fbpx

Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

09/14/2019
Joel Bartilotta

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Sunday 9/15/19

Now’s your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our MLB and NBA optimizers and our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below. Writing up and stacking Coors Field is way too simple, so we're going to fade that game altogether. You know that all of those guys are good plays, so we'll do our best to offer up premium plays from other games. There are some great options on the board and the Astros happen to be our favorite stack of the day. With that in mind, let's get to Justin Bieber and Miley Cyrus as our two pitchers of the day.

Pitchers

Shane BieberShane Bieber FD - P 11200 DK - SP 11800 Opponent - MIN (Jose Berrios) Park - CLE FD - 39.32 DK - 21.63 Ok, we lied about Justin Bieber but many people may not realize that this Bieber is one of the ten best pitchers in baseball right now. That's crystal clear by his 3.17 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, striking out 241 batters across 194.2 innings of action. Those absurd numbers put him in play against anyone and we're going to take a chance on him against the best offense in baseball. One thing that limits the Twins upside is the fact that they have to hit in Cleveland, which ranks as a pitcher-friendly park according to park factors. Bieber has actually had success against Minnesota all season long too, pitching to a 3.22 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 12.2 K/9 rate in three starts against them this season. Wade MileyWade Miley FD - P 7700 DK - SP 7400 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - KC FD - 31.7 DK - 16.63 If you're looking for someone with low ownership, Miley is your guy. This dude has been absolutely horrendous his last two starts but it's lowered his price tag to these intriguing numbers. Prior to the two worst starts of his season, Miley pitched to a 3.06 ERA and 1.22 WHIP over his first 28 starts. That's the guy we expect to see here, as he gets a stellar matchup against a bad offense. In fact, Kansas City currently ranks 27th in runs scored, 26th in OBP and 27th in OPS. That's why Miley and the Astros enter this matchup as a -230 favorite. We also like Jose Berrios opposing Shane Bieber as well. ad

Catcher/First Base

Freddie FreemanFreddie Freeman FD - 1B 3700 DK - 1B 4900 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - WSH FD - 13.31 DK - 10.09 Many people aren't really considering Freeman as an NL MVP candidate but his numbers would say otherwise. We're talking about a guy with a .302 AVG and .392 OBP while collecting 38 homers, 111 runs scored and 117 RBI. Those are simply absurd statistics and it puts him in play against anyone. The reason he's a great option today is because he gets the platoon advantage against Anibal Sanchez, with the Nationals righty ranking Top-5 in dingers allowed since 2015. That's scary against a lefty bat who's got a .422 OBP and 1.035 OPS against right-handed pitching this season. Paul GoldschmidtPaul Goldschmidt FD - 1B 4200 DK - 1B 4800 Opponent - MIL (Chase Anderson) Park - STL FD - 12.75 DK - 9.6 Don't look now but Goldy is back at it. While he's had a down year by his standards, this is still a hitter with 31 dingers and 89 RBI. What makes him really scary is the fact that he's getting hot and there are not many players who get as scolding as this dude. That's evident by his .541 OBP and 1.362 OPS over his last nine games played. That's got to be horrifying for a struggling pitcher like Chase Anderson, with the Brewers righty pitching to a 4.57 ERA and 1.31 WHIP this season. As always, remember that baseball is a long game. We could get Goldschmidt for 10% less than this a month ago. Patience, people.

Rhys Hoskins is starting to find his swing and is definitely in play against Rick Porcello. If you're in need of a catcher, J.T. Realmuto is a great option in the same matchup.

Second Base

Whit MerrifieldWhit Merrifield FD - 2B 3000 DK - 2B/OF 4400 Opponent - HOU (Wade Miley) Park - KC FD - 10.78 DK - 8.44 If you don't have the stomach to use Miley, then you should be considering Merrifield. The reason for that is because this is the Royals best hitter, averaging about 30 steals over the last three years while flirting with a .300 AVG and .800 OPS. That doesn't even take into consideration his amazing splits, with Merrifield generating a .307 AVG, .511 SLG and .867 OPS against left-handers dating back to 2017. Cesar HernandezCesar Hernandez FD - 2B 2800 DK - 2B 3900 Opponent - BOS (Rick Porcello) Park - PHI FD - 11.54 DK - 8.93 Anytime Rick Porcello takes the hill, you have to consider the offense opposing him. The reason for that is because of his 5.83 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Those are simply some of the worst numbers in the Majors and it becomes very scary in a hitter's haven like Citizen's Bank Park. Hernandez is enticing here because he's actually been batting leadoff against right-handers recently. So far this season, Hernandez has a .347 OBP and .783 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Seeing as how we like the rest of the Astros, we have to love a cheap Aledmys Diaz.

Shortstop

Alex BregmanAlex Bregman FD - SS 4000 DK - 3B/SS 5300 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - KC FD - 14.84 DK - 11.19 If you don't already know, this is the best hitter in baseball right now. Over his last 38 games, Bregman has a .388 AVG, .482 OBP, .727 SLG and 1.209 OPS. That's one of the best 38 games stretches I've ever seen and it wouldn't be surprising to see him carry over this form for the final two weeks. Facing Jakob Junis is certainly not scary either, with the Kansas City righty pitching to a 5.06 ERA and 1.40 WHIP this season. Xander BogaertsXander Bogaerts FD - SS 3700 DK - SS 4900 Opponent - PHI (Jason Vargas) Park - PHI FD - 14.22 DK - 10.86 On the other end of this game, we also love the Red Sox opposing Jason Vargas. This lineup is full of potent righties, which is terrifying news for a southpaw pitcher like this. It's not like Vargas has been anything special either, pitching to a 4.31 ERA and 1.34 WHIP this season. That puts all of these bats in play, as we're looking at a total of 11 in this fixture. Bogaert's numbers speak for themselves, with the shortstop amassing a .304 AVG, .380 OBP, .560 SLG and .940 OPS.

Third Base

Rafael DeversRafael Devers FD - 3B 3600 DK - 3B 5100 Opponent - PHI (Jason Vargas) Park - PHI FD - 13.81 DK - 10.5 It's always strange to use a lefty bat against a lefty pitcher but splits matter a lot less for someone as talented as Devers. That's clear when you see that he has an OPS north of .800 against southpaws since the opening month of the season. It's not quite as good as his righty splits but we simply can't fade Devers if we're going to stack the Sox. He comes into this matchup absolutely rolling right now too, attaining a .309 AVG, .357 OBP, .618 SLG and .975 OPS over his last 60 games in total. Josh DonaldsonJosh Donaldson FD - 3B 3500 DK - 3B 4700 Opponent - WSH (Anibal Sanchez) Park - WSH FD - 12.06 DK - 9.02 Donaldson was a favorite of mine in season-long drafts back in March in the middle rounds and he's proving to be an absolute steal. His 37 homers, .386 OBP, .539 SLG and .925 OPS for the season speaks for itself but he's been even better recently. Over his last 19 games, Donaldson has a .438 OBP and 1.110 OPS. Those stellar averages are very worrisome for a guy like Sanchez, with the Washington right-handed pitching to a 4.71 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over the last four years.

Outfield

J.D. MartinezJ.D. Martinez FD - OF 4300 DK - OF 4600 Opponent - PHI (Jason Vargas) Park - PHI FD - 15.87 DK - 11.91 If we like the rest of the Red Sox, we simply can't fade J.D. This dude has been his usual self and it's amazing just how consistent of a hitter he's become. The thing that really makes him intriguing here is the fact that he faces a weak lefty, with Martinez generating a .397 AVG, .484 OBP, .893 SLG and 1.377 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. He's absolutely raking right now too, posting a .424 OBP, .678 SLG and 1.102 OPS over his last 47 fixtures. George SpringerGeorge Springer FD - OF 4400 DK - OF 5500 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - KC FD - 15.29 DK - 11.56 Michael BrantleyMichael Brantley FD - OF 3800 DK - OF 4300 Opponent - KC (Jake Junis) Park - KC FD - 13.48 DK - 10.38 We foreshadowed this a bit with our Bregman write-up and we absolutely love these Houston bats on this slate. The ugly Junis numbers can be seen in that Bregman write-up, as it has given the Astros an implied run total north of five here. Projecting them for nearly six runs makes Springer a great option atop this lineup, as he's totaling a .296 AVG, .385 OBP, .590 SLG and .975 OPS for the year. He's hot right now too, accruing a .443 OBP and 1.266 OPS over his last 14 games. Brantley is one of the few guys who get the platoon advantage too, as he's got a .330 AVG and .947 OPS against right-handers this year. Anthony SantanderAnthony Santander FD - OF 3200 DK - OF 3800 Opponent - DET (Edwin Jackson) Park - DET FD - 10.94 DK - 8.46 Santander always seems to perform when he finds himself into our articles and it's probably because we always try to find premium spots for him. That's just the case here, as he's opposing arguably the worst pitcher in baseball. In fact, Edwin Jackson is pitching to a 9.76 ERA and 2.03 WHIP this season. That's huge for a solid hitter like Santander, with the outfielder posting a .905 OPS over his last 16 games en route to an .807 OPS for the year.

GRAB A FREE TRIAL OF OUR PROJECTION SYSTEM, AND CHECK OUT DFSR PRO!

Post a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

 

FREE EBOOK

SECRETS TO CRUSHING DAILY FANTASY FOOTBALL!
DON'T SET ANOTHER LINEUP BEFORE YOU READ THIS BOOK.

DOWNLOAD YOUR EBOOK NOW

Our free NBA and MLB eBooks, and picks to your inbox every day!

Your eBooks are on their way!