Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Joel Bartilotta

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Shane BieberShane Bieber FD - P 11800 DK - SP 11000
Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CLE
FD - 50.12 DK - 27.98

Bieber is the frontrunner for AL Cy Young and there's even some discussion that he's in the running for MVP as well. Anytime a pitcher is in consideration for MVP, you know he's beasting. So far this season, Bieber has a 1.20 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 14.4 K/9 rate. That makes him the best pitcher in fantasy right now and it looks even better when you consider this matchup. The Brewers currently rank 26th in runs scored and 29th in K rate. That has Bieber and the Indians entering this matchup as a -250 favorite.

Rich HillRich Hill FD - P 6600 DK - SP 7000
Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - MIN
FD - 33.34 DK - 17.79

This might be a risky play with the way Hill is pitching this season but it could also be the best-per dollar play out there. The biggest reason we like him is the matchup, facing a Detroit team who ranks 23rd in OBP, 25th in runs scored and dead-last in K rate. The Motor City Kitties had even crappier numbers last season and it's simply one of the worst lineups in baseball. Hill has been one of the best pitchers over the last five years too, pitching to a 2.95 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 11.4 K.9 rate since 2015. Not to mention, Hill is a -190 favorite in this game.


Catcher/First Base

Matt OlsonMatt Olson FD - 1B 3000 DK - 1B 4400
Opponent - SD (Garrett Richards) Park - OAK
FD - 12.03 DK - 8.95

Olson has been struggling a bit but it's lowered his price way too much. While he is hitting just .168, 10 homers show why he's so dangerous. Since 2017, Olson's got a .510 SLG and .850 OPS, doing the majority of that damage against right-handed pitching. In fact, Olson is flirting with a .900 OPS against righties in that same span and we love that he got three hits on Saturday. Not to mention, Garrett Richards has a 9.95 ERA and 2.21 WHIP over his last three starts.

Eric ThamesEric Thames FD - 1B 2500 DK - 1B 3400
Opponent - ATL (Josh Tomlin) Park - ATL
FD - 9.88 DK - 7.37

Thames is going to remain in these articles anytime he faces righty. The main reason for that is because he remains way too cheap. I'd argue that he should be $1,000 more on each site when looking at his splits. Since 2017, Thames has a .500 SLG and .835 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That's a godsend at a price like this and we're certainly not worried about him facing Josh Tomlin's 4.86 career ERA.

Second Base

Mike BrosseauMike Brosseau FD - 2B 2600 DK - 1B/2B 4700
Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - TB
FD - 9.19 DK - 7.04

While this DraftKings price is certainly appropriate, this FanDuel price is not. The simple fact is, this guy is a great hitter. That's clear when you see that he's hitting .327 en route to a .692 SLG and 1.071 OPS. He's actually always been good against lefties, amassing a .320 AVG, .612 SLG and .960 OPS against them for his career. That's bad news for a rookie with a 1.44 WHIP.

Ketel MarteKetel Marte FD - 2B 2700 DK - 2B 4400
Opponent - SF (Johnny Cueto) Park - SF
FD - 11.87 DK - 9.12

Marte's price on FanDuel makes no sense. This guy has been a stud the last two seasons, generating a .326 AVG, .381 OBP, .561 SLG and .942 OPS in that span. Those are amazing numbers from someone priced so affordably and he comes into this matchup extremely hot. Over his last six games, Marte has a .423 OBP, .609 SLG and 1.032 OPS. All of that is bad news for Johnny Cueto, who's got a 4.33 ERA and 1.33 WHIP since 2017.


Trea TurnerTrea Turner FD - SS 4200 DK - SS 5700
Opponent - ATL (Josh Tomlin) Park - ATL
FD - 12.93 DK - 9.99

Turner has always been one of the best fantasy options out there and the run he's on right now is absolutely absurd. Turner is hitting .438 over his last 25 games played, en route to a .781 SLG and 1.263 OPS. That's pretty ridiculous when you consider that he's one of the best base-stealers around, making him the most dangerous players in DFS right now. We certainly love that form against a guy like Tomlin too, with his ugly numbers explained in the Thames write-up.

