Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Saturday, 11/23/19
This is the sort of slate that you're going to need to monitor lineups and injury reports. The reason for that is because we have so many teams playing the second half of a back-to-back set. In fact, we have the Hawks, Hornets, Bulls, Cavaliers, Pistons, Lakers, Heat, Spurs and Jazz all playing in the back end of a B2B. We also have the Pelicans, Knicks and Suns playing the front-end of a B2B and that may cause chaos in this slate.
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Young was a guy that I was skeptical about coming into the league but this dude is a straight baller. Averaging 48 DK points per game tells you everything you need to know, collecting 26.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, 8.6 assists and 1.7 steals per game. That makes it pretty surprising that he remains below $10,000 on both sites, as it's hard to argue with his sky-high usage. Not only does he lead Atlanta with 20 shots a game, Young is also one of the league leaders with a 34 percent usage rate. He was chalk on Friday night and came up short because of the blowout. I think we can still go back for value on Saturday.
Excuse my language but what the hell is this FanDuel price? He was actually a little cheaper on Monday and it blows my mind that they only got it up to $4,000. In that victory over the Nets, Holiday was about 50 percent owned and provided 24 points, six rebounds and 13 assists in the best game of his career. It's really no surprise when you see his role, with Holiday starting for Malcolm Brogdon. He's also seeing a major boost in usage with Victor Oladipo and Jeremy Lamb injured too and all of that makes this price tag truly shocking.
Also consider Shaquille Harrison. The volatile guard just had a monster game starting for Chandler Hutchinson a few days ago and would definitely be in consideration if he starts again.
FVV has been an absolute stud filling in for Kyle Lowry and it appears that his impressive Finals run last season was no fluke. Not only does he have at least 34 DK points in six-straight games, VanVleet is also averaging 42.4 fantasy points per game in that span. That's monstrous from a player in the $7,500 price range and it makes it less surprising when you see that he's playing close to 40 minutes a game since Lowry went down. Facing Atlanta is nice too, with the Hawks sitting 27th in defensive efficiency.
Langston Galloway FD - $4200 DK - $4800
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 25.01 DK - 25.89
Galloway has found himself in quite the role recently and it's becoming apparent that the Pistons want him playing a ton. Logging at least 38 minutes in back-to-back games tells a lot of the story, with Galloway averaging 25 DraftKings points per game over his last six fixtures. That's all you can ask for from a player barely cracking $4,000 and it's hard to understand why these DFS sites are so slow to react to his production. While Milwaukee has a good defense, playing at the fastest pace in the league makes them an intriguing matchup for anyone. He was one of the highest-owned plays on the slate Friday and came up below his points-per-dollar value, but is worth the price on Saturday, especially on FanDuel.
Also Consider DeAndre' Bembry and DeMar DeRozan. Bembry started for Cam Reddish on Friday and DeRozan is averaging nearly 40 fantasy points per game for the last two weeks.
LeBron James FD - $11300 DK - $11100
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 60.16 DK - 63.31
This guy could be in this article every day for the past 15 years and we'd be doing pretty well. The simple fact is, LeBron is playing as good as ever in his 18th season. In fact, James is averaging 25 points, 7.9 rebounds, 11.1 assists and 1.3 steals per game. That's the guy we've seen throughout his career and it's amazing to see him play at such an elite level while the rest of his draft class is struggling to remain relevant. Getting to face Memphis isn't too shabby either, with the Grizzlies playing at the seventh-fastest pace in the league while sitting 25th in defensive efficiency.
Justin Holiday FD - $3800 DK - $5000
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 25.72 DK - 25.52
This might be the first time that we've had brothers in the same article and it's a testament to mama Holiday for raising so many athletes. What's funny is that we don't even have the best brother in this article, as Jrue Holiday is the star for the Pelicans. That's a story for another day though because we love Justin on this slate. What's made him valuable are all of the injuries in Indiana, with the Pacers playing without Oladipo, Lamb and Brogdon. That has garnered Holiday two starts in a row, averaging 24 DK points across 35 minutes of action in his last three games. Anyone playing 35 minutes at $3,800 is impossible to avoid, particularly with all of these injuries.
Also Consider Wes Iwundu. He's already been announced as the starter for Aaron Gordon, making him a good bet to play at least 25 minutes at a near-minimum price tag.
Domantas Sabonis FD - $8700 DK - $8100
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 43.58 DK - 46.18
This is going to be designated as the Pacers article. Anytime a team is playing without three of its best offensive players, that's a recipe for DFS success. That's just what we have here, as Sabonis has been feasting with Oladipo, Brogdon and Lamb out. Since struggling in the second game of the season, Sabonis is averaging 43.5 DraftKings points over his last 10 fixtures. That's got to be terrifying for an Orlando frontcourt who's playing without Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic, as Sabonis should continue his feasting ways.
Frank Kaminsky FD - $4000 DK - $6400
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 24.31 DK - 25.3
This is yet another recommendation where we love a guy on FanDuel. The $6,400 price tag on DK is a bit absurd but Kaminsky has been playing at that sort of level. That's why the FanDuel price is truly mind-boggling and why we'll have a ton of exposure on Kaminsky at FD. Over his last five games, Frank the Tank is averaging 24 FanDuel points across 23.2 minutes a game. That alone is 6X value at a low minutes total and he'd become an absolute steal if he plays 30 minutes against a subpar T'Wolves defense.
Also Consider Al Horford and Al-Farouq Aminu. We're sticking Horford in here in case Joel Embiid doesn't play in the second half of a back-to-back set. Aminu is an easy per-dollar pick because he should be guaranteed to play at least 25-30 minutes with Gordon and Vucevic both out.
Andre Drummond FD - $9700 DK - $8300
Opponent - MIL
Proj Pts FD - 51.12 DK - 51.4
Drummond's price has been dropping since Blake Griffin came back but it doesn't really make sense when you look at his production. We're talking about a guy who's averaging 51 DK points per game for the season, which alone is 6X value at this price tag. It's hard to find a player averaging 6X value at this sort of price and we have to love that he's facing the fastest-paced team in the NBA. That should guarantee plenty of rebounds for a guy who's averaging over 17 boards per game.
Mohamed Bamba FD - $3500 DK - $4000
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 18.19 DK - 17.51
With Gordon and Vucevic out, Bamba should find himself into the rotation. While we believe that he should be starting, it sounds like he'll play a reserve role off the bench. That will keep his ownership down though and we still expect him to provide nice value. The reason for that is because Bamba is a fantasy point-per minute producer, which means we only need 20 minutes to reach 6X value. That's even more enticing against a Pacers team that allows the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers this season.
Also consider Myles Turner. Much like Sabonis, he too benefits from facing this undersized Orlando frontcourt.