Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
Daily Fantasy PGA Picks and Betting Guide for DraftKings & FanDuel – the Memorial
Chris will be bringing you weekly PGA picks, analysis, and breakdowns to help you cash on DraftKings and FanDuel. As every week in DFS PGA changes with the course setup, field of players and weather, Chris will be providing a range of different picks for cash games as well as upside plays for tournaments. Want more? He also provides a cheatsheet with stats, course history, current form, player write-ups for cash and GPP, a customizable model, and much more.
Premium DFSR members get access to my expert sheets as a part of their membership. That's a $10 value every single month, just for signing up for a DFSR membership! Want my sheets on their own? Head on over to my Patreon Page
Muirfield Village GC
Par 72 - 7,456 Yards
**Click the image above to see a hole by hole breakdown from PGATour.com**
Previous Six Winners
- 2020 Workday - Collin Morikawa(-19)
- 2019 Memorial - Patrick Cantlay(-19)
- 2018 Memorial - Bryson DeChambeau(-15)
- 2017 Memorial - Jason Dufner(-13)
- 2016 Memorial - William McGirt(-15)
- 2015 Memorial - David Lingmerth(-15)
Top Stats in the Model
- Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
- Emphasis on Strokes Gained: Approach
- Par 4 Scoring
- Par 5 BoB%
- Current Form(since the return)
Welcome back golf fans. For the first time since 1957, a PGA Tour event will be hosted on the same course on back to back weeks, this time on Jack Nicklaus's Muirfield Village GC in Dublin, Ohio.
Last week it was the Workday Charity Open which was a fill-in event for the canceled John Deere Classic. It was Collin Morikawa capturing his second career win beating out Justin Thomas over three playoff holes. It was a ball-strikers event to win as Morikawa(win), Thomas(2nd), and Hovland(3rd) finished 2nd, 3rd, and 4th over the four days and seven of the Top 11 in ball striking picked up a Top 10 finish.
This week is the regularly scheduled Memorial tournament which has been played at Muirfield Village since 1976. This is also the strongest field we have seen since the return of golf with nine of the Top 10(Adam Scott still not returning) and 43 of the Top 50 golfers in the World teeing it up at Jack's place.
For those who played last week, it will be playing a bit different as the grounds crew added tee boxes prior to last week to help in giving the two events some uniqueness. The greens will also play different as they were slowed down(11.5-12 on stimp) last week and back up to their normal Memorial speeds(13-14). This also allowed for almost double the pin locations as to avoid repeat locations during the event.
From a stats and fantasy perspective, I am once again looking for players who have an overall plus tee to green game with tons of emphasis on approach shots. While the course should play a bit tougher(longer rough, faster greens) I still see the winning score coming in the -15 to -20 range so Birdies/Eagles will be at a premium. With all that said, let's get into my core plays in each price range.
or Check out the latest Podcast discussing the Memorial.
Top Tier Targets
The top tier turned out pretty good for me last week with Hovland(3rd) and Cantlay(T7) both grabbing Top 10 finishes and while Rose was a dud in my also consider section, JT popped off for a runner-up after a playoff loss to Morikawa. Cantlay ended the week ranked 8th in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green(11th OTT, 22nd APP) and finished the week with 17 birdies(T36) and two eagles(T1). The top tier is even more loaded this week which has again pushed Cantlay's price below $10K on DraftKings which puts me right back on him as a core play in all formats.
I could have just as easy copy and pasted Hovland into this spot but I wanted to shake things up this week. I will have exposure to both this week in that low to mid $9K range on DraftKings but feel Xander has a bit more upside with a price that has dropped on both sites. Schauffele has also been one of the most consistent players on Tour making 11 of 12 cuts(91.7%) this season with four Top 10's and 10 Top 25 finishes. While he has just one Top 10 in four events back, he is 6th in this field in average DraftKings scoring showing you just how high the ceiling is, as well. Fire up X in all formats this week.
Other Top Tier Thoughts: Hard not to like any of the guys in the $10K+ range on DK as three of them(Bryson, DJ, Morikawa) have wins since the return. With a balanced approach in cash games, I will be using this tier for GPP builds only with final exposures decided after breaking down ownership projections on Wednesday night. Hit me up in the chatroom or refer to the sheet closer to lock.
Mid Tier Targets
World Golf Ranking (#44)
Vegas Odds (71/1)
I am sure he will be a part of the chalk train this week and makes sense to fade or at least be underweight in GPP but for cash games, he will be hard to avoid checking almost every single box. He is coming off back to back Top 10's at the Workday Charity Open and Travelers Championship and finding form at the right time returning to a course he has had a ton of success playing. Looking at just the Memorial and excluding last weeks T7, Streelman has Top 20 finishes(T4, T13, T8, T18) in four of his last five trips. At just $7,600, he is a top projected PTS/$ play in cash games.
World Golf Ranking (#21)
Vegas Odds (51/1)
He was consistent before the break(made 9 of 11 cuts with three Top 10's) and that carried over as he has played three events since the return, all inside the Top 15 while averaging over 100 DK points per event. In that time, he is ranked(in this field) 3rd in SG: Tee to Green leading the field in SG: Approach(1.7 per round) and is 15th and 19th in Par 4 and 5 scoring. My hope is that the ownership is maybe a bit lower than usual due to some average-at-best course history(2018-T65, 2017-T57) but I am not at all worried either way the ownership falls, he will be a part of my core in all formats this week.
Also Consider: Ian Poulter who has made all nine cuts this season and 22 of 25 going back to the start of last season. He has Top 15 finishes in two of three events since the return and ranks 26th and 21st in Par 4 and 5 scoring
World Golf Ranking (#81)
Vegas Odds (126/1)
Consistency is always the theme of my core and Glover fits the bill this week. He took last week off after playing in each of the first four events, finishing Top 25 in each ranks 4th in SG: Ball Striking, 3rd in SG: Approach, and 2nd in Birdie or Better % in that time. His results here at Muirfield Village don't jump off the page but he has made seven of his last eight cuts including six straight. At these prices, Glover makes a solid value play in all formats.
World Golf Ranking (#142)
Vegas Odds (226/1)
I won't be going down into this range for cash this week with a very easy path to a balanced lineup but Merritt fits the mold if you are looking to go more stars and scrubs. He has been busy since the return playing every event and after missing the cut in the first two, has made three straight including a T22 at Muirfield last week. It appears he has carried that confidence over from his T17 finish at the Memorial last year and while I don' necessarily expect another Top 25, we have seen that ceiling multiple times at this course and others.
- Patrick Cantlay: (AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)