Corey SeagerCorey Seager FD - SS 3800 DK - SS 5200
Opponent - COL (Ryan Castellani) Park - LAD
FD - 14.09 DK - 10.67

The Dodgers have been the best team in baseball this season and one major reason why is the breakout campaign from Corey Seager. The once top prospect in this organization has finally lived up to his billing, totaling a .328 AVG, .597 SLG and .969 OPS this season. That's pretty much on par with his career splits against righties are, amassing a .306 AVG, .336 OBP, .546 SLG and .912 OPS against them since 2017. We love that he gets to face Ryan Castellani too, who had a 9.00 ERA and 2.04 WHIP at the minors last season.

Third Base

Anthony RendonAnthony Rendon FD - 3B 3700 DK - 3B 4800
Opponent - HOU (Framber Valdez) Park - LAA
FD - 12.34 DK - 9.26

Rendon is probably not in my articles enough but we love anytime he faces a lefty. Since 2017, Rendon has provided a .402 OBP, .576 SLG and .978 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. Those amazing splits are always nice, especially when we're dealing with an elite hitter who's rolling right now. Over his last 22 games played, Rendon is hitting .378 while generating a .469 OBP, .646 SLG and 1.115 OPS. Valdez has been a solid pitcher but a 4.19 career FIP tells us that he's due for some negative regression.

Josh DonaldsonJosh Donaldson FD - 3B 2800 DK - 3B 3900
Opponent - DET (Casey Mize) Park - MIN
FD - 0.16 DK - 0.12

Donaldson just came off the IL a couple of days ago and it's kept his price way too low. We're talking about a guy who's never posted an OPS lower than .798 since 2013, accruing a .376 OBP in that span as well. That's an awesome combination of power and plate vision, making him one of the best values below $4K on DK and below $3K on FD. We're not concerned about him facing Casey Mize either, with the rookie pitching to a 6.75 ERA and 1.69 WHIP so far this season.


Franmil ReyesFranmil Reyes FD - OF 3100 DK - OF 4000
Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CLE
FD - 11.05 DK - 8.28

Jordan LuplowJordan Luplow FD - OF 2200 DK - OF 2600
Opponent - MIL (Brett Anderson) Park - CLE
FD - 10.1 DK - 7.59

These righty bats are probably the best two-man stack of the day. I would say that no matter the price but these price tags are completely silly. The reason we say that is because they get to face lefty Brett Anderson, who's got a career 14 percent K rate.

Those low K numbers are bad news against these bats, with Reyes being one of the hottest hitters in baseball. In fact, the Franimal has a .386 AVG, .452 OBP, .693 SLG and 1.145 OPS over his last 27 games played. He's even better against lefties but no one's splits are as amazing as Luplow's. Since 2017, JL has a .395 OBP, .627 SLG and 1.022 OPS against southpaws.

Aaron HicksAaron Hicks FD - OF 2800 DK - OF 3600
Opponent - BAL (Asher Wojciechowski) Park - BAL
FD - 13.45 DK - 10.03

It's strange to see the leadoff hitter for the Yankees priced so cheaply but here we are. The reason Hicks is so cheap is because he's barely cracking the Mendoza Line but this is a dude who's been raking the last few years. Since 2018, Hicks has a .367 OBP and .825 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor. That's awesome against a pitcher like Woj, who owns a 5.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP for his career.

Hunter RenfroeHunter Renfroe FD - OF 2600 DK - OF 3200
Opponent - MIA (Trevor Rogers) Park - TB
FD - 11.63 DK - 8.73

Splits are always focal points in these articles and getting Renfroe against a lefty is an emphasis on that focus. Not only is he one of the best power bats in the game, Renfroe also has a .503 SLG against southpaws since 2018. That's a shocking number from a guy who's deep down in the pricing algorithm and it's why the Rays always bat him in the heart of their order. It's not like Rogers is a scary pitcher either, never pitching above Double-A before this season while owning a 1.44 WHIP so far this year.





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