Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Chris Durell

DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 10/14/20

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Playoff baseball continues on Wednesday so let's take a look at a pitcher and a few bats in each game to help us build lineups for FanDuel and DraftKings.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves

Julio UríasJulio Urías FD - P 8600 DK - SP 7800
Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATL
FD - 26.78 DK - 13.97

In the first game of the day, the Dodgers will look get back into the series after falling to the Braves in each of the first two games. They will turn to Julio Urias who has yet to give up a run and has only given up four hits across eight postseason innings while striking out 11 of 30 batters faced(37%). He will be limited to 75-90 pitches tonight but I am not too worried about that with a lack of options and will have exposure to Urias in all formats.

Corey SeagerCorey Seager FD - SS 3900 DK - SS 5200
Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATL
FD - 12.26 DK - 9.28
Max MuncyMax Muncy FD - 1B 3500 DK - 1B 5000
Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATL
FD - 12.99 DK - 9.61
Cody BellingerCody Bellinger FD - OF 4000 DK - OF 4900
Opponent - ATL (Kyle Wright) Park - ATL
FD - 14.02 DK - 10.46

Picking and choosing bats on these small two-game playoff slates is a tough proposition so you have to dig a little deeper to split hairs. While Kyle Wright was excellent in his first playoff start, these are not the over-achieving Marlins but rather the Dodgers who led the league in both wRC+(122) home run(118) on the season. I will be first turning to the lefties in the lineup as Wright gave up a .288 average and .393 wOBA in the split during the regular season.

Corey Seager is at the top of my list hitting in the two-hole and now has hits in four straight with two doubles, a home run, and 6 RBI. Max Muncy has been a bit more hit and miss but hits cleanup and comes with a ton of power. Cody Bellinger would be at the top of the list if not for hitting down in the order but the good news is that he has been consistent in these playoffs with hits in six of seven games.

Marcell OzunaMarcell Ozuna FD - OF 4100 DK - OF 4200
Opponent - LAD (Julio Urías) Park - ATL
FD - 11.62 DK - 8.79
Austin RileyAustin Riley FD - 3B 2700 DK - 3B 3700
Opponent - LAD (Julio Urías) Park - ATL
FD - 9.52 DK - 7.16

On the Braves side, the first name that stands out today is Marcell Ozuna who not only has multi-hit games in three of his last five but also crushed lefties this season to the tune of a .527 wOBA and 234 wRC+ across 54 at-bats. For value, you could also turn to Austin Riley who was league average against lefties in terms of wRC+(99) but did record a .244 ISO in the split and gives us some cheap upside.


Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros

Tyler GlasnowTyler Glasnow FD - P 8800 DK - SP 9100
Opponent - HOU (Zack Greinke) Park - HOU
FD - 35.64 DK - 19.53

He is coming off a short outing against the Yankees in game 5 of the Division Series so should be fresh and ready for a full workload in game four tonight. He has been good(not great) in the playoffs posting a 4.05 ERA but has picked up two wins and what stands out the most is the 36.4% K rate. He now faces an Astros team who breezed through Oakland pitching averaging 8.3 runs per game but have gone cold scoring just three over the first two games and are currently up 1-0 in game three. All things considered, Glasnow is my favorite pitcher on the slate.

Randy ArozarenaRandy Arozarena FD - OF 3500 DK - OF 4500
Opponent - HOU (Zack Greinke) Park - HOU
FD - 10.63 DK - 8.15
Brandon LoweBrandon Lowe FD - 2B 3300 DK - 2B 4100
Opponent - HOU (Zack Greinke) Park - HOU
FD - 10.63 DK - 8.04

We can't talk Rays bats without starting with Randy Arozarena who burst onto the scene in late August adn tallied seven home runs and a 176 wRC+ over the final 23 games of the regular season. That carried over into the playoffs as he leads the team with 18 hits, four home runs, and 10 runs scored. While he has been out of this world against lefties, he has still been well above average vs. righties as well and more good news as Greinke has once again posted reverse splits giving up a .305 average and .354 wOBA to righties this season.

The bad news for Brandon Lowe is that he has struggled in the playoffs with just three hits. The good news is that the price is way down from what we saw in the regular season when he posted a .385 wOBA, 150 wRC+ with 14 home runs and 36 RBI. He benefits from hitting in the two-hole and if he can put up a performance that is anything close to his regular-season form, he can easily crush value from a PTS/$ perspective.

Carlos CorreaCarlos Correa FD - SS 3600 DK - SS 4200
Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - HOU
FD - 9.85 DK - 7.37
Michael BrantleyMichael Brantley FD - OF 3100 DK - OF 3300
Opponent - TB (Tyler Glasnow) Park - HOU
FD - 9.56 DK - 7.31

This is my least favorite matchup of the four teams but the Astros have their backs against the wall and are most likely going to put up a fight. If building an Astros stack, I prefer the middle to bottom of the order to get some salary relief as both the Dodgers and Braves are very expensive. Carlos Correa is at the top of the list as he has been one of the offensive leaders in these playoffs with hits in five of seven games(12 total) with five home runs and 13 RBI. You can also stack any combo of the outfielders but again, I prefer the discount and will turn to Michael Brantley first, especially on DraftKings where he is just $3,100.


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