Weekly Fantasy Football Picks Daily Fantasy Expert Advice

Doug Norrie

Daily Fantasy Football Cash Game Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings Wild Card Weekend - Sunday Main Slate

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Patrick MahomesPatrick Mahomes FD 8700 DK 7400
Opponent PIT
Proj Points FD - 24.7 DK - 25.26

Mahomes is projected significantly higher than any other quarterback on this slate, and it’s for good reason. After struggling a bit to start the season, especially in the interception department, that was all turned around late and he finished the season strong. Over the last five weeks, Mahomes threw 12 touchdowns to just one pick, completing more than 70% of his passes in the process. The Steelers have been a good defense against the pass this season, but the Chiefs are heavy favorites at home here and Mahomes clearly has the highest floor of this group.

Dak PrescottDak Prescott FD 8000 DK 6400
Opponent SF
Proj Points FD - 17.64 DK - 18.29

We have Mahomes projected for significantly more than any other quarterback on this Sunday slate, so getting away from him in cash games isn’t a direction I’m going. But if that were the case, I think we can pivot to Dak Prescott who is coming $700 less on both sites. The Cowboys have the second-highest implied total on the slate at home against the 49ers. And Dad has been accurate of late, completing passes at more than a 70% clip over his last four games. He’s also got out and run a bit more in that stretch as well. Again, I much prefer Mahomes here, but lineups might be just a bit easier to build with Dak under center.

Running Back

Leonard FournetteLeonard Fournette FD 7300 DK 5900
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 18.32 DK - 20.88

Fournette is fully healthy now and looks like he will take back over lead-back duties for the Buccaneers. In his last full week before the injury, Fournette played 80% of the snaps and touched the ball 26 times (19 carries, seven targets). He should get right back into a similar role against the Eagles and Tampa Bay is a -6.5 home favorite in this one. The price is palatable on Fournette here and I suspect he’s a popular play considering the circumstances.

Elijah MitchellElijah Mitchell FD 7400 DK 5500
Opponent DAL
Proj Points FD - 15.7 DK - 16.25

This is a trickier slate when it comes to running back with a lot of the situations tough to trust. We do know that the plan with the 49ers is to run him about 20 times a game when things are going well. And it stands to reason they are going to stick with that game plan here against the Cowboys. Dallas is a top defense, but is much better against the pass than the run where they rank 16th overall. And it didn’t happen last week, but San Fran has involved Mitchell in the pass game at other points during this season, so I think a target or two could be in store.

Keep an eye on the situation in Kansas City. Clyde Edwards-Helaire didn’t practice on Thursday and is now truly questionable. If he were to sit then Darrel Williams would be a good play.

Wide Receiver

Deebo SamuelDeebo Samuel FD 8700 DK 8100
Opponent DAL
Proj Points FD - 18.81 DK - 21.35

He remains one of the most interesting fantasy plays we’ve seen in some time. Deebo has become a hybrid WR/RB in a way we really haven’t seen before and it actually makes projecting his usage/ expected performance somewhat tough. Over the last three weeks, he’s averaged more than 14 touches per game (targets+carries) and made use out of all of them. That part isn’t the problem, it’s the issue of whether you are going to see outsized usage in either of them and that’s the issue at the price. This one is a tough one because he easily could be the best-performing player on the slate, but it can also go haywire.

Tyreek HillTyreek Hill FD 8000 DK 7100
Opponent PIT
Proj Points FD - 19.22 DK - 23.31

He’s had an up-and-down last couple of weeks, but it’s very tough to far Tyreek in this situation on Sunday. It stands to reason he is going to see double-digit targets in this game with the march to the Super Bowl hanging in the balance, and he has more than a track record of turning up in big spots. What helps Hill the most here is that he isn’t the most expensive WR on the slate, coming 2-3 depending on the site. While that shouldn’t seem like a lot, in this context it is. To save on guys like this, I think we can turn to the Tampa guys for guidance. With Mike Evans getting some Darius Slay treatment and Chris Godwin (and even Cyril Grayson) on the shelf, there are targets to go here.

Breshad Perriman and Tyler Johnson can be played in their respective salary slot.

Brandon Aiyuk is coming off his best game of the year in Week 18 against the Rams. He finished with six catches for 107 yards on seven targets. He’s coming in the middle tier here which definitely helps with some lineup builds.

Tight End

Rob GronkowskiRob Gronkowski FD 7400 DK 6400
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 15.07 DK - 17.9

Gronk saw 10 targets last week with Chris Godwin out, though we do know that was in part because Tom Brady was trying to get his tight end enough yards and catches to reach a million-dollar performance bonus. That being said, it was Gronk’s third double-digit target game in the last four and he could be in line for a lot of looks this week as well. The Eagles are allowing the second-most fantasy points to tight ends this season and the Bucs are still down some pass-catchers. This could be a monster game from Gronk if things break right.

George Kittle isn’t coming all that expensive on either site, but I am a bit worried about the lack of targets over the last four weeks or so. Since the 15 target monster against the Bengals, he’s totaled only 18 over the last four games. From a cash game perspective, it’s tough to trust but we do know that he has huge games in him when things are going well.

Defense/ Special Teams

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers FD DK
Opponent PHI
Proj Points FD - 8.9 DK - 8.9

They are going to cost you on this slate, but you have to like the matchup they are getting against the Eagles. The Buc ranked 9th in defensive DVOA this season and get to matchup against the Eagles in a game where they will try to force Jalen Hurts to pass. That could bode well for the DST purposes considering the latter threw only 16 touchdowns to nine interceptions this season.

The Kansas City Chiefs get to face easily the worst offense going on this slate in the Pittsburgh Steelers. The latter rank 25th in DVOA on that side of the ball with no one else below them even sniffing the playoffs this season. KC will cost you an arm and a leg though which needs to be factored into playing them in cash.




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