Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Saturday 6/7/19
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This is the final DFS slate before the All-Star break, so let's end the first-half strong. What is interesting about this day is that we might see some players resting, so be sure to check in on all the lineups to avoid any critical mistakes.
The pitching selections aren't pretty on this slate but Price is a nice value (no pun intended). The reason we really like him here is because of his recent form, with the Boston lefty pitching to a 2.65 ERA and 1.18 WHIP over his last three starts. That's all you can ask for from a guy in such a good matchup, with the Tigers holding the 6th highest K rate and the 4th lowest wOBA against left handed pitchers. That's one of the major reasons why Price enters this game as a -275 favorite.
Stripling just re-entered the starting rotation for the Dodgers due to a Rich Hill injury and we're going to keep betting on him until he gets above $8,000 on both sites. The reason for that is because Stripling is generating a 3.16 ERA and 1.21 WHIP dating back to the start of last season. Stripling has been even better at home, providing a 2.46 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at home for his career. He's doing that while striking out more than a batter per-inning and that doesn't even take into consideration that he pitches for one of the best lineups in baseball in one of the most pitcher-friendly environments. San Diego is a fantastic match-up too, with the Padres ranking 25th in runs scored and 27th in K rate. Not to mention, Stripling enters this game as a -165 favorite. He's a great value option if you play an all day slate today.
Votto has quietly been one of the hottest hitters in the league over recent weeks and the price simply hasn't caught up to his production. Over his last 33 games, Votto is hitting .358 while providing a .433 OBP and .961 OPS. That's the perennial all-star that we've become accustomed to and it's clear that something has changed with his swing. While facing Trevor Bauer is no easy task, Votto has a wOBA and OBP north of .400 against righties for his career. Bauer is struggling right now too, posting a 5.94 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over his last three starts.
If you know anything about baseball, you know that Ivan Nova is always worth stacking against. The White Sox pitcher is posting a 5.92 ERA and 1.56 WHIP so far this season which matches his atrocious .395 xwOBA. That puts all of the Cubs bats in play, especially a stud like Rizzo. His .515 SLG and .895 OPS this season shows why he's such a good option and he's typically better against right-handed pitching. In fact, Rizzo has a .396 OBP and .956 OPS against righties so far this season.
Altuve is in the midst of one of the worst seasons of his career but he's simply too good of a player to be priced this cheaply. The $3,900 price tag on DraftKings is particularly insulting, as Altuve is typically a $5,000 player on that site. We're going to bet on him returning to that price at some point, as his .259 AVG is more than 50 points lower than his lowest batting average over the past five seasons thanks to some terrible BABIP luck. Playing him against a lefty is simply the icing on the cake, with Altuve generating a 1.131 OPS against southpaws so far this season.
Sogard is in the midst of the best season of his career and we truly believe that he's still being undervalued. In fact, his .299 AVG, .370 OBP, .487 SLG and .857 OPS are all career-highs. That's why he's been hitting leadoff for the Blue Jays and that alone makes him attractive against Gabriel Ynoa. The Orioles righty is currently pitching to a 6.22 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, which is scary against a hot hitter like Sogard, who's hitting .339 over his last 30 games.
Turner is simply one of the best players in fantasy baseball and it's hard to argue with his current form. Over his last 13 games, Turner is hitting .328 while providing 12 runs scored, five extra-base hits and five steals. That's the stud that we were drafting Top-5 in season-long formats and he's still a bit undervalued on both of these sites. What we like here is that he gets to face Jakob Junis, who's posting a 5.53 ERA and 1.48 WHIP so far this season.
Bogaerts doesn't get much discussion as the best shortstop in the league but he probably should. The stud shortstop is currently posting career-highs with a .386 OBP, .535 SLG and .920 OPS. That's unbelievable production and he's scorching-hot right now. Over his last 21 games, Bogaerts is generating a .613 SLG and 1.021 OPS. He's been even better against lefties so far this season, providing a .980 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. We really love him against Gregory Soto too and we'll go over that more later in the article.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 3B 3200 DK - 3B 3800
Opponent - BAL (Gabriel Ynoa) Park - TOR
FD - 15.21 DK - 11.65
Guerrero has been a pretty big disappointment this season but it's lowered his price to this intriguing number. We're still talking about one of the greatest hitting prospects ever and it's just a matter of time before he approaches a .300 AVG and .900 OPS on a yearly basis. This price and potential paired with this matchup is the main reason we feel comfortable recommending him, with Toronto projected for more than five runs against Ynoa. The Orioles righty has allowed at least six runs in two of his last three games en route to the ugly numbers that we mentioned in the Sogard write-up.
Donaldson proved himself to be one of the most powerful bats in the league in his days with the Blue Jays and recent results would indicate that he's starting to re-capture that power stroke. Over his last 22 games, Donaldson has nine homers and 18 RBI en route to a .370 OBP, .651 SLG and 1.021 OPS. That's monster production from a player in this price range, as he should be $500 more on each site with this sort of power potential. He also gets to face a struggling Marlins pitcher and we'll go over that more in our outfield write-up.
We foreshadowed Gregory Soto's ugly numbers in the Bogaerts write-up and it's easy to see why we adore the Red Sox on this slate. The Tigers lefty is currently pitching to a 8.06 ERA and 1.88 WHIP so far this season and will struggle to get through all of these potent righties. Particularly these two outfielders, with Betts and Martinez ranking Top-10 in total fantasy points dating back to the start of last season. Dating back to 2017, J.D. has a 1.157 OPS against southpaws while Betts has a .965 OPS against lefties in that same span. Betts is rolling right now too, generating a .425 OBP over his last 17 games while collecting 23 runs scored and nine extra-base hits in that span. Don't fade the Red Sox on this slate if you can afford to play them!
We already discussed why we love the Cubs and that means we can't fade Schwarber atop their lineup. Since being moved to the leadoff spot, Schwarber has accrued 14 home runs, 32 runs scored and 31 RBI over his last 48 games. That's all you can ask for from someone in this price range, especially against a guy with a 5.92 ERA and 1.56 WHIP. Schwarber is always better against right-handers too, posting a .493 SLG and .828 OPS against them since 2017. It's easy to play Schwarber now, but remember that people were very down on him after an early season slump. MLB DFS is about patience, and we've been rewarded on Schwarber so far.
Ronald Acuna FD - OF 4000 DK - OF 5400
Opponent - MIA (Trevor Richards) Park - ATL
FD - 14.62 DK - 11.2
Acuna is simply one of the best hitters in the game and it's scary just how hot he's getting. Since May 31, Acuna is hitting .322 while providing a .946 OPS. That doesn't even take into consideration that he has seven steals and more than a run per game in that span, as he's doing some serious damage atop this dangerous lineup. Getting to face Trevor Richards is not something we need to worry about either, with the Marlins pitcher totaling a 6.53 ERA and 1.69 WHIP over his last four starts.