Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Saturday, 11/9/19
It's strange to see a five-game Saturday slate but that's just what we have here. We'll write up guys for the all day slate, so keep in mind that the Boston guys aren't playable on the main slate. The guy that everyone is going to key in on is James Harden and rightfully so. He has a stellar matchup against the Bulls and we'll do our best to give you players to build around him.
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You probably already know this but this dude is downright special. For the season, Doncic is averaging 26.7 points, 9.9 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game. He's 20-years-old guys! That's simply amazing from such a young player and it's a scary thought that he's only going to get better. Those statistics put him in play against pretty much everyone but we love this matchup with Memphis. The reason for that is because they rank fifth in pace and 24th in total defense. Playing at that sort of pace is really beneficial for a usage hog like this, with Doncic generating a 31.2 percent usage rate this season.
Using players against the Warriors is always a good idea and we're actually looking at quite the discounted price for CP3 here. The perennial All-Star is usually in the $9,000-range and it's not like he's been terrible this season either. Paul is still averaging 30.4 DK points per game, despite playing fewer than 30 minutes per outing. We expect that 30-point total to be the floor in a matchup like this, with the Warriors ranked 28th in points allowed and dead-last in defensive rating. That doesn't even take into consideration that Paul has his highest usage rate (26 percent) and his highest point average (22.2 points) against the Warriors than any other team.
Also Consider Terry Rozier. While he's been struggling recently, he should lead the Hornets in usage against a bad New Orleans defense.
If we like Paul, we have to love SGA. Acquiring Gilgeous-Alexander was the focal point of the Paul George trade and early results indicate that it was a pretty good move. The young guard actually leads the Thunder with 22 points per game, adding 5.9 rebounds and 3.1 assists as well. We actually anticipate his assists, steals and block averages rising as the year continues too and that's bad news for everyone else. The uptick in production makes him very intriguing against the worst defense in basketball, as he and Paul make for a great two-man stack.
Jaylen Brown FD - $6100 DK - $7000
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 35.5 DK - 35.85
Many people outside of Boston may not realize it, but Brown is in the midst of a breakout season. The thing that people overlook with Brown is the fact that he's only 23-years-old. That means there's still plenty of upside and he's been showing that recently. Over his first four games of the season. Brown is averaging 29.1 DK points per game in about 30 minutes of action. What we really like is that he's taking more than 12 shots per game and that's really all you can ask for from a slasher who's shooting over 50 percent from the field.
Dillon Brooks is having a career year and is worth considering with all the shots he's taking right now.
Brandon Ingram FD - $8800 DK - $8000
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 47.94 DK - 49.14
Talk about breakouts. Ingram might be the most improved player in the NBA this season and it's truly magical just how well this guy is playing for his new team. That's evident when you see that he's averaging 25.9 points, 7.1 rebounds, 4.3 assists and 1.0 blocks per game. That equates to 45 DK points per game, which means he should be more expensive than he is. Getting to face Charlotte is simply a bonus for such a hot player, with the Hornets ranked 25th in defensive efficiency
Gordon Hayward FD - $7500 DK - $8800
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 38.01 DK - 39.37
Hayward was a major target of mine in season-long leagues with Kyrie Irving out of the picture and that move has appeared to opened up things for the former All-Star. Not only is Hayward starting, he's now averaging 20.3 points, 7.9 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. That's the Hayward that we used to love in Utah and it's clear that he's fully healthy and one of the focal points of this offense. That awesome form is very enticing in a matchup like this too, with San Antonio allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing SFs this season.
Daniel Theis FD - $4800 DK - $6600
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 26.15 DK - 24.68
Jayson Tatum FD - $8000 DK - $9400
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 39.94 DK - 40.6
With Enes Kanter out of the picture, this Celtics frontcourt has plenty of production available for the picking. The guy we really love is Tatum because he's in the midst of a breakout season. In fact, JT is averaging 21.6 points, 7.7 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1.6 steals per game. That's led to a career-high 39 DK points per game, as he's actually scored at least 33 DraftKings points in all seven games this season. That floor is all you can ask for and it's no surprise that he's so expensive now. Theis hasn't been bad either and he's actually been starting in the absence of Kanter. Since sitting on October 26, Theis has at least 20 DK points in all four games since while averaging 26 fantasy points per game.
P.J. Tucker FD - $5500 DK - $5800
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 24.65 DK - 25.11
Tucker is an absolute minutes hound and that alone makes him a great fantasy option. Dating back to last season, P.J. is averaging over 35 minutes per game. There aren't many players below $6,000 who play that much and it's led to some great fantasy production this season too. In fact, Tucker is averaging 27.5 DK points per game which alone is 5X value at this price. The best part about this play is the matchup though, with the Bulls allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing power forwards.
Clint Capela FD - $8900 DK - $7400
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 40.37 DK - 39.99
We've been saving the Rockets and it's truly amazing just how cheap Capela is on DraftKings. We're talking about a guy who's averaging more than 35 fantasy points per game dating back to last season and a 57-point gem in his last game shows just how special he can be. What really makes Capela a great pick today is this matchup, with Chicago allowing the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season. The 230-point total is big news too and that should open up the door for a ton of rebounds and hustle statistics for an athlete like Capela.
Dwight Powell FD - $5100 DK - $4800
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 25.13 DK - 25.5
Powell missed the first two weeks because of an injury but 34 minutes in the last game would tell us that he's fully ready to go. He provided 27 DK points in those 34 minutes and that's pretty much the player we've become accustomed to. That's huge upside from a player in the $5,000-range and that easily makes him one of the best values on the board. Getting to face Memphis is the icing on the cake, with the Grizzlies ranked 25th in points allowed while playing at the fifth-fastest pace in the NBA. If Powell plays 30-plus minutes in a high-paced game like this, he's our best bet to reach 5X value on DK.
Cody Zeller has been a pleasant surprise for the Hornets this season and gets a superb matchup against a terrible Pelicans defense.