Basketball Lineups Daily Fantasy Expert Advice
DFS NBA Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings - Monday 1/3
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We are seeing peak beard right now and it appears nothing can stop him, even the return of Kevin Durant. Harden has been an absolute beast tallying a triple-double and 70+ DK points in each of the two games Durant has been back and now has triple-doubles in three of his last four and 70+ DK points in four straight! Those are absolutely absurd numbers and I see no reason they can't continue tonight in a matchup vs Memphis which has the highest total on the board and should stay close enough for Harden to get a full run of minutes.
Campazzo stepped into a starting role over the last two games with Monte Morris in covid protocols and after a so-so first start, exploded on New Years day with 22 points, 12 assists, and four rebounds for 60 DK points. That prompted an immediate price boost but I am still on board as he will get another start tonight and I agree with the system which has his floor right around 30 fantasy points of 5x value. Even though we have seen the ceiling game, I am much more on board for cash as this game has the lowest total on the slate, and the Mavs rank 10th in defensive efficiency.
Also Consider: Patrick Beverley(MIN) who has been solid hitting cash value(25+ DK points) in six of his last seven games with 30+ fantasy points in four of those games
This play, or rather, how much I like it will be dependant on the status of Spencer Dinwiddie who has missed the last two games in covid protocols. Beal has been a beast in his absence with around a 30% usage rate dropping 21 of a team-high 43 shots and adding an insane 27 assists. What stands out even more is that he was also tremendous in the last game with Dinwiddie in the lineup dropping 55 fantasy points against a very tough Jazz team. Tonight, he and the Wizards get an elite matchup against the Hornets who have the 3rd worst defensive efficiency and run the 2nd fastest pace. On a slate filled with blowout potential, this game has the 2nd highest total(228) and highest spread(WAS -2) so lock Beal and his consistent output in your cash lineups and move on.
Terry Rozier FD - $6900 DK - $6900
Opponent - WAS
Proj Pts FD - 30.69 DK - 33.11
We have seen the highs and lows for Rozier in the short-term as he stunk it up with 16 fantasy points against the Suns yesterday after dropping 58 DK points against the Pacers. The price is likely reaching close to its peak here but I want as much exposure to this game as possible, at least in cash games, as there are about 5-6 games with blowout risk tonight. Even with that ugly performance last game, Rozier has averaged 21.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and over 37 fantasy points per game in his last five. I feel he can get there again in a matchup against a Washington team that ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Norman Powell FD - $6000 DK - $6500
Opponent - ATL
Proj Pts FD - 35.19 DK - 37.68
After the price topped out on both sits recently, it has started to go back down and the system absolutely loves it. First of all, it is centered around opportunity as CJ McCollum remains out(Since Dec 5) and Damian Lillard was also announced out for tonight. With both of those players off the floor this season, Powell is rocking an insane 32.6% usage rate and even with Lillard in the lineup lately, Powell is averaging just over 32 fantasy points per game. I like that number as a floor tonight and the opportunity plus matchup (ATL 27th in def eff) also presents a ton of upside putting Powell in play in all formats.
Josh Hart FD - $7600 DK - $6800
Opponent - UTA
Proj Pts FD - 32.65 DK - 35.48
There is a chance Ingram and Valanciunas return to the Pels tonight after missing some games in the short term but I am not concerned, at least on DraftKings. First of all, Hart has been great without them the last two games tallying a double-double in both but even with them has been very solid averaging 15 points, 9.6 rebounds, 6.2 assists for over 39 fantasy points per game in his last 10 contests. It's that secondary fantasy scoring that gives him such a high floor making him viable if those two are back and one or both are out, he becomes at top overall PTS/$ play on the slate even in a tough matchup against Utah.
Kyle Kuzma FD - $6800 DK - $8000
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 37.13 DK - 40.5
There is no way we can't jump back to the Wizards who are likely without Spencer Dinwiddie once again and get the best matchup on the slate against the Hornets who rank 28th in defensive efficiency and 2nd in pace. Kuzma was terrific(44 and 53.5 DK points) in the two games without Dinwiddie but was also consistent with him and has now posted a double-double in four of his last five games while averaging over 40 fantasy points per game. The price on DraftKings makes the status of Dinwiddie much more important but on FanDuel under $7K, I am on board either way tonight.
Draymond Green FD - $8000 DK - $7500
Opponent - MIA
Proj Pts FD - 33.36 DK - 34.78
Green is expected to return to the Warriors starting lineup tonight after missing the last two games in covid protocols. That is great news as Green is one of my favorite big men to play in fantasy due to his overall consistency. What he lacks in usage and shooting, he more than makes up for with the secondary stats averaging 7.9 rebounds and 7.5 assists per game on the season. Those averages are nearly identical over the last 10 games, as well, leading to an average right around 35 fantasy points per game. There isn't a ton of upside here in a matchup against the Heat but I love the floor and will have exposure in cash games.
Daniel Gafford FD - $6100 DK - $6000
Opponent - CHA
Proj Pts FD - 35.05 DK - 35.31
One more trip the Wizards starting lineup tonight before we close out the article. It's hard to ignore Gafford at this point as he is still underpriced in relation to his production. He is about the only Wizards center that is healthy at the moment and even being cut to 20 minutes last game, still easily put up cash value at these prices. That is now 30+ fantasy points in three straight games and now gets easily the best matchup in that span against the Hornets. Fire up Gafford in all formats tonight.