Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Wednesday 4/7/20
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Happy Hump Day baseball fans! We have a full day of action with all 30 teams in action but will be concentrating on the main slate which gets going at 1:10 pm ET today. Let's get started.
It's another great slate if you are into ace pitching and for me, it is clear who is #1 for fantasy today. He got a tough draw having to start the season on the road in Coors Field but was dominant early with four 3-up/3-down innings through six and the other two he only faced four batters. The Rockies got to him in the 7th but he ended up striking out 10 with a 15.6% swing strike rate and hitters swung at 34% of pitches outside the zone. He now gets a plus matchup vs. the A's who have scored just 12 runs in five games with an ugly .251 team wOBA. Lock Bauer into your SP1 spot and move on!
This one has to be a mistake in pricing and I am not just saying that as a Jays fan. He came over to the Jays before the 2020 season and was fantastic posting the 8th best ERA(2.69) among qualified pitchers a season removed from leading the entire majors in ERA(2.32) in his last season with the Dodgers. he isn't going to blow you away with power or provide slate-breaking upside but is extremely efficient and faces a Texas team who may be Top 10 in hitting overall to this point but continue to struggle vs. left-handed pitching and Ryu is a great one. He is a great play in all formats.
Hard not to lead off with Hoskins at first, at least on Draftkings where he is under $5K. Hoskins has been red-hot to start the year as he entered Tuesday with a four-game hit streak including three doubles and while he got the night off, entered as a pinch hitter and extended that hit streak to five games while also picking up an RBI. he now gets to tee off against a lefty and has posted an insane .427 wOBA, 166 wRC+, and 49% hard contact in the split since th start of the 2019 season. He is in play in all formats and my top play at the position on both sites.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. FD - 1B 3300 DK - 1B/3B 5000
Opponent - TEX (Kyle Gibson) Park - TEX
FD - 11.92 DK - 9.04
As I write this, the Jays bats are letting me down but here I am going right back to the well. I mean, it makes sense as the Jays lead all teams in implied runs(4.9) and face Kyle Gibson who got lit up for five earned runs and only recorded one out in his debut. It's nothing new for Gibson as he has tallied a 1.50 WHIP, 4.00 xFIP, and 37% hard contact rate since the start of the 2019 season. Vladdy is primed for a breakout season after re-working his body and overall approach and has the team around him and specifically in front of him in the lineup to provide multiple opportunities to drive in runs.
Did someday say leadoff hitter? Seriously, if I went back and tallied things up through the years in my MLB articles I bet there are an average of at least three leadoff hitters in my articles. Hard to ignore Edman who checks almost every box starting with that opportunity at the top of the lineup hitting in front of Goldy and Arenado who were created to drive in runs. The average(.200) doesn't reflect his start to the season either as the upside is that he has a hit in 4 of 5, run scored in 3 of 5, walk in 3 of 5, and has also added a homer and stolen base. He draws a tougher matchup against Pablo Lopez so I will likely target him on FanDuel only at a price under $3K.
Cronenworth has seen an upgrade in his opportunity as he started the year at the bottom of the order but has spent the last three games hitting 1st or 2nd in the lineup. The sites have yet to catch up so this is a clear buy-low situation. While the Padres will be without Fernando Tatis Jr. for a while, they are still loaded giving Cronenworth a ton of opportunities to score runs and fantasy points should he get on base. Good news. He went into Tuesday night with hits in three of four games with a .545 OBP. Lock and load in all formats on both sites if back at the top of the order today.
As you can probably tell, the infield spots in my player pool are going to be loaded with Jays and it really just comes down to the matchup. It helps that the jays are priced as a second-tier offense while sitting atop all teams when looking at implied runs today. Bichette got off to a slow start in terms of fantasy production but comes into tonight with a four-game hit streak and hit his first home run last night, as well. I will have exposure to Bichette on both sites.
One more Jays' bat to almost complete the entire infield and you almost have to consider Semien here, as well, if back in the leadoff spot. As for Biggio, he is my favorite PTS/$ play on the team as he is the 11th most expensive option at third on DK and 9th on FD while hitting second for the Jays who are in a great spot today. He has gotten off to a slow start with just two hits on the season but if you are targeting the Jays at all, you have to include his bat with the massive opportunity here.
Yoán Moncada FD - 3B 3100 DK - 3B 4900
Opponent - SEA (Justin Dunn) Park - SEA
FD - 10.21 DK - 7.73
After a breakout in 2019, Moncada struggled in the condensed 2020 season and that has even rolled over into the start of this season but I am not concerned.....yet. He has hits in just two of five games but the good news is both of them were multi-hit efforts. He is a switch hitter that has had more success from the left side and faces a wild righty in Justin Dunn who gave up a ton of hard contact(39%) in 2020 which resulted in 10 home runs(four multi-home run games). This is probably more of a GPP play but the price and matchup line up nicely if you want to go there in cash.
Mookie Betts FD - OF 4200 DK - OF 6000
Opponent - OAK (Jesus Luzardo) Park - OAK
FD - 14.46 DK - 10.89
AJ Pollock FD - OF 2500 DK - OF 3700
Opponent - OAK (Jesus Luzardo) Park - OAK
FD - 10.74 DK - 8.11
The top of the Dodgers lineup is about to change as Cody Bellinger is possibly out for a bit after being spiked in the calf and this presents some opportunity. If AJ Pollock moves up as projected, he is massively underpriced for the opportunity he could get hitting behind Betts and in front of Turner and Seager. He has been ho-hum to start the season but did enter Tuesday with hits in three of four games.
For Betts, I don't really need to sell you as he is one of the best players in the game which is why he commands such an insane price tag. He can rack up fantasy points in so many different ways and is if Pollock is hitting 2nd, it makes it so much easier to stack the top of the LAD lineup. Stay tuned for lineups closer to lock.
The 32-year-old veteran is back with the White Sox in 2021 and is getting a great opportunity to hit at the top of the lineup in front of so young up-and-coming stars, and oh ya, the reigning MVP in Jose Abreu. That alone puts him on the radar and there is more good news as he has started the season with hits in three of four games with a home run, three RBI, and four runs scored. To top it off, he comes at mid-tier price putting him in the conversation as a top overall PTS/$ play.