Basketball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
FanDuel NBA Picks and DraftKings NBA Picks - Monday 5/10/21
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For a guy who has made a career piling up triple-doubles, Westbrook has somehow ascended to an even new level recently. In his last four games, he's averaged 22.25 points, 18.75 assists, and 17.25 rebounds. Those are literal video game numbers, and with the Wizards crushing right now it's hard to imagine Russ slowing down. Atlanta is a bottom 10 defense this season, and Westbrook should have no problem putting up his typically huge numbers. Did I mention that Beal has already been ruled out? Yeah, this is a "Westbrook everywhere" situation.
While Russ has been fantastic offensively recently, the Wizards remain an all-world match-up for opposing DFS studs. They've allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards this season, and have allowed a minimum of 125 points in their last 5 games. Young is playing 35+ minute rotations, and the amount of extra possessions in this game should give him a fantastic floor for cash games.
Don't sleep on Raul Neto with Beal already ruled out of this one.
McCollum is a well-known commodity at this point, averaging almost exactly 5x points per dollar on these prices on relatively consistent opportunity this season. We'd be intrigued by McCollum in even a normal match-up, but this one is anything but. The Rockets have been the very most generous teams to opposing shooting guards this season, allowing a league-leading 45.1 FanDuel points a game to them. I love McCollum in the mid-tier price range today.
Armoni Brooks (FD $4500 DK $4800)
Brooks has quietly been great on these cheap prices recently, topping 5x points per dollar in each of his last three games, including a 40.6 FanDuel point explosion against the Bucks. In fact, he had tough match-ups in each of those three games, going up against the Bucks, Jazz, and Sixers. Tonight he has a far easier task, squaring off against a Portland team that ranks 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Rockets can never been considered safe, but I think Brooks should pay these prices rather easily.
Also considered: Dillon Brooks.
Kyle Anderson FD - $5900 DK - $5800
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 36.75 DK - 36.3
So, Anderson is just sort of good now? He's cracked 5x+ points per dollar in 4 of the last 5 games in which he played his full run of minutes, and has a great opportunity to keep the hot streak going against this beleaguered Pelicans team. The Grizzlies are 9.5 point favorites here, but Anderson should be able to get his minutes in and pay value against a Pelicans team that has played a top 10 pace with a bottom 5 defense this year.
Norman Powell FD - $5600 DK - $6100
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 29.53 DK - 30.3
Okay, these prices for Powell are just a little bit ridiculous. He's paid 5x+ points per dollar in each of his last five games, and while there is obviously significant blowout risk (the Blazers are incredible 14.5 point favorites here), he's even playing 30 minutes in blowouts right now. Houston's a bottom 10 team against small forwards, and Powell should be feasting alongside his fellow Blazers here.
Also considered: Anthony Lamb, but yikes, that game log shows a lot of highs and lows.
Giannis Antetokounmpo FD - $11300 DK - $10800
Opponent - SA
Proj Pts FD - 57.01 DK - 59.07
The only thing keeping Giannis' price down right now is the fact that he could play his full run of minutes in his last two games. Vegas has this as a 7.5 point game, which means we should see him out there for 36+ minutes. Giannis is a player for whom defense vs. position stats rarely matter. He's more of a binary: either your team can defend him, or it can't. In the Spurs' case? I'm betting "can't." Our system thinks he'll settle around a 60 fantasy point performance tonight, which should be more than enough for your cash game purposes.
James Johnson FD - $4400 DK - $4600
Opponent - MEM
Proj Pts FD - 25.21 DK - 24.34
Johnson will continue to be a cash game staple with Zion sidelined as long as the prices stay this low. This is a great match-up with the uptempo Grizzlies, but honestly, Johnson is just a price and opportunity mismatch in any match-up right now.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has been popping off on just 25 minutes a game. If he gets a little more opportunity he could help you win a big tournament today.
Jonas Valanciunas FD - $8000 DK - $8200
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 45.97 DK - 47.69
Adams and Zion are already ruled out, leaving a gaping hole in the Pelicans' interior. You know who's ready, willing, and able to stuff that hole? Jonas Valanciunas. He just played 36 minutes against the Raptors in spite of piling up 5 fouls, and if he plays anywhere near that against the Pelicans he should be a lock for 5x points per dollar here.