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    featured Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

    10/16/2021
    Chris Durell

    Daily Fantasy NFL GPP Stacks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Week 6

    The 2021 NFL season is now in full swing and the DFSR team has covered with content all week long. Earlier in the week, we covered our top cash game plays and also looked at all the relevant injuries and now it's time to look at some of the top stacks for GPP formats.

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    Kansas City Chiefs Passing Game

    Patrick MahomesPatrick Mahomes FD 9000 DK 8300
    Opponent WAS
    Proj Points FD - 25.21 DK - 25.75

    Travis KelceTravis Kelce FD 8500 DK 7000
    Opponent WAS
    Proj Points FD - 15.46 DK - 18.82

    This is likely a Top 3 highest owned stack this week but that doesn't mean we should immediately avoid it. While the Chiefs have struggled to a 2-3 record in the standings but it's definitely not on the offense who ranks 5th overall in terms of points per game(30.8). They have been terrific both through the air(5th in passing yards per game) and on the ground(7th in rushing yards per game). Good news for the passing game for fantasy now that Clyde Edwards Helaire has been placed on the IR. It will be Darrel Williams making his first start and he will be chalky himself so one way to differentiate is just going full pass game build.

    That starts with Patrick Mahomes who may be 7th in passing yards per game(298) but is first in passing touchdowns(16) and has the KC offense ranked 4th in my RedZone rankings(TD's per trip to RZ). My complete player pool for KC depends on the status of Tyreek Hill who has not practiced all week and if he is limited or out, I see Travis Kelce taking on an even larger role with a projected 10-15 targets. The cost is high but the upside is slate-breaking. Lock and load for GPP!

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    Cincinnati Bengals

    Joe BurrowJoe Burrow FD 7400 DK 6300
    Opponent DET
    Proj Points FD - 17.84 DK - 18.37

    Ja'Marr ChaseJa'Marr Chase FD 7800 DK 6700
    Opponent DET
    Proj Points FD - 14.1 DK - 16.89

    Joe MixonJoe Mixon FD 7000 DK 6400
    Opponent DET
    Proj Points FD - 16.16 DK - 17.51

    I am going right back to a Bengals stack this week despite only putting up 22 points a week ago against the Packers. First of all, they get a much better matchup against a MUCH weaker NFC North opponent in the Lions who rank 22nd in points per game against. Don't get scared off by their fantasy points per game allowed to QB's(1th) and WR's(10th) as most of that has been an unsustainable TD rate allowed. To back that up, I always look at the DVOA rankings from Football Outsiders as they are a much more weighted look at stats based on opponents faced and league average rates. With that said, the Lions rank 27th in passing and 28th in rushing DVOA when looking at the defensive rankings.

    This stack also gives us some leverage and that starts with Joe Burrow who falls between chalky Stafford and Heinicke on both sites. While we have yet to see the big upside game, Burrow has been very consistent averaging 19.2 DK points per game hitting 3x value at these prices in four of five. My favorite direction with the Bengals is pairing Burrow with standout rookie Ja'Marr Chase who is coming off a monster game(6-10-159-1) and already has two 100+ yard games in his first five NFL starts. He also comes in with the fourth-best aDOT(15.9 yards) of all wideouts with at least 10 receptions and has already scored five touchdowns which is 2nd among all wideouts. Adding to that is the fact the Lions have given up the 5th most receptions of 20+ yards and the 4th most over 40 yards.

    If you want to get even more frisky with your Bengals exposure, consider Joe Mixon at running back. He exited the week 4 game early, was limited in week 5, but is now expected to return to a full workload. It could be a great opportunity to get a potential Top 5 fantasy back at low ownership and in a great matchup as the Lions have given up the 8th most rushing yards per game to the positon.

    Low Owned Slate Break - New England Patriots

    Mac JonesMac Jones FD 6500 DK 5200
    Opponent DAL
    Proj Points FD - 16.61 DK - 17.26

    Jakobi MeyersJakobi Meyers FD 5800 DK 5500
    Opponent DAL
    Proj Points FD - 10.76 DK - 13.65

    This one isn't for the faint of heart as the Patriots rank 20th in passing yards per game but this game and matchup specifically check a lot of boxes. First of all, while the spread is close(NE +3.5) I don't think anyone outside of New England thinks they will win this one. While I don't think it will be a blowout, I do think the Cowboys control this game with the lead early which should lead to some upside in terms of volume for the passing game, and at this price/ownership, that is all we can ask for, right?

    Much like Burrow, Jones has yet to show us his upside but has been solid completing 73% of his passes in four of five games and hit 3x value n DraftKings in three of those. Meyers has quickly become his favorite option as he is averaging 9.3 targets per game(24.6% share) which is 3.5 more than Henry who is second on the team in targets.

    Finally, what grabbed my attention is the matchup as the Cowboys rank 31st in pass defense(although 7th in DVOA), and the best matchup is in the slot and that is where Meyers runs about 60% of his routes. The Cowboys have also allowed the 4th most big plays(20+) yards through the air.

    It will be a very low-owned stack and should only be used in multi-entry GPP formats.

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    image sources

    • Chiefs Chargers Football: (AP Photo/Kelvin Kuo)

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