Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Tuesday 6/8/21
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After a quiet Monday, we are back with a full 15-game slate tonight and three ace pitchers sitting right at the top of the salary. The system has Glasnow sitting atop the PTS/$ rankings and I have to agree here as he comes at a discount from Bieber in a very similar matchup and has been more consistent(2.85 xFIP) with more upside(35% K rate) than Buehler. He also catches the Nats at the right time as they have lost eight of their last 11 while averaging just three runs per game and striking out 25% of the time. All things considered, Glasnow is my top pitcher in all formats tonight.
The chalk builds on DraftKings are very likely going to contain some combination of two top pitchers tonight and I wouldn't at all be surprised if Bassitt was the highest owned at a price under $9K. He is coming off his shortest outing(4 IP, 4 ER) of the season but overall has been very consistent holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in eight of 12 games and enters the night with a 3.53 ERA/3.65 xFIP. What stands out the most is the matchup vs. the struggling D-backs who have lost 19 of their last 21 games while averaging just 3.1 runs per game and striking our 26% of the time. Lock and load in all formats on DraftKings and he makes a projected low-owned GPP pivot on FanDuel.
The A's lead all teams in implied runs as of writing this and are easily my favorite team to target on this slate. Not only have they been red-hot lately(.362 wOBA/138 wRC+ last 7 days), they get an elite matchup vs. Jon Duplantier who has given up 11 hits and nine earned runs(4 HR) through his first two starts. For Olson, he comes into the night with a six-game hit streak that includes four multi-hit efforts, three doubles, and two home runs. He is having a career year and is in play in all formats, especially on DraftKings where he is the 8th most expensive option at the position.
We can't talk about red-hot offenses without talking about the Phillies, even if a small sample size, as they come in having won three of their last four games and twice scored 12 for more runs. They also get a great matchup to keep the run going facing Drew Smyly who has given up 18 hits, 13 earned runs, and five long balls over his last three starts. For Hoskins, he has provided solid fantasy production lately with hits in 12 of his last 13 games with three doubles and four home runs and crushes lefties to the tune of a .439 wOBA/180 wRC+ on the season.
In the short term, the Twins offense is starting to look alive scoring five runs in three of their last four and have created runs 15% higher than league average over the last two weeks. A lot of that comes from the top of the lineup and that includes Jorge Polance who has hits in eight of his last 12 games with four multi-hit efforts and three home runs. The matchup is only average vs. Jordan Montgomery but the good news is that Polanco is a switch hitter who has been much better vs. lefties tallying a .345 average and 118 wRC+ since the start of last season. I like him as a one-off cash play or as a part of a top of the order Twins stack in GPP's.
I am going to stick in the mid-range for another value play that has almost the identical narrative as Jorge Polanco tonight. He is an average to below-average hitter overall but is hot at the moment hitting .295 with a .378 wOBA and 143 wRC+ since the start of May. Like Polanco, he also crushes lefties and has tallied a .347 wOBA, 120 wRC+, and .224 ISO since the start of last season. The weather appears to be an issue here but looks more like a late start so we could easily get Schoop at a very low ownership tonight in all formats.
I have honestly been waiting for Correa to climb up towards the top of the Astros lineup for the better part of three years now. The average(.261) since the start of May hasn't jumped off the page but the production sure has an it starts with patience at the plate as he has walked(16%) more than he has struck out(15%) in that time. On top of the consistency, he has also provided big upside tallying six home runs, 19 RBI, and a 141 wRC+ in that time All things considered, Correa is my top shortstop on the slate.
**Update - Rain is in the forecast here so stay tuned to chat as we break it all down leading up to lineup lock**
The Giants are one of my favorite teams tonight as they have not only been one of the best offenses in baseball over the last month but they also get one of the best matchups on this huge slate against Jordan Lyles. Leading for the way for the Giants has been Brandon Crawford who has tallied a .440 wOBA/184 wRC+ with eight home runs and 27 RBI since the start of May. His price is still very affordable, especially on DraftKings, making him one of our top PTS/$ plays on the slate.
José Ramírez FD 4000 DK 5100
Opponent - STL (Carlos Martinez) Park - STL
FD - 12.1 DK - 9.1
The Cleveland offense has been a huge disappointment overall but no fault of Jose Ramirez who has been very productive for fantasy this season. The average(.262) has dipped below his career average but he enters the night with an elite .398 wOBA/135 wRC+ and has already hit 13 home runs with 31 RBI on a struggling team. What stands out the most and the reason I will be paying up is that he gets a plus matchup vs. Carlos Martinez and as a switch hitter, is much better from the left side where he has tallied a .394 wOBA, 153 wRC+, and .347 ISO this season.
After a slow start to the season(.242 average in April), Canha has been one of the most consistent hitters in baseball posting .403 wOBA/166 wRC+ since the start of May, and has also added a ton of upside with eight home runs. He hits leadoff for the red-hot A's who get an elite matchup and to top it off, he is outside the Top 40 in outfield pricing on DraftKings where he is one of my top overall PTS/$ plays on this slate.
Speaking of value, LaMonte Wade Jr. is back up with the Giants with both Mike Yastrzemski and Darin Ruf on the IL, and since his return has tallied hits in seven of nine games. The Giants are Top 5 in implied runs tonight against Jordan Lyles and his 5.75 ERA/4.56 xFIP and Wade is getting the opportunity to hit leadoff and is near min price on both sites making him a top value play in all formats.