the hitting conditions at Globe Life Park.

Lorenzo CainLorenzo Cain FD - OF 3400 DK - OF 4100
Opponent - PIT (Rookie Davis) Park - MIL
FD - 13 DK - 10.12
Cain is probably a better real-life player than fantasy option but his price is getting to a tempting number. What we like about him here is that he's leading off against Rookie Davis. The Pittsburgh righty has some unsightly numbers in his Major League career, which is backed up by his 5.49 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at the Triple-A level. That means the Pirates are setting him up for disaster, as he has to face one of the best lineups in baseball in one of the best hitting environments in the Majors. Getting the leadoff hitter in this circumstance at a reasonable price is why we can overlook Cain's lackluster fantasy numbers.

Chris TaylorChris Taylor FD - OF 2300 DK - 2B/OF 3400
Opponent - SF (Drew Pomeranz) Park - SF
FD - 9.88 DK - 7.58
Much like Hernandez, Taylor is always worth considering against a lefty. When the Dodgers face a southpaw, Taylor has been batting either third or leadoff. Those are premium spots in a potent order and it makes him really attractive against a gas can like Drew Pomeranz. So far this season, Taylor is posting a .792 OPS against lefties, which is right around his career-long averages.

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