Baseball Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DraftKings and FanDuel MLB Picks for Monday 9/13/21
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We have some interesting options for pitching tonight considering Clayton Kershaw is out of the mix with a likely pitch count coming off the IL. With Darvish and Wainwright facing red-hot offenses I will turn to Sandy Alcantara as my top option. He, himself comes in hot holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of his last six starts(1.83 ERA/2.32 xFIP), and has seen a big spike in his K rate striking out 34% in that time. Tonight he face a Nats offense that has been league-average all season. Fire up Alcantara in all formats.
I am never really excited to roster Odorizzi but on this smaller slate, it is going to be tough to ignore his mid $7K price on DraftKings considering he is the biggest favorite on the slate. The good news is that he has qualified for the win in six straight starts while also holding opponents to two or fewer earned runs in five of them. He now faces a Texas team that has been better lately but is still a bottom 5 offense overall. Take the win equity and PTS/$ floor and move on.
While I would spend the extra $300 for Vladdy on DraftKings, Gurriel gets the edge in the article with the huge price differential on FanDuel. He is not having a Vladdy-type season but is still putting up career-highs when looking at average(.315), OBP(.385), wOBA(.365), and wRC+(137). Consistency has been the name of the game and he enters this plus matchup with hits in 17 of his last 20. By far my favorite play at the position on FanDuel.
It's almost do or die time for the M's as they enter this three-game series with Boston trailing the wildcard by three games with this being the last series against a team they are chasing. France plays a huge role in this team and has been consistent all season and even better down the stretch as he is hitting .313 with a .368 wOBA since the start of August. The matchup is interesting as well as ERod seems to either be really good or really bad so let's hope it's the latter tonight as France is cheap with a ton of PTS/$ upside.
First of all, both Semien and Altuve have been red-hot recently but come with high price tags. If you have the salary to get there fire them up but for me, I am looking to a value gameplan at this position, at least in cash games. I am not in love with the matchup here against Rich Hill but Edman hits leadoff, comes with a mid-tier price tag, and has been much better against lefties(.358 wOBA/127 WRC+/240 ISO). I will have exposure in all formats.
I was very excited for this trade when it happened and while it hasn't exactly worked out(.234 average in 38 games with SDP), Frazier still provides value. It starts with the opportunity hitting at the top of the lineup ahead of Machado and Tatis against the Giants who will be working with a bullpen game on Monday. All things considered, I am really only on Frazier in cash games tonight as a one-off value.
The Jays offense has been absolutely insane so we are most definitely going to want some exposure in cash games. On DraftKings with Semien/Vladdy priced way up and Springer not 100%, Bichette is easily my top bat here for the Jays. He comes in with hits in five straight including four multi-hit efforts and is hitting .365 with a .410 wOBA over the last two and half weeks. The price is likely to surge back into the mid $5K range down the stretch so take the slight discount while you can.
I hate that the Astros can't decide where to hit Correa but one good thing from that is it has kept his price in check all season. While it may not seem like it he is having one of his best seasons posting his highest walk rate(12.1%) of his career which has contributed to him also setting a career-high runs scored(92) and posting his best OBP(.368) since his monster 2017 campaign. The Astros are my top team tonight with their slightly cheaper prices than the Jays and Correa is my top shortstop in all formats, especially on FanDuel in the mid $3K range.
As I stated above with Correa, the Astros are my top team to target tonight and Bregman is my top overall play, at least on DraftKings where he is still massively underpriced. He returned to action in late August after missing two months on the IL and has been terrific with hits in 13 of 15 games(.370 average) and while he has just two home runs in that time, he has posted an insane .412 wOBA and 169 wRC+. Lock and load in all formats on DraftKings tonight.
Also Consider: Jonathan Villar(NYM) as a one-off value play hitting leadoff for the Mets
The Jays offense has been historically good recently as they just put up 44 runs in three games vs. the Orioles and have averaged 8.8 runs per game in 12 September games. While the top four bats in the lineup are getting insanely priced(and for good reason), I love the value in the middle of the order. It starts with Teoscar who has been clutch all season long(.301/.353/.525 slash) and has been even better lately with multi-hit efforts in three straight and four of his last five games.
My top value play on the entire slate is easily Lourdes Gurriel who might be having the best month of his career with multiple grand slams and comes in hitting .405 with a .560 wOBA in September. The key here is that DraftKings apparently hasn't been paying attention and has him priced way down. He hits down in the lineup but I am not at all concerned here at this price. Fire him up in all formats.
Other outfielders in my player pool: Yordan Alvarez/Kyle Tucker(HOU) especially on FanDuel in the mid $3K range, Mitch Haniger(SEA) to pair with Ty France if wanting to target against the inconsistent ERod, Dylan Carlson(STL) if he moves back up near the top of the lineup vs. a lefty and is a great pairing with Tommy Edman for a cheap two-player stack in any format