FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 11/6/19

 

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Point Guard

Russell Westbrook FD - $10300 DK - $9400
Opponent - GS
Proj Pts FD - 53.78 DK - 56.55

It's hard to understand why Westbrook has seen such a stark fall off in price this year. It was easy to see why at the beginning of the year with the unknown of James Harden's usage but Russ has essentially been the same player the first three weeks. That's evident when you see that he's averaging 21.2 points, 9.8 rebounds, 9.2 assists and 1.8 steals per game. This is a guy who was $12,000 last season on both sites with similar averages and we have to like him in this $10,000 price range against a Warriors defense who ranks dead-last in defensive rating. Golden State is also playing a top-half pace to start the season and it's easy to see why this game has such a high total.  

Malcolm Brogdon FD - $9000 DK - $8100
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 46.43 DK - 47.11

Brogdon is the early front-runner for Most Improved Player and it's truly amazing just how well this guy is performing. So far this season, Brodgon is averaging 22.5 points, 5.3 rebounds, 9.7 assists and 1.3 steals per game. That makes him a Top-10 fantasy option and he's still too cheap with those sorts of numbers in his back pocket.  It's really no surprise when you see that this team is missing Victor Oladipo, Myles Turner and Domantas Sabonis too, opening up a ton of usage for Brodgon. The matchup is stupendous too, with Washington ranked 27th in defensive efficiency. All this doesn't even take into consideration that Brogdon collected 31 points, five rebounds and eight assists on Tuesday. 

Ky Bowman has been starting for the Warriors and is easily one of the best value plays on the board. 

 

Shooting Guard

RJ Barrett FD - $7000 DK - $6700
Opponent - DET
Proj Pts FD - 35.17 DK - 36.8

It's hard to overlook anytime a coach is playing a guy 40 minutes a game. That's what we have here with Barrett, playing over 37 minutes per so far this season. That happens to be the fifth-highest total in the NBA and that matched with his 24 percent usage rate makes him hard to fade. That has led to him averaging 34 DK points per game which is a ton of production from a player in the $7,000-range. We're certainly not concerned with the Pistons defense either. 

Jordan Poole FD - $4600 DK - $4500
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 26.19 DK - 27.06

With Golden State in full-on tank mode, they tend to have a lot of value. Poole is just that, as he's been one of the most productive players for them this season. What we really like is that he's played at least 29 minutes in three-straight games while dropping at least 21 DK points in two of those outings. He's certainly not shy either, averaging 13 shots per game in that span as well. That's a huge role from such a cheap player and he should have no problem abusing a Houston defense who's allowed the most fantasy points in the league to opposing shooting guards. 

With Kawhi Leonard out, Lou Williams could start and should be looking at a monster usage rate. 

 

Small Forward

Giannis Antetokounmpo FD - $12000 DK - $11700
Opponent - LAC
Proj Pts FD - 58.07 DK - 59.75

With Kawhi sitting this game out, Antetokounmpo should be left to feast. While we would have been scared of a matchup with Leonard, we now love this matchup against Moe Harkless or whoever they put on him. The numbers from Giannis are simply majestic, averaging 27.7 points, 14 rebounds, 7.4 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.6 blocks per game this season. That makes him the top option on the board and he's going to be tough to fade with that sort of upside. 

Markieff Morris FD - $4300 DK - $3800
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 26.22 DK - 27.04

It's strange that Morris' price hasn't risen more. We're talking about a guy who's regularly playing 30-plus minutes while taking double-digit shots. That's really no surprise when you consider that Blake Griffin, Reggie Jackson and Derrick Rose are all sidelined, opening up a ton of minutes and shots for everyone else. While he only played 14 minutes in a small-ball game on Monday, Morris actually played at least 26 minutes in each of his previous six games while averaging close to 25 DK points per game in that span. That's really all you can ask for from someone this cheap, particularly against a weak Knicks defense. 

 

Power Forward

Lauri Markkanen FD - $7300 DK - $6400
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 35.73 DK - 36.11

It's always smart to use studs against Atlanta and we really want to exploit them with John Collins suspended. That leaves Markkanen with a cupcake matchup and that's big news for a guy who's really improved. So far this season, Markkanen is averaging 16 points and 8.6 rebounds per game en route to 33 DK points per outing. The best part about this play is the aforementioned matchup though, as he's likely to be matched up with an undersized Jabari Parker in what should be an up-tempo game between two young teams. 

Richaun Holmes FD - $6400 DK - $5800
Opponent - TOR
Proj Pts FD - 31.75 DK - 30.51

Holmes has found himself as the starting power forward in the absence of Marvin Bagley III and it's making people realize just how good this guy can be. Over his last four games, Holmes is averaging 15.8 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.0 steals and 1.5 blocks across 29 minutes of action. That's monster production from a player in the $6,000-range and it's clear that these sites are slow to adjust to his increased role. While Toronto does have a good frontcourt, their depth should guarantee Holmes at least 25 minutes of action with very little else on this Kings roster to match up with those bigs. 

 

Center

Andre Drummond FD - $11400 DK - $10800
Opponent - NY
Proj Pts FD - 60.1 DK - 59.93

It's hard to fade Drummond right now the way he's playing. We're talking about a guy who's averaging 21.3 points, 19.4 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.8 steals and 2.5 blocks per game. Those are video game-like numbers and it's amazing just how well he's playing in the absence of Blake Griffin. That's led to him averaging close to 60 DK points per game, one of the highest totals in the NBA. We can't overlook this matchup against the Knicks either, with New York ranked 21st in defensive rating.

Wendell Carter Jr. FD - $7000 DK - $5900
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 37.85 DK - 37.98  

This DraftKings price makes no sense. After struggling the opening week, Carter has actually scored at least 26 DK points in the six games since while averaging 34 fantasy points per game in that span. That equates to 6X value at this price tag and that alone makes him a great option. This happens to be a stellar matchup too, with the Hawks allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. Don't be afraid to stack Carter and Markkanen together to abuse this weak frontcourt in what should be an up-tempo game. 

Montrezl Harrell should get a ton of usage off of the Clippers bench with Kawhi out.

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