Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Saturday 11/27/21

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Point Guard

Donovan MitchellDonovan Mitchell FD - $7900 DK - $8100
Opponent - NO
Proj Pts FD - 44.19 DK - 47.32

It looks like Mike Conley will sit this game out with the Jazz on the second half of a back-to-back. Over the last season-plus, Mitchell has a 34% usage rate with Conley off the court. He gets a bump in the assist rate as well and makes for a very strong cash option against the Pelicans on Sunday. New Orleans is the 27th-ranked defense on the season, offering very little resistance on that end of the court. And they play at a league-average pace so this matchup lines up well from a DFS perspective. Mitchell’s price isn’t going to kill you hear and there should be more opportunity with no Conley.

LaMelo BallLaMelo Ball FD - $9500 DK - $10400
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 54.53 DK - 57.39

The Hornets ended up blowing out the Timberwolves on Friday night and the entire starting lineup ended up sitting out the last six minutes or so. Even with getting buzzed off the run, Ball finished with 10 points, 13 assists, and six rebounds. With a full game presumably against Houston, he could be one of the highest scorers on the slate. Houston offers the perfect matchup seeing as how they are running the league’s fastest pace and playing a bottom-third defense. This could be a track meet of a game and the 222.5 over/under is the highest of the evening slate of games. It’s for good reason with defense not exactly a priority for either of these squads.

Shooting Guard

Eric GordonEric Gordon FD - $4900 DK - $4700
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 25.7 DK - 28.03

Garrison MathewsGarrison Mathews FD - $3900 DK - $3400
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 20.66 DK - 22.93

Jalen Green is going to be out for at least a week and probably more which is going to open up some scoring opportunities and minutes for the Rockets. Eric Gordon should stick in the starting lineup and Garrison Mathews is likely to join him. Gordon has scored in double-digits in 10 of his last 11 games and when the minutes are there he should be set for 10+ shot attempts at least. Gordon is reliant on putting the ball in the bucket to rack up fantasy points considering he doesn’t add a ton in terms of rebounds and assists. But that also keeps the price in check and he’s sub-$5K on both sites. Meanwhile, Mathews is a cheap punt option who should see a minutes increase if in the starting lineup for Green.

Terry RozierTerry Rozier FD - $6600 DK - $6700
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 36.87 DK - 38.33

It can get pretty crowded, from a fantasy perspective for the Hornets who have a lot of contributors in their starting lineup. But like we said with LaMelo Ball, this is such a good matchup against the Rockets that there should be more than enough to go around. Rozier had seen some really high usage for two games, putting up 22 and 19 shots against the Magic and Wizards respectively. That dropped off against the Timberwolves on Friday, but so did the minutes in the blowout. We should see them tick up again here against the Rockets in a game that will be played at a blistering pace.

Small Forward

Miles BridgesMiles Bridges FD - $8200 DK - $7900
Opponent - HOU
Proj Pts FD - 43.78 DK - 45.24

Again, we are going to want exposure to the Hornets on this slate because they have, by far, the best matchup going. Bridges is having a breakout season in his fourth year, averaging 20.5 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks+steals per game. The price has come up with the performance, but it isn’t high enough considering this matchup. Houston allows the 5th-most points and 7th-most rebounds in the league this season thanks to their problems on defense and the pace at which they play. Stacking the Hornets here, especially 2-3 of their starters is going to be the way to go. Gordon Hayward fits into this process as well.

Kevin Porter Jr.Kevin Porter Jr. FD - $5600 DK - $5800
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 33.6 DK - 37.27

With Jalen Green out of the mix, we should see a bump in production for Kevin Porter Jr. now. It’s been an up and down season for the young guard. Porter has a 24% usage rate on the season, but that climbs to 28% when Green is off the court. The assist rate ticks up a tad as well. The main thing though should be a minutes increase that makes him a safer option than we’ve seen at other times this season. When Green went down early last game, Porter played 37 minutes in the win over Chicago. He put in 14 points, nine assists, and six rebounds in that stretch. He’s likely to be a chalk option on this slate.

Power Forward/ Center

Wendell Carter Jr.Wendell Carter Jr. FD - $5800 DK - $5800
Opponent - CLE
Proj Pts FD - 34.19 DK - 37.17

Carter was one of the highest-owned players on the slate on Friday and that could be the case once again here on Saturday. That he completely crushed should keep the ownership high with WCJ finishing with 26 points and 10 rebounds in just 30 minutes against his former team. The price isn’t anywhere close to where it should be and though this isn’t a fantastic matchup against the Cavs who are getting Evan Mobley back, he’s still a strong cash option.

LaMarcus AldridgeLaMarcus Aldridge FD - $6200 DK - $5600
Opponent - PHO
Proj Pts FD - 33.84 DK - 35.46

Aldridge moved into the Nets’ starting lineup last game, replacing the flagging Blake Griffin. The move worked and he was one of the reasons Brooklyn blew out the Celtics. Aldridge should stick with the starters once again following a 17 point, nine-rebound game last time out. He’s been having an excellent statistical season off the bench for the Nets so far, turning back the clock a bit on his scoring and mid-range game. The starter’s minutes should be safe enough and the price hasn’t adjusted to the new opportunity.

Jarrett AllenJarrett Allen FD - $7600 DK - $7400
Opponent - ORL
Proj Pts FD - 41.12 DK - 42.72

Evan Mobley is set to return for the Cavs on Saturday which could cut into Allen’s production just a bit. But even if there is some reduction in Mobley’s run because of conditioning then I like we pretty safe on Allen here. Allen has been awesome since returning to the lineup and over the last two games averaged 23 points and 13 rebounds. And that he put up only one defensive stat in that stretch is probably an outlier. He’ll face a Magic team allowing the fourth-most rebounds and sixth-most points to opponents this season. I love the price on both sites.






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