Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday, 8/3/20
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The Spurs point guards each had around 50% ownership on Sunday, and had these prices paid through three quarters. It won't be quite as easy as it came against Memphis, but the opportunity should be there in spades given San Antonio's banged up back court.
With Jamal Murray currently listed as "very questionable" for this game, it's important to highlight Morris as potentially one of the best FanDuel plays on the day. Morris didn't wow the crowdless arena against the Heat, but he still paid his price regardless. You'd almost have to think that game represented his floor, with plenty of starters losing minutes as the game got out of hand. The DraftKings price makes it pretty close over there, but I'm happy to double down on FanDuel.
Also considered: De'Aaron Fox.
Fred Vanvleet FD - $6600 DK - $
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 35.25 DK - 35.8
Nobody gave the Raptors the memo that these bubble games aren't super meaningful for them, as they ran VanVleet out there for 40 minutes in regulation against the Lakers on Saturday. He put together a balanced 13/5/11 line en route to 38.4 FanDuel pointsin a brutal match-up with the Lakers, and while the Heat aren't a great match-up (bottom 5 pace, top 12 defensive efficiency) they can't be worse than the Lakers. This game rates to be a highly contested match-up of two of the East's best teams, and VanVleet is a heavy favorite to get huge run again, giving him one of the highest floors at the position.
Victor Oladipo FD - $5500 DK - $5900
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 38.44 DK - 40.27
Oladipo was supposed to be limited to 28 minutes going into Saturday's game, but wound up playing 32 in a nail biter against the 76ers. He paid these prices, netting 26.4 FanDuel points, in spite of going up against Philly's excellent defense. Today he'll go up against the worst defense in the bubble in the Washington Wizards, who also happen to be playing on the second half of a back to back. It sure looks like the Pacers are going to be giving him 30+ minutes going forward, and cashing in at these prices is a must in this match-up.
Also considered: Dillon Brooks, Lonnie Walker.
T.J. Warren FD - $6700 DK - $7400
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 33.2 DK - 33.12
Am I listing Warren here just to flex the fact that we had him in our optimal lineups at 15% ownership when he scored a career high 53 points? Maybe. But seriously, Warren's usage was insane in the Philly game, and I don't see any reason why that won't continue in a much better match-up with this Washington G-League team. Brogdon is "uncertain" for this one, and if he sits Warren looks like an even sweeter option.
Tobias Harris FD - $6800 DK - $8600
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 36.19 DK - 37.15
My top priority for cash games is playing guys on teams that are truly trying to win their games, and Philly passes that test for me. Harris played a full 36 minute rotation against the Pacers, and put together 30 points with 8 rebounds in the process. This should be a similar match-up with the Spurs, who are without LaMarcus Aldridge and not really playing for any serious stakes. It doesn't hurt that the Spurs are on the second half of a back to back either. Love Tobias in any format.
Also considered: OG Anunoby. Anunoby was flat out great against the Lakers, making 8 of the 9 shots he attempted while playing excellent defense as well. He chipped in 2 steals and 4 rebounds as well. Like the other Raptors he's just too cheap based on his current opportunity.
Also considered: Justin Holiday and Jae Crowder as cheap options that allow you to pay up elsewhere.
Jaren Jackson Jr. FD - $6400 DK - $6200
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 38.79 DK - 38.82
Power forward gets pretty tricky today, but I think Jackson Jr. is a great place to start. JJJ played 38 regulation minutes against the Trail Blazers and put up a great (if scoring heavy) fantasy total, and followed that up with a solid defensively supported total against the Spurs. The Pelicans are one of the best fantasy match-ups left in the bubble, pairing the league's 19th best defensive efficiency with the 2nd fastest pace. Love JJJ in any format.
Anthony Davis FD - $9600 DK - $9800
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 54.6 DK - 54.22
Given the value at other positions, I can see us paying up for the Brow today. The expensive options are very limited today, and Davis happens to be at one of his cheapest price tags in recent memory. There was reason to proceed cautiously going into the Toronto game since nobody knew what Davis' workload would look like, but after watching him play 35 minutes my worries are gone. It's not a good match-up with Utah, but it's really hard to find a player of this caliber at a 10% discount.
Keep an eye on the Denver Nuggets. If Michael Porter Jr. gets the start again I expect him to be much better than he was against the Heat, when everything seemed to be going against him.
Thomas Bryant FD - $6300 DK - $6300
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 33.29 DK - 33.25
50% of the field found room for Bryant in their cash game lineups on Sunday, and that 50% was rewarded with 58.1 FanDuel points against the hapless Nets. It's a decidedly more difficult match-up with the Pacers, but you obviously don't need 58 fantasy points to justify these prices. The decimated Wizards are looking for any port in a storm right now, and with 32 shot attempts through the first two bubble games it looks like Bryant has found a secure role. Turner shouldn't run him off the floor, either, and Bryant might have as much floor as he does ceiling.
Jonas Valanciunas FD - $7000 DK - $7900
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 39.58 DK - 41.34
Valanciunas was an abomination against the Trail Blazers, but promptly went out and double doubled against the Spurs, leading me to believe that he's probably just fine. It's a great match-up with the Pelicans here, with the Pels allowing the 10th most fantasy points per game to opposing centers this season. I think I prefer Bryant on DraftKings, but on FanDuel it's much closer with the more proven Valanciunas going for just $700 more.