Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Wednesday, 4/14/21
Tuesday's article was on point. Paul George was our headline player, and he provided us with an absolute gem. We also got nice games from Malcolm Brogdon, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Jalen McDaniels, and two of those guys will actually be featured again today. Without further ado, let's go ahead and get into it!
Head on over for your chance to get DFSR PRO, which will give you access to our NBA FanDuel and DraftKings optimizer, our MLB Optimizer, and NHL Projections as well. Plus, our new player lab! Get started for free by clicking the button below.
First time with NBA or NFL? Be sure to read our free NBA and NFL Ebooks on building lineups, general strategy, and more. We've got you completely covered.
Brogdon was a treasure for us on Tuesday night, and we're going right back to the well. The simple fact is, this guy should be $8K on both sites. That's what he was earlier on in the season, and two injury-riddled games lowered his price way too much. Brogdon averaged 38 DraftKings points per game before getting injured and has been even better since his return. In his last two games, MB has 104.6 combined fantasy points, the best two-game stretch of his season. That makes it hard to believe that he's hovering around $7K and we absolutely love this matchup. The Rockets currently rank fifth in pace and 25th in points allowed.
White has quietly had a resurgent season half, and it's clear that he's one of the focal points of this offense with LaMarcus Aldridge out of the picture. The talented guard has scored at least 27 DraftKings points in eight of his last 10 games, averaging over 31 fantasy points per game in that span. That's plenty at this price tag, and we actually have him projected for even more than that here. What adds to his intrigue is that Toronto ranks 15th in total defense while owning a 24th OPRK against opposing point guards. We also believe DeMar DeRozan will draw a lot of attention against his former team, and that should open up even more for White.
De'Aaron Fox has been crushing recently, and it's scary to think that the fastest player in the NBA gets to face the fastest-paced team.
I was blown away to see this price tag. Beal has definitely fallen off a little bit in the second half, but he's got way too much potential to be this cheap. We're talking about the leading scorer in the NBA, averaging 47 fantasy points per game. That alone means he should be flirting with a 10K price tag, and dropping 48 DK points across 37 minutes in his most recent outing indicates that he's starting to feel healthier. The best part of this play is the matchup, though. Sacramento currently ranks dead-last in defensive efficiency and currently surrenders the second-most fantasy points to opposing shooting guards. In their one meeting earlier this season, Beal had 29 points, six rebounds, and five assists.
Tyrese Haliburton FD - $5500 DK - $6200
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 31.53 DK - 32.05
Hali is another guy who's taken a small step back recently, but he's way too good to be just $5,500 on FanDuel and barely cracking $6K on DraftKings. We say that because he had a 30-point average before his injury and is just shy of that since then. That alone makes him hard to fade, and we certainly don't mind that Sacramento might be without Buddy Hield and Richaun Holmes as well. We haven't even discussed this tasty matchup either, with Washington ranked 27th in defensive efficiency while playing at the fastest pace in the NBA. If those two guys are out, Hali is a can't miss 5X play in this price range.
Khris Middleton FD - $7800 DK - $8100
Opponent - MIN
Proj Pts FD - 41.25 DK - 42.83
We fully anticipate Giannis Antetokounmpo sitting another game here, and that means Middleton is the man! This year, with him off the floor, Middleton is leading the team with a 31 percent usage rate while averaging 1.3 DK points per minute. Dating back to last season, Midleton is actually averaging over 40 DraftKings points per game when Giannis sits. That makes him a great value in the $8K range, and we certainly love this matchup. Minnesota currently ranks 28th in both points allowed and defensive efficiency. He actually had 36 fantasy points in this matchup earlier this season, and it could have been even better if he didn't have an ugly 6-of-19 shooting performance.
Caleb Martin FD - $3500 DK - $3100
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 25.8 DK - 25.3
If Terry Rozier and P.J. Washington sit again here, Martin is the best punt play of the day. The Hornets were already missing LaMelo Ball, Malik Monk, and Gordon Hayward before that, leaving this roster extremely thin. That forced Martin into a starting job on Tuesday, providing 17 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists in the best game of his NBA career. That actually equates to 14X value at this near minimum price tag, one of the best rates you'll see all season. It's not like Cleveland is a worrisome matchup either, with the Cavaliers ranked 21st in defensive efficiency.
Jimmy Butler flirts with triple-doubles on a nightly basis and is certainly in play.
Christian Wood FD - $7500 DK - $7900
Opponent - IND
Proj Pts FD - 43.75 DK - 45.44
Wood has lost consideration for Most Improved Player with his injury early on in the season, but this guy is having a heck of a year. The big man is averaging over 40 DraftKings points per game for the season and dropped a ridiculous 54-spot in his most recent outing. That shows the sort of upside this dude has, and it makes it hard to understand why he remains below $8,000 on both sites. The thing that really makes him attractive here is the matchup, with Indiana owning a 29th OPRK against opposing centers this year. That looks even better when you see that Myles Turner is out for the Pacers, allowing Wood to hammer their weakened frontcourt.
Jalen McDaniels FD - $5700 DK - $4700
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 34.82 DK - 35.27
It's rare to see DraftKings screw up their pricing, but they've certainly been doing that with this guy. McDaniels has been playing at a $6K level for a week now, and it's crazy that he's only $4,700 over there. We already talked about all of the injuries in Charlotte, and it's left McDaniels as one of the focal points of the offense. That's on full display when you see that he's averaging 34 fantasy points per game across 33 minutes a night over his last four fixtures. That's a truly absurd total from a $4,700 player, and he shouldn't have any issue duplicating that against a Cleveland frontcourt completely in shambles themselves.
If Brooklyn is shorthanded again, don't forget about Nicolas Claxton.
Joel Embiid FD - $10100 DK - $10000
Opponent - BKN
Proj Pts FD - 57.86 DK - 59.57
Embiid always plays his best when he faces the elite, and he should definitely be hungry here. We're talking about a guy who has at least 38 fantasy points in all but two games this season, getting his season average north of 52 DK points per game. That's fantastic from a guy that's barely cracking $10K, and we absolutely adore this matchup. The Nets' biggest weakness happens to be at the center position, surrendering the fifth-most fantasy points to them on the year. That's crystal clear when you see that Embiid is averaging over 47 DraftKings points per game against them in their two meetings.
Wendell Carter Jr. FD - $6000 DK - $6000
Opponent - CHI
Proj Pts FD - 29.79 DK - 29.52
Revenge game narratives can be dangerous for DFS purposes, but you better believe these teams will be going at it with so much talent changing hands. Carter was actually never given a fair shake with the Bulls, and now that he's starting for the Magic, he's playing some of the best basketball of his career. In fact, he's averaging over 32 DraftKings points per game across his last eight outings. More importantly, he's played over 30 minutes in four of those, and he's got at least 40 fantasy points in five of the last six games he's played at least 30 minutes. That will surely be the floor here against his former team, and we certainly don't mind that the Bulls own a 29th OPRK against opposing centers as well.
Nikola Vucevic is doing his usual thing and should be hungry against his former team as well